JKos
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Posts posted by JKos
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If I had to pick an underdog today that would be Swansea
Newcastle is 1 W and 5 L in its last 6 games at home.I think the home crowd pressure gets to them
The team seems to be suffering Watfortitis(playing better on the road than at home)
Swansea really has a chance with a win to get in the tick of things
Leaning towards Swansea @4.75
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I am going with 3 plays today
Parlay Everton +0.5 and Burnley +0.5
Value Bets
Everton 2 @5
Burnley 1 @6
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Smacked and smacked across the face
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This week my model identifies some value bets in the DNB and double chance market
Tottenham DNB (projected score 2-2 but value in Tottenham)
Everton DNB (projected score 1-1 but value in Everton)
West Ham DNB (projected score 1-1 but value in West Ham)
Swansea X2 (projected score 0-0)
Huddersfield X2 (projected 0-0 or 1-0 loss) this is a risky play @1.95
West Ham X2 (projected score 1-1)
Also there is some value in the -1,5 AH market.Perhaps you could parlay with 0.5 unit
Manchester City -1,5 (projected to win 0-3 or 1-3)
Manchester United -1,5 (projected to win 3-0)
The only game where a straight up winner is expected is Brighton
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Saved there at the end
Unlucky with the Betis Getafe game
lucky today
Espanyol DNB @1.99 next play
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Parlay hit!
Leicester 2DNB push
Burnley double chance hit!
Newcastle LOSS
Now submitting final play for today
0.5 unit for West Ham Double chance
0.5 unit West Ham straight up
Best of luck!
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Congrats to Bournemouth big win for them
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Burnley scores!
Now we need NCL for some last minute magic
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Adding Burnley double chance
Also small stakes parlay
Huddersfield DNB & Brighton DNB
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Well Leicester have choked the lead twice today 2-2 with 15 minutes to go
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Adding system play
Atletico @1.91 -0.5AH
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My premier league system when running for Bundesliga with different variables predicts 3-1 or 3-2 Dortmund win.As this still in testing mode...tail or fade
Dortmund straight up
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Bad teams all over the place in a corrupt league here are some system picks for today.
Xanthi DNB
Atromitos straight up
Aster as DNB
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Submitted plays so far
Leicester DNB
Newcastle straight up
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Werder Bremen X2 for tomorrow
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Real Betis straight up for tomorrow
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Well the system plays worked well especially for the Porto game where we got bailed out there in the end
Sevilla really manhandled Spartak and the score does not pay service to them
Tottenham DNB and Napoli DNB are a wash
Besiktas was to win by a goal but I suspected they would lay off because they havent dominated a game yet
2-3 overall on the system plays today
3-0 yesterday
Big time win with the Porto -1,5 AH with odds @4.00
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Another system play for today
Sevilla -1,5 @2.20
My submitted plays so far are
Porto -1,5 @4.00 and Sevilla -1,5 @2.20
I don't like the DNBs as it can go either way and my gut says Besiktas is due for a letdown
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After sweeping the board lets go with Wednesday's picks which are tricky
Besiktas straight up
Napoli DNB
Tottenham DNB
Porto -1,5 @4.00
Best of luck!
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Using my premier league system so here goes
Man United -1,5AH conservative -2,5 risky
Roma DNB
Sporting +0,5 AH
Best of luck to all
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Going by system picks
Newcastle straight up
Watford straight up
Burnley X2 (risky pick 2)
West Ham 1X (risky pick 1)
Leicester 2DNB
Brighton +0.25 AH
The system also predicts a Chelsea-Man United draw though @2.10 DNB for ManUnited there is value.
Also Man City to hang 4 goals on Arsenal @4.33 could be a bet I look at.A more conservative pick is ManCity -1 @1.82
Best of luck to all !
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Early leans for the week
Man United straight up
Chelsea -1
Leicester straight up
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Its obvious Liverpool has problems on defence
They are on my list to be faded especially on derbys and Chamions league 8sans games against Maribor like teams)
Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Very nice writeups!
Brighton
What stands out is their level of competition.They faced Liverpool surprisingly well although they blew their lead ,defeated West Ham,Leicester and Leeds
the only bad spot could be considered the road loss to Fulham a similar opponent in strength as Brentford.
I do not anticipate that they make the same mistakes and coming off a tight scoreless home loss against Tottenham on almost even money,I'm buying them
I have Brighton winning this evening 2.03-0.95 therefore expecting a 2-0 or 2-1 win