MCLARKE
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Posts
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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56 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:
Having had a few drinks I am tempted to put up an extra £30 in prize money
A few drinks by 2pm !
Steady on, I try and wait till 5 for my first sherry and round the day off about midnight with a nice single malt !
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Thanks for the comments.
I'll let it run as it is for the time being and we'll see how it goes.
As I say one option could be to have a 12 month competition, this should be a true test, you would be unlikely to win this by randomly picking long shots.
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Nicky Henderson has 1 runner tomorrow in the 12.20 at Lingfield.
BRILLIANT PRESENT
Looks like The Brigadier has taken the early value but I'll take the skinny 10/11 on offer, any winner will be welcome at the moment.
- Nigwilliam and Wildgarden
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LINGFIELD 1.20
TIS FANTASTIC 2/1
BET365
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Thanks Fader for all your hard work over the last few weeks and congratulations to all the prize money winners.
As Fader says I will be taking over the admin of the competition. Be gentle with me whilst I get to grips with it.
Any errors you notice don't be shy in letting me know, I won't take it personally !
Good luck to everybody in the December BILLY HILLS NAP COMPETITION
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On 11/29/2020 at 10:30 PM, MCLARKE said:
Last throw of the dice.
FAKENHAM 2.50
JACK RYAN 14/1
Well thank goodness it's the end of the month, a loss of £270. To be fair I was chasing losses for the last half of the month, schoolboy error !
Back to a more cautious approach for the new month.
LINGFIELD 12.20
TAYLORS THREE ROCK 5/2
£20 WIN BET365
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4 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
I’m at point now where I’d like an income for later on in life. I’m self employed so don’t have a company pension to fall back on
The earlier you invest the better due to compound growth, I think it was Albert Einstein who called compound growth the eight wonder of the world.
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1 hour ago, Trotter said:
I switched to footy betting a couple of years ago ........ since then I've lost all the money I'd won on the horses over the preceding 10 years plus a couple of hundred on top
At the moment I'm on Leicester who are going to lose at home to relegation certainties Fulham
Then I'm on West Ham and I think if that loses I'll have to get a grip and take a lengthy break from footy betting
I've made a bit of money on footy but just don't get the same enjoyment as I do with horse racing, it's probably being a Sheff Wednesday fan that does it !
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2 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Maybe the wonderful horses that we bet on are proper racing fit by December, so that may show up in your profits. I’m surprised how many jump horses even late November have yet to race that season. Paul Nichols has got off to a good start. I could be wrong but doesn’t he usually take time to warm up?
I've had a quick look at Nichols stats and he appears to do better in the 2nd half of the season. He has an AE of 1.05 from February to April but only 0.96 from November to January.
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Yep I retired from work a few years ago. It is easier to make money on the stock market than horse racing but you need to know what you are doing. I am at an advantage because I have a financial background. It is also easy to lose money, I lost about 30% of my investment when the virus hit in February / March. I've made most of it back but it was an uncomfortable time (certainly worse than losing a horse race!.)
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2 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:
Spent a bit more than I like to, as well.
My main source of income is the investments I have on the stock market. Horse racing is just a hobby but I probably spend a lot more time on the horses than I do on my stock investments. It's a lot more fun.
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On 11/28/2020 at 7:58 PM, Villa Chris said:
Think I’m going to freshen myself up and try again next Friday/Saturday
It's easy to become disillusioned when you have a bad run but unfortunately that's the nature of the beast.
I had an excellent October but November has been very disappointing despite a couple of longshots obliging.
For some reason November tends to be a poor month for me but December is a lot better so roll on tomorrow.
I will be having a look at Nicky Henderson's runners in December, he is the most profitable trainer to follow according to my records but beware his favourites !
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2 hours ago, Trotter said:
In the 'olden days' you had to provide a few sentences of reasoning with your selection which dissuaded people from pin sticking long shots and trusting to luck
personally I think it was a better competition then and you could see why people picked their horses
on the other hand it did put a lot of people off joining in and the numbers playing were lower
Yes, it's difficult to strike a balance, I think if you randomly picked 100/1 shots you would probably win the competition a couple of time a year but if you bet real money on them you would lose a fortune.
Perhaps it might be good to have an annual naps competition, that should be a truer test. Anybody any views on this ?
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On the same basis I am backing EPSOM DES MOTTES in the 2.40 at Ayr. This won it's last race by 17 lengths.
Currently best priced at 4/1 but if you bet with Unibet you can get a boosted price of 9/2 which is excellent value.
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1 hour ago, calva decoy said:
Always look out for S.Humphrey horses here at Fakenham, booking of B.Frost also caught the eye.
Hope you are right. I am also going for one of these but for a different reason, The Happy Chappy in the 2.20.
I do like horses that won the last race by a wide margin, in this case 33 lengths, albeit in a 3 runner race.
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Last throw of the dice.
FAKENHAM 2.50
JACK RYAN 14/1
£20 WIN BET365
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AYR 1.00
DHARAN 14/1
BET365
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FAIRYHOUSE 3.05
HYBERY 14/1
BET365 £20 WIN
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LEICESTER 12.56
BEGOODTOYOURSELF 14/1
BET365
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CARLISLE 2.50 ASHFIELD PADDY 5/1 BET365
This is the only 6yo in the race.
- Wildgarden and The Brigadier
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3 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:
Three fallers today that might be worth keeping an eye on in the near future imo.
Potterman-Difinitly Red-Shantou -Vllage
I think the fact that horses have fallen or unseated rider puts people off them so they often represent good value when they run next time.
I noticed there were a couple on the TV races today, FLASHTHESTEEL won at 12/1 and THE HOLLOW GINGE placed at 50/1, hardly a representative sample but food for though and something else I need to look at in a bit more detail.
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1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said:
Yorkhill bounces back to form 66/1!! Thank goodness i had bog
I think Ted wins today by a country mile.
GENERAL RACING CHIT CHAT
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Yep, best leave best alone for the time being , if it ain't broke don't fix it.