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  1. Like
    JKos reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Nov 4th & 5th   
    Everton V Watford
    Watford +0.25 @ 2.12 Betvictor
    I feel Watford are priced too big against a struggling Everton side here. I watched Leicester V Everton at the weekend and David Unsworth has a task on his hands. Everton showed some decent countering threat with the forward runs of Aaron Lennon and long passing of Wayne Rooney but they still lack a ruthless centre-forward and genuine midfield playmaker. This may become even more apparent in home matches where you have to make the game + the Goodison crowd can run out of patience pretty quickly these days.
    Watford on the other hand are suited to playing away from home and I think they can cause Everton some problems here. We know that Troy Deeney will be banned for this game after Joe Allen incident but it shouldn't be of too much concern as Andre Gray will be a handy replacement for this game with his speed on the counter. I also expect Richarlison and Carrillo will like this game as Everton have really struggled at right-back this season in the absence of Seamus Coleman and Unsworth looks no closer to finding a solution there.
    Watford ahead on key metrics, ELO ratings. Everton have to play in Lyon on Thursday. Markets have Everton as clear favourites for Watford game and I cannot understand why. I would expect +/- 0 line to be much more balanced than it is here. Watford +0.25 @ odds against seems to be decent value play in this situation.
  2. Like
    JKos reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Nov 4th & 5th   
    Swansea City V Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion +0.25 @ 2.10 Paddy Power
    A close match on paper but the stats show Brighton are the more efficient team infront of goal and I'm not sure that markets have this one price correctly.
    Obviously Brighton have form advantage but when will the fortunes of either team begin to turn? Swansea will see this as an important and winnable game against a perceived relegation rival. The home team can be a menace from wide areas in this game as I have reservations about Brighton's ability to defend flank attacks. Despite this, Paul Clement's side have struggled infront of goal all season and I'm concerned the problem might be terminal for their Premier League survival hopes.
    Brighton have not exactly been world beaters in the final 3rd either but that might start to change with the return to fitness of Glenn Murray. He is a massively underrated centre-forward and he will enhance players around him such as Knockaert, March, Izquierdo and Gross.
    When it comes to the crunch we have two teams that are closely matched in a difficult game to predict. I was expecting Brighton +0 line to be around 2.10 for this game but instead we're getting +0.25 line at said price. Brighton +0.25 @ odds against seems to be a reasonable value play here.
  3. Like
    JKos reacted to Magic0024 in La Liga Predictions > Nov 3rd - 5th   
    Football Facts and Streaks regarding La Liga
    Barcelona have won their last 17 home games in La Liga.
    Atletico are undefeated in their last 17 away games in La Liga.
    Sevilla have failed to score in their last 3 away games in La Liga.
    You can find interesting 40 Football Betting Streaks for 04.11.2017 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-04-11-2017
  4. Like
    JKos got a reaction from Tiffy in Champions League Predictions > Oct 31st & Nov 1st   
    Also I have to comment on Manchester City
    They really seem like the real deal.Last year they would have folded like a lawn chair after 1-0.
    They really went after Napoli and basically treated them like Stoke City
    Kudos to Guardiola
  5. Like
    JKos reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Nov 4th & 5th   
    The Premier League was full of dramatic action this weekend. The big game this coming weekend is the clash between Chelsea and Manchester United. There is also Manchester City versus Arsenal that could throw up some exciting football. Let's get the chat for these matches going now. Tips are everywhere. Let's hear them!
    @sajtion, @discipline, @Pipoca, @the bastardian, @Mindfulness, @Sir Puntalot, @AndreBR, @mrclubbie, @neilovan, @allyhibs, @Judeksi, @Tiffy, @KikoCy, @Bett, @zemo91, @sm0kez, @Bronxie, @Duuc, @Dylan Lynch, @betcatalog, @vasilli07, @omch@, @the real slim shady, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Snoopdog, @allthethings, @JKos, @Pep004, @Torque, @AK1979, @Mindfulness, @Charon84, @dylanphan, @Kenton Schweppes, @dorleywilliams, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @KingSoccertips, @seifer365, @punterpeter, @EviL ZippY, @jamiedavies02, and @WinningAdvice.
  6. Like
    JKos reacted to sajtion in Premier League Predictions > Nov 4th & 5th   
    interesting fixtures. i think i'm going to have a go at these.........
    burnley better away than at home this season, burnley to win 1-0
    west brom always hard to beat and do to what they do best defend deep, score counter attack, shut up shop, west brom win 1-0
    swansea to me doesn't look like they will survive in the premiership and not scoring goals, brighton win 1-0
    bilic did it to tottenham so why not liverpool, west ham to win 2-1
    watford looks exciting in attack and creating oppotunites, everton need new manager and january transfer window asap, watford to win 2-1
    this one is more of gut feeling than anything else. tottenham have occasionally struggled after big champions league games so crystal palace to win 2-0 and zaha to score first
  7. Like
    JKos got a reaction from Kenton Schweppes in Premier League Predictions > Oct 20th - 22nd   
    Who let the dogs out?
    Dogs are barking and loud
  8. Like
    JKos reacted to AK1979 in Premier League Predictions > Oct 20th - 22nd   
     A Gooner checking in. I certainly wouldn’t be backing us at even money with an away record of P4 W0 D1 L3 F1 A7. Although Everton aren’t in great form either, they beat us in this fixture last year and will be tempting in the draw no bet market.
     West Ham were showing signs of a revival recently and were undone by Andy Carroll’s sending off at the weekend. I think they will be worth backing at home to Brighton.
