MCLARKE
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Posts
11,936 -
Joined
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Last visited
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Days Won
492
Posts posted by MCLARKE
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3 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
I find flat racing more unpredictable than jumps. I do think there’s more value though including ew value .
I struggle on the jumps but do well on the flat. I do find that the draw is a significant factor on the flat, this obviously doesn't apply on the jumps.
- Villa Chris and LEE-GRAYS
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Last lost but still a nice £100.70 return for a £1.50 stake
- tonythepaint, LEE-GRAYS and harry_rag
- 3
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5yo selections
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ASCOT 5.00
INTELLOGENT 14/1
BETFAIR
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System selections
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3.05 ROMAN MIST
3.40 GRANDE DAME
4.20 BAY BRIDGE
5.00 MIGRATION
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Dettori failed yesterday but Ryan Moore did well
The BET365 superboost is for Moore today, I wonder what will happen !
4/11 to 1/1 must be a good bet for £20
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Hope you are felling better.
I'm not a big fan of laying but these seem to be working well for you.
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There are 2 big heritage handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot. The first is the King George V Stakes. It is open to 3-year-olds and is run over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 211 yards. The off time is 15.05.
22 go to post and with some bookmakers offering 6 places it makes it an excellent betting proposition.
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.
Outsiders do not have a good record. There have been 71 horses with forecast odds over 14/1 and none of them has won.
It is best to have had a decent break from the last run. Those horses that last ran more than 24 days ago have a record of 7 wins from 89 runs with a profit of 21 points at Betfair Starting Price. Those that ran more recently have won just 2 from 67 with a loss of 49 points.
Those horses drawn in stalls 1 to 7 have a poor record with just 1 win from 53 attempts.
The ideal weight range is 8st 9lbs to 8st 12lbs with 5 wins from 56 runs and a profit of 43 points.
2 horses meet these criteria.
DAVIDEO 14/1
VALIANT KING 12/1
I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers offering 5/6 places.
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2 hours ago, richard-westwood said:
Brittania 5.00 asc
Finns charm 8.5 40/1
Saxon King 8.5 18/1
Royal Cape 8.3 22/1
Betterdayscomin 8.1 25/1
Docklands 7.8
Surely not 7.7
Incredibly difficult race as you can tell by betting ... .bookies going 16/1 2nd fav !!!....so its gotta be worth a punt ..... biggest factor i have is I think 12 /24 winners were drawn within 5 of either rail .(50%) .....un fortunately all top 4 are all drawn within 5 ...noooo....but huge prices and stats are in their favour so I'll try 10pt wins all 4 and hope a nice win is on the cards 👍
With 33 runners I would have expected enhanced places but most bookies seem to be sticking with 4 places
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Are you going to do us a leaderboard ?
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Well done to @MinellaWorksop and @kenisbusywho both found today's 33/1 winner to set the early pace
Many thanks for all those posting in the correct format, there were only 4 failures. I won't name and shame with the exception of @novirus who continues to not include the race time as well as only including part of the horse name and posts nearly an hour after the first race deadline
- Joales, calva decoy, Like A Roughie and 4 others
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2.30
3.05
3.40
4.20
5.00
5.35
6.10
Please use this format for posting selections. Leave a space after the time and then post the name of the horse.
Please do not use formats for time such as 2:30, 2-30, 230, 2,30, 2.30-, 1430
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5yo selections
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On 6/17/2023 at 12:16 PM, MCLARKE said:
An inauspicious start with not a single place but hopefully a bit more luck in the Ascot stakes
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Flat selection
Thirsk 4.45
COUNT D'ORSAY
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2.30 ANGEL BLEU
3.40 MANACCAN
5.00 TRITONIC
5.35 FOXES TALES
6.10 SAM COOKE
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Dettori to have a winner at Ascot
BET365 £20 win superboost
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ASCOT 5.00
NOVEL LEGEND 15/2
BET365
ROYAL ASCOT TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 3 selections
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
2.30
3.05
3.40
4.20
5.00
5.35
6.10
Please use this format for posting selections. Leave a space after the time and then post the name of the horse.
Please do not use formats for time such as 2:30, 2-30, 230, 2,30, 2.30-, 1430