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MCLARKE

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Posts posted by MCLARKE

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    13 hours ago, gbettle said:

    No change to the system.

    You would be bonkers to be betting them as singles:

    281     Wins
    284.31     Expected Wins 
    A/E     0.9884
    218     Lost
    499     total

    56.31%     SR
    -14.40     LSP

    If the system doesn't make a return at level stakes then I can not see the logic as to why it will make a profit in the long term backing them as multiples.

    Racing Chat - Saturday January 22nd

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    12 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    Of course it is the right strategy to win the competition, however, what I am getting at is if a PL member chooses to follow him or anyone else for that matter they get caught up in the tactics played by participants whom I feel would not necessarily back the selections that they post up.  I would rather follow @mickyftm32selections and although the strike rate is not as high as Alastair's the profit is much more

    Personally, any selection I put up as a nap I will back with my own money.

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Wildgarden said:

    have you worked out what just doing trebles would be... does doing trixie help protect the bank or cost more long term or same results? ive done the maths for jan (not including first couple with bigger odds which you wasnt usual odds). £20 x 15 is £300 so you'd be a lot better treble only for january. ill check other months worth analysing this sort of thing to check on the right plan.

    Level stakes would be better for bank preservation, long term I suspect it makes no difference to the ROI whether you back in singles, doubles or trebles.

    Racing Chat - Saturday January 22nd

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

    Well you have 8 days left i would hardly say thats "blown it" but you know what the problem is so you have the solution the risk for want of a better word i would assume should be taken 2 days before the end of the comp if you are close. If your 2 or even one in front then the last 2 days u will understand the number you need and pick accordingly, Anyway good luck. As for my enthusiasm for long prices it will never get me in front of the most winners comp. 

    It's always interesting to see the tactics in the most winners comp. You could pick odds on shots from the start and then as you get closer to the end increase the odds to ensure you get above the £10 mark. Alternatively you could go for a decent priced shot early on and then rely on shorter prices thereafter.

     

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