    I think Spurs' goalpower will be too much for a defensively suspect Liverpool
  9. Like
    JKos reacted to malabgd in Premier League Predictions > Oct 20th - 22nd   
    West Ham v Brighton
    West Ham: Javier Hernández (8/3 f, probably in), Andy Carroll (5/0 f, suspended), Diafra Sakho (7/1 f), James Collins (3/0 d), Adrián (0/0 g, illness)
    Brighton: Shane Duffy (8/0 d, doubtful), Tomer Hemed (6/2 f, suspended), Steve Sidwell (0/0 m), Beram Kayal (0/0 m), Sam Baldock (0/0 f)
    Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com
  10. Like
    JKos reacted to andrewcalo in Premier League Predictions > Oct 20th - 22nd   
    Everton had some fight in them today, not that it mattered much lol
    I have my eye on two games this weekend. 
    Watford dug their heels in against Arsenal and fortune went their way. They'll have confidence going in to this game that they can nick something. ALSO - Chelsea are woeful at the moment and leaking goals with the lack of Kante, who they have relied on way too much and that is now costing them.
    BTTS seems a cert, as Watford will take advantage. I think the +1 on Watford is also juicy given the way Chelsea are suffering .they weren't doing too great before the injury woes. I think there's a lot of value there.
    MAN CITY v BURNLEY  -  Burnley +2 (odds of 3.3!!! ), or BTTS
    This is down to the quality and steadfastness of Burnley who are doing great this season and also because of Man City's Champions league exertions. Burnley can disappoint here, and I think Man City are marginally overpriced due to the hammering they gave Stoke last week.
    Burnley should be able to get one past them.
    Finally, my book is offering Burnley at a ridiculous 26 to 1 to win. What the fcuk are they thinking? If it was the likes of Bournemouth or dare I say it Swansea this would still be a piss-take. 
    I'll stick a tenner on that. Cashout if Burnley make it to half time looking good will be £50 at least.
  11. Haha
    JKos got a reaction from Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th   
    Wow Watford really turned the table!
    Slowly heading to ArsenalFan TV
  12. Like
    JKos reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th   
    First card after international week can be a bit sketchy as the break can be a real disruptor for various reasons.
    I take a similar line to @neilovan and @JKos with regards to Watford on +AH, it's on my shortlist for now and will wait for lineups to make final decision. A lot depends on the Arsenal lineup and whether Sanchez plays or not. Fading bigger clubs with more call ups on first week back from internationals can be fruitful. 
    A lot of the other games are fiendishly difficult to call, note the total lack of consensus with Swansea V Huddersfield.
    Palace V Chelsea? Palace's results have imploded but what about desire, belief and spirit? This is key question to ask if we are to realise a change in Palace's form. I have no read on Palace for this game other than Fabregas tends to show up like a bad penny in these encounters. I agree with @sajtion that this is not a game to get heavily involved with. Markets project narrow Chelsea win and it's hard to disagree, in my opinion - no value to be had = no action required.
  13. Like
    JKos reacted to jazzman02 in Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th   
    All teams have payed 7 matches...

  14. Like
    JKos got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th   
    Personally I have a soft spot for Newcastle since I've lived and studied there a couple of years. They've seemed to be playing better lately and I would love for them if they could get a shot at advancing at the Europa League for starters.The fan base is passionate as it gets and they deserve to have a good team over there though I'm not quite sure how the spending/investments have been going there recently...I'm mean they were just promoted to the Premier League,
    Now to the picks.This past weekend my system plays were quite spot on though I needed luck for the West Ham win (at the buzzer) and on the other hand I lost the Stoke-Southampton draw for 5 minutes.
    Here are my system  picks
    Burnley SU 1 @2.40
    Chelsea -1,5 @2.09
    Huddersfield SU 2 @3.80
    Watford 1X @2.30
    Brighton SU 1 @3.20
    Newcastle X2 @ 2.05
    West Brom X2 @ 1.85
    and my gut play
    Manchester United 2 (DNB) @2.00
    Best of luck to all
  15. Like
    JKos reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Sep 30th & Oct 1st   
    Stoke City V Southampton
    X @ 3.4 Bet365
    A bit of a stick or twist game for these two teams. I feel neither will want to loose their last game before the international break - especially to a direct league competitor.
    I don't see much daylight between these two in general and both parties may find it difficult to claim all 3pts from this contest.
    Both sides have not been so ruthless and slightly toothless in recent games so I will go for X here.
    West Bromwich Albion V Watford
    X @ 3.25 Bet365
    The ELO ratings are giving Watford nearly a full goal advantage but West Brom may prove too gritty and organised for Marco Silva's exuberant countering style to prove effective here.
    In my view we have another fixture involving direct league competitors and I think it will be more difficult for Watford than metrics suggest.
    West Brom have the tools and knowhow to disrupt but recent form has been shoddy so X seems to be the logical compromise in this situation.
  16. Like
    JKos reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Sep 30th & Oct 1st   
    I can see the logic since Palace haven't scored a goal this season and lost all our matches + Man Utd one of the strongest teams in the league but surely Man Utd to win to nil @ 7/10 is uninspiring price, to me it does not look big value even though it's a rational and logical play.
    Can't really comment on Moscow game affecting win to nil outcome other than Man Utd seemed to comfortably win which is surely better for their condition than any other outcome from said game. Always have to look at injuries and absences before a new match anyway, I would say listen to manager's presser comments but you have to take Mourinho's words with a pinch of salt, look at banana gate in Europa League last year ffs.
    Palace have no recognizable centre-forward for Man Utd game but I don't think I need to tell you folks about the old 'no centre-forward repel theory' a theory which is both profound and far-reaching, some say dangerous.
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