[Racing Chat - Tuesday 12th March (Cheltenham)]

1 hour ago, calva decoy said:

There's lots of scrolling about to find the relative Cheltenham thread atm & was just going to add that looks like a fair bit of rain due tomorrow morning & going will be soft , which is good , as long as it doesn't go heavy which there's a chance on Cross Country Course for Wednesday's race .

Probably better to put comments on this normal daily thread (although it will have Cheltenham in the title to make it easier for new members who are attracted by the Cheltenham festival).

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2024]

[Naps - Sunday 10th March]

22 hours ago, MGC said:

Hello.

4th

Wh and bet365 offered 4 places 1/5 odds on this race. Does this apply to the competition?

As per the rules

• No conditional bets or special offers by any bookmaker will apply to the competition.

[Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase]

As per last year I'll donate any profits I make at Cheltenham to the charity

[CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL TIPSTERS COMPETITION - £100 First Prize]

Apologies,not sure what I did there

Thanks to @harry_rag for sorting it

[CHELTENHAM TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 1 Selections]

1.30

2.10

2.50

3.30

4.10

4.50

5.30

 

Please use this format for posting selections. Leave a space after the time and then post the name of the horse.  

Please do not use formats for time such as 2:30, 2-30, 230, 2,30, 2.30-, 1430

[Cheltenham Festival Statistics]

CHELTENHAM STATISTICS

Based on the last 10 years

 

SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price.

 Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413.

120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points.

 Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366.

 Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236.

 Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209.

 Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206.

 Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206.

 Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92.

[BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS]

Loss of £19.82 yesterday

Total profit £ 943.95

Wolverhampton 6.30 ELEUTHEROMANIA 33/20 £20 win 10% boost

LAZIO 4/5 £5

[Racing Chat - Monday 11th March]

AW selection

Wolverhampton 7.00

STELLA HOGAN

[£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome]

Wolverhampton 6.30

ELEUTHEROMANIA 33/20

£20 win BETMGM £20 10% boost

[Naps - Monday March 11th]

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30

TERESA GRACE 9/1

WH

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2024]

[BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS]

HONKY TONK HIGHWAY won, SP 3/1

Profit for day £45.60 less £5.40 on casino

Total profit £ 963.77

Naas 1.42 MIRAZUR WEST 19/20 £20 20% boost

Naas 3.27 HELIKO CONTI 21/5 £20 20% boost

Southwell 4.50 GRANT WOOD 11/2 £6

Southwell 8.00 PRINCESS NAOMI 7/2 £6

AC MILAN 4/11 £5

[£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome]

Naas 1.42

MIRAZUR WEST 19/20

£20 win BETMGM 20% price boost

[Racing Chat - Tuesday 12th March (Cheltenham)]

ULTIMA HANDICAP CHASE

A good run last time is important. 8 of the last 10 winners (from 90 runners) came in the top third last time and returned a profit. The remainder have a record of 2 wins from 130 runs with a loss of 71 points.

For such a competitive handicap the betting is a good guide. Those in the top 6 of the forecast betting have 9 wins from 68 runs with a profit of 32 points. The remainder have just 1 win from 152 runs with a loss of 103 points.

Ideally the horse should have had a win in the last 3 runs. These horses have a record of 6 wins from 84 runs with a profit of 17 points.

4 of the last 10 winners (from 31 runners) had their last run at Cheltenham.

The current 4^th favourite STUMPTOWN ticks all these boxes and is available at 9/1 with some bookmakers (6 places).

[Racing Chat - Tuesday 12th March (Cheltenham)]

CHAMPION HURDLE

This is a race where the favourite has an extremely strong record. 7 of the last 10 races have been won by the forecast favourite, with a ROI of 67%.

Horses should have had at least 4 wins in the last 6 races. There have been 67 horses that did not meet this criterion and all of them have lost.

The last win should have been in the last 78 days. Those that did not have a record of 0 from 55.

The last win should have been by at least 2 lengths. There were 65 horses that did not and only 1 won.

It is not very exciting but STATE MAN ticks all the boxes but at a skinny price of 2/5.

[Racing Chat - Sunday 10th March]

AW selection

Southwell 4.50

GRANT WOOD

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2024]

I didn't realize I was surrounded by so many Blades fans !

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2024]

1 hour ago, Donnyflyer said:

Wednesdays won a couple of games MC getting a bit excited.

Yep,it's getting a bit tight at the bottom of the table. Probably 50/50 that we'll be playing you lot next season.

[£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome]

10 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

Sandown 3.00

HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 21/5

£20 win BETMGM 20% boost

Won SP 3/1

Profit £ 75.60

Monthly profit £ 114.20

[SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm]

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2024]

[BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS]

Loss of £6.64 plus £10 win on Blackjack

Total profit £ 918.57

Sandown 2.25 BAD 7/1 £20 20% boost

Sandown 3.00 HONLY TONK HIGHWAY 21/5 £20 20% boost

MANCHESTER UNITED TOTAL GOALS OVER 2.5 11/8 £10

ARSENAL / SPORTING LISBON / BENFICA / SASSUOLO 3/1 £10

[Naps - Saturday 9th March]

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00

BOSH 9/1

BV

[Racing Chat - Saturday 9th March]

AW selection

Wolverhampton 5.35

MIGUEL