MCLARKE
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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Chelmsford 8.30
NILOUFAR
£20 win BSP
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AW selection
Southwell 7.45
TEES DOUGE
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1.30
2.10
2.50
3.30
4.10
4.50
5.30
Please use this format for posting selections. Leave a space after the time and then post the name of the horse.
Please do not use formats for time such as 2:30, 2-30, 230, 2,30, 2.30-, 1430
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FACT TO FILE won at 8/13, LANGER DAN win at 13/2
Profit of £ 144.20 + £ 110 on blackjack
Total profit £ 1,326.55
A bit late today, £60 down at Cheltenham so far
Cheltenham 5.30 WHACKER CLAN 7/1 £20 free bet
WEST HAM 8/13 £5
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FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR CHALLENGE CUP
It pays to be fit. Those that last ran 11 to 28 days ago have won 6 times from 61 runs with a profit of 108 points. The remainder have 4 wins from 162 runs with a loss of 120 points.
This leaves 5, DEMNAT (50/1), WHACKER CLAN (7/1), BOWTOGREATNESS (14/1), WHEREITALLBEGAN (9/1) and RAPPER (33/1).
Those horses with an SP of between 13/8 and 4/1 have 6 wins from 43 runs with a profit of 79 points. This leaves DEMNAT and BOWTOGREATNESS.
Horses running over a distance 5 to 10 furlongs further than last time have 4 wins from 19 runs with a profit of 57 points.
This leaves DEMNAT at 50/1 (5 places).
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PLATE HANDICAP CHASE (Thursday)
8 of the 10 winners previously ran at Cheltenham or Leopardstown. This was from 67 runners and the profit was 96 points.
Horses that have run in large fields previously have a good record. Those that ran in fields of 10 runners or more have produced 9 wins from 83 runners with a profit of 84 points. Those that ran in smaller fields have just 1 winner from 135 runners with a loss of 119 points.
This narrows the field to 6, THEATRE MAN (3/1), JAMES DU BERLAIS (14/1), RIAAN (22/1), WATCH HOUSE CROSS (25/1), LIFE IN THE PARK (33/1) and STRAW FAN JACK (40/1).
Horses that have won over the distance before have a record of 6 wins from 67 runs with a profit of 21 points.
Those that finished 1st or 2nd last time have recorded 7 wins from 62 runners with a profit of 42 points.
THEATRE MAN and RIANN pass all the tests.
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On 3/11/2024 at 12:18 PM, MCLARKE said:
CHELTENHAM STATISTICS
Based on the last 10 years
SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price.
Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413.
120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points.
Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366.
Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236.
Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209.
Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206.
Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206.
Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92.
Thursday's selections
1.30 Letsbeclearaboutit - passes 5 tests
2.10 Flight Deck - 7
2.50 Conflated - 5
3.30 Noble Yeats - 5
4.10 Shakem Up'arry - 5
4.50 Dysart Enos - 4
5.30 Chavez - 5
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1.30 Letsbeclearaboutit
2.10 Flight Deck
2.50 Conflated
3.30 Noble Yeats
4.10 Shakem Up'arry
4.50 Dysart Enos
5.30 Chavez
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11 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
5 out of the 7 races yesterday were won by the 1st or 2nd forecast favourite
2 horses pass 4 of the tests today, EL FABIOLO in the Queen Mother and JASMIN DE VAUX in the Bumper
JASMIN DE VAUX won at 9/2
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11 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
Cheltenham 2.10
FACT TO FILE 29/20
£20 win BETMGM 100% boost
Won at 8/13
Profit £ 29.20
Total profit £ 83.40
- Nigwilliam and MGC
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2
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Another good day, profit now stands at £ 392.91, thanks again mostly to a £20 BETMGM free bet on Langer Dan at 7/1 (tipped by @The Brigadier)
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4 minutes ago, Bill11 said:
Also ANDELLIO posted twice on day 2 selections and he got credit for his second post . Does not this violate the rules.
I think he was replacing non runners, I could be wrong.
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13 minutes ago, Bill11 said:
Sorry Mc , Just realized couldn't put numbers in front of names . My bad . New to all this so trying the hang of it.
No problem. Just makes my life a bit easier.
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9 hours ago, Fist2k8 said:
How many time are you going to allow odds on shots on a naps table?
It has become a joke, guys putting up 1/3 shots to win a lousy 20 quid. month after month
How mush skill does it take to find the shortest price fav of the day and post it?
That's not tipping it's taking the xxxx A simple solution to stop it..no odds on shots at time of selection.
also I notice guys not posting because they can't lose unless they do and their selections get beat.
What if we all had the attitude?....."I can't win so I am not posting"
I think we've had this debate before
You could also argue that long shots shouldn't be allowed because the occasional winner could win you the monthly naps competition
A lot of people find the most winners comp very interesting, you obviously don't
- Bedlam and The Equaliser
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@Old codger takes the daily honours, picking 12/1 UNEXPECTED PARTY, 13/2 LANGER DAN and 9/2 JASMIN DE VAUX.
Amother good day for @Bathtime For Rupert means he extends his lead.
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1.30
2.10
2.50
3.30
4.10
4.50
5.30
Please use this format for posting selections. Leave a space after the time and then post the name of the horse.
Please do not use formats for time such as 2:30, 2-30, 230, 2,30, 2.30-, 1430
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58 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:
They just said the quiet bit out loud there didn't they? "spent the whole year getting his handicap mark down for this" Langer Dan. so does that mean the horse hasn't been running on its merits because that's how i read it. and that's what the handicaps are, manipulations.
Is that not part of the game / puzzle ?
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CHAMPION BUMPER
Good winning form is very important. Those horse that had 2 or more wins in their last 6 runs have 8 wins from 59 runs with a profit of 7 points. The rest have 2 wins from 143 runs with a loss of 103 points.
Horses that last ran at Leopardstown or Fairyhouse have 7 wins from 44 runs with a profit of 25 points.
Favourites / second favourites have 6 wins from 22 runs with a profit of 7 points.
This leaves the current favourite JALON DOUDAIRIES at 7/2 (4 places).
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JOHNNY HENDERSON GRAND ANNUAL CHASE
This is a race for the outsiders. Those with forecast odds of 20/1 or above have a record of 6 wins from 98 runs with a profit of 213 points. The remainder have 4 wins from 106 runs with a loss of 56 points.
A good rest is useful. Horses that last ran more than 50 days ago have 7 wins 85 runs with a profit of 199 points.
This leaves just 1 horse, TRIPLE TRADE, available at 33/1 (5 places).
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CORAL CUP
Horses that are carrying a similar weight to last time have a good record. Those that are carrying a weight within 2 pounds of its last run have a record of 6 wins from 57 runners with a profit of 119 points. The remainder have 4 wins from 198 runs with a loss of 124 points.
They should also be running within 1 length of their last race. These horses have a record of 7 wins from 94 runs with a profit of 72 points.
This leaves LUCKY PLACE at 25/1 and DA CAPO GLORY at 33/1.
7 to 9 years old have the best record with 8 wins from 129 races and a profit of 93 points.
This leaves DA CAPO GLORY at 33/1 with UNIBET (5 places)
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Cheltenham 2.50 LANGER DAN £20 free bet
Racing Chat - Friday 15th March (Cheltenham Day 4)
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Similar offer on BETMGM but £20 + £20 100% price boost