
MCLARKE
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Posts
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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Newbury 3.10
TREGONY 11/2
£10 EW SKY 5 places SP
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2 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:
7.45 tipperary beer with the boys 14/1 £5 e/w bet365
Another gamble, now down to 3/1 with some bookies.
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I'm not aware of having accepted exchange odds in the past.
I'm not suggesting that it wasn't a genuine mistake but I don't have time to second guess what you meant, it could have been 14, 40, 4/11 etc.
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1 hour ago, Valiant Thor said:
So your saying its because of the days
Probably the number of races available to choose from.
If I have to make 1 selection per day then I will probably be more successful on days where there are more races to choose from.
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I use what you input, I don't have the time to check for errors that you have made.
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Most winners
@Budgie 65's valiant attempt to catch @Alastairfinally comes to an end.
Excellent performance from @Alastairwho completes the most winners / ko cup double.
- Joales, MinellaWorksop, Ferki and 2 others
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5
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- calva decoy, Joales, Wildgarden and 1 other
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3
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1
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3 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:
You have to ask yourself if all those races were run on a Wed to Sat rather than Sun to Tues with the same horses/jocks/trainers they'd make a profit
there's absolutely no logic in that at all.Whether it is logical or not the selections in the naps table make a profit Wed to Sat and a big loss Sun to Tue.
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5 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:
I wouldn't say its the "days" that are the relevant factor , more likely to be the class of racing(lower class jocks/trainers/horses) running on these days because they cant get in the decent races @ the weekend . Lower Class greater variance
You are probably right although my analysis doesn't include details of the class of the race. I may look at including this in the future.
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15 hours ago, Wildgarden said:
wasnt equaliser 4-1 lamplighter. i got 9-2 early.
Because the price wasn't available it was settled at SP.
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Punchestown 4.50
SNUGSBOROUGH HALL 6/1
£10 EW SKY 3 places
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6 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:
Flat season and we have 4 jumps meetings today, ,just about sums racing up 🙄
No selections todayPersonally I don't bet on the jumps after April so it's basically a no bet day for me.
This is probably not a bad idea, it's good to have a day off now and again.
The temptation is to force a bet that otherwise you woudn't make.
This is backed up by an analysis I have made up of the naps selectons, Sunday shows the worst return with a ROI loss of -12% compared to -4% for the rest of the week.
This is also reflected if I split the week into 2, Sunday to Tuesday shows a loss of -7% whilst Wednesday to Saturday shows a profit of 29 points (0.2%).
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29 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:
Undeniably the best Jockey and "horse" man ever to ride, people talk about great american jockeys but their job was simlistic compared to race riding here, Piggott-any track, any pace, any distance, any going, he could simply naturally adjust to pretty much any situation. I bet they have a hard job tracking all his money down tho.
Very sad but he didn't do bad for a man who lived on cigars and champagne.
Interesting to read his comments that today's jockeys are better than those when he was riding, I dread to think what some of the comments on here would have been back then from those who are apopletic at the rides of Jamie Spencer, Jim Crowley etc.
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Trend analysis for the Group 3 John Of Gaunt Stakes (Haydock 3.30)
Drawn 2 or 3, 5 from 13, AE 2.86
Age = 4, 4 from 21, AE 1.56
This leaves LANEQASH at 11/2
- The Brigadier and Wildgarden
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2
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BET365 4/1 TV offer selections
HAYD 1.45 Tenaya Canyon (8) 13/2 BEVE 2.05 Parr Fire (3) 9/2 BEVE 2.40 Ugo Gregory (6) 4/1 HAYD 2.55 Climate (6) 4/1 BEVE 3.15 Rogue Spirit (2) 7/1 HAYD 3.30 Happy Power (4) 11/2 CHES 3.45 Oh This Is Us (3) 11/2 - The Equaliser, kensland, Wildgarden and 1 other
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4
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Haydock 8.25
MANIGORDO 11/2
£10 EW SKY 5 places SP
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£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
in At The Races
Posted
3rd at 8/1 for a profit of £6.
Overall though a poor month with a loss of £90.87.