Posts posted by MCLARKE
2 hours ago, Zilzalian said:
The next decision is Stakes which have been touched on before, my perspective is based on practicality and experience-that is the long losing runs can be quite expensive although you pick up the odd singles and doubles, so i came to the conclusion and it doesn't matter how rich you are that 40p is the maximum 98% of the time irrespective of how many you do as long as you can afford it, if not 10p 20p 30p The oldies reckon you should not bet more than 5% of your weekly income which seems sensible to me ( @MCLARKE treble would have returned just under £1,200 a good result for anyone) My big worry/consideration is loss of account if you are successful over time. I assume the bookies can cope/accept a few thousand in loses now and again but up your stakes to a quid or more and those wins will get the attention of the "noseys" One good piece of advice i will put out there "Always remember there is a big difference between having a bet and gambling" one is fun the other is misery.
The losing runs can be quite large, between my Aintree win and yesterday's win I lost £67 to £1.50 stakes although this was only £1.52 per day so not too prohibitive.
It is a relatively small outlay for a lot of fun and the occasional big win.
I am surprised I haven't had more restrictions with BET365, I am waiting for the dreaded "account has been reviewed by our trading team" message.
I am not overly concerned as most of my betting is on the exchanges these days and ultimately I expect I will end up with the exchanges as the only option. At least this will simplify my betting and generally the best value is to be found on the exchanges.
5 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
Very well done Michael. Long may you reign over us. As a matter of interest was the best chances of a L15 within odds ranges of 5/2 to 15/2, or something like that?
It was although I need to update my analysis based on the additional results since then
4 hours ago, Zilzalian said:
And i am now well over £3,000 up in 2023 @The Equaliser the thing with @MCLARKE he has an open mind he takes on board things that are said so the more he learns the more he adjusts he has no fear of admitting wrong think for want of a better expression i have been very impressed with his outlook and by that i mean i am impressed with the "journey" right back from his starting position re L15's to where he is now, i think it is fair to say he took the trouble to question his previous assumptions, put them aside for a while and formulate new ideas and test them.
Yes, I am on the way to one of my best years as a result of the lucky 15s.
To me the key area is to test my theories before putting my money down, I find the testing often as much fun as the actual betting.
It is also important not to become disillusioned with losing runs, it is a fact of betting life. I was £700 down in the 4 months to December but have made £3,000 since then.
Keep stakes small until you are making a profit and then use your profit to increase stakes.
22 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:
Said it before I’ll say it again this site is a gold mine for punters, and the best thing about it it’s all free. Next best thing to being able to get free money out of a cash machine if used right.
Indeed, I woulddn't have made any money with lucky 15s if it wasn't for the discussions on here.
The ideal starting point for most is to carefully utilise all free bets and offers, I used these for my daughter and it paid for a Caribbean holiday for her.
13 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:
How come you have two lucky 15s at Leicester using mostly the same horses?
I basically work through te day's racing in time order and when I come to the end I am often left with 1,2 or 3 horses so to put them into a lucky 15 I add 1 or more of my previous selections. They are not better bets, I tend to pick them for convenience.
So yesterday I had 13 selections and was left with a selection in the 5.55 at Leicester so to include it in a lucky 15 I included 3 other Leicester selections as I already had the Leicester card open (I picked the 3 shortest out of the 4, I should have followed @Zilzalian's advice and gone with the 3 longest, I would have won another £359).
44 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:
The favourites challenge is just a bit of fun. My main L15 will have "Players" in them i.e horses ranked between 3/1 - 9/1. Michael @MCLARKE has been spending a lot of his former prize money on lots of L15's. The question is which one to follow? I dread to think how much members have been spending on all these L15's. Some, must be losing quite a bit
Still waiting for @Johnrobertsonto make his move !
2 hours ago, Zico10 said:
You're first Leicester L15 will have returned you a nice tickle! Well done.
Yep a very good day with the L15s returning £396.33 to a £6 total stake.
It does support @Zilzalian's advice but I'll keep building up my data and see what conclusions I come to.
4 hours ago, harry_rag said:
Is that favourite or both teams? Can you split it by favourite/underdog and home/away?
Thats for both teams
Favourite is 20 from 55 with a profit of £401.57
2nd favourite 7 from 55, profit £740.00
Home 15 from 55, profit £405.63
Away 12 from 55, profit £735.95
Not quite sure how I've managed to be over £100 down !
The boys in blue FT /HT > 2 goals 5/1
Superboost both teams over 2.5 SOT 3/4 to 6/4
NIGHT ON EARTH
£20 win BSP
BARLOW BARLOW 40/1
8 hours ago, harry_rag said:
Should just back all these play off games to be draws!
You could be right, we'll see what the mighty owls do tomorrow !
My goto bet is having a very poor run, that's 7 games in a row that it has lost. The last 3 have been particularly irritating because we had been a goal up at one stage.
Over 1 goal, 27 wins from 110 bets, ROI 52%
Odds up to 9/2 23%
5/1 - 17/2 28%
Above 17/2 114%
Wednesday V Barnsly today
£20 win BSP
MORPH SPEED 10/1
@Johnrobertson's 1/100 winner keeps him ahead but the window of opportunity is closing for a decent winner or two
An excellent final with @Tipsterix's winner just beating @HERE's 2 good placed efforts
Hugh cannot be serious!! Can He?
in At The Races
I stopped following tipsters a long time ago, I thought it was a short cut to profits but it wasn't.
For the decent tipsters it was almost impossible to get on at the advised prices.