sammydubs

Hi guys,
A few observations to form an adventurous multi....
I watched Canvey Island beat Merstham 3-0 last week. Canvey were decent but it was 0-0 until Merstham were reduced to 10 men in their influential Centre Back. Canvey are on a good run but so are Bognor who are also top of the league. 2/5 looks an excellent accumulator booster.
Add that to Leiston unbeaten in 4 and in play offs against a poor Worthing team in free fall (but probably already safe). I can't see Worthing coming away with anything more than 0 points! 4/9
I can't understand the odds here. Lowestoft flying against Folkestone in awful form. Lowestoft comfortably the better team over the season. 4/5. Add that too! 
Darlington top of the form table vs Gainsborough bottom...4/5 
Maidenhead to beat Bishops Stortford - No explanation need here! 2/9
Same for Dartford to beat St Albans 8/13
Buxton (still in play off hunt) vs the worst team in all the divisions - Skelmersdale 3/10
7 teams pays 15/1 - Good luck!! 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Needham are strong at home, Merstham have been weak (just this season I must add) away....should be a home win?! Not so sure!
Not just because Merstham are my team but I fancy them here and can't believe they are 5.75 !! 
Merstham won the reverse fixture 4-1, Merstham are 4th in form league (over last 6 games) and Needham are 16th. On paper this should be a home win but at 5.75 I think its worth a punt on Merstham ! If a market comes up for -1 goal I would be tempted on that too because Merstham are so hot and cold they could win 4-0 or lose 4-0 but if its anywhere near 10.00 then i'll have a small punt!
Canvey look worth backing at 2.25 and Billericay at 2.00 too
 

Some tricky betting this week...
Agree with @addpea about Worcester v Darlington, also Worcester havent scored from open play since Feb 4th, that scorer was Lee Hughes (now at Telford). Darlo are a point behind the play-offs, and must regard this as 'banker' material
Darlington to have clean sheet @ 2.70 
Darlington and both teams not to score @ 3.25 
 
Aldershot v Lincoln
Both teams have similar form of late, and Lincoln can focus on winning the league. What these two teams have in common is the ability to score goals with Lincolns Matt Rhead (lincoln) on 13 and Aldershots Scot Rendell on 12. Aldershot have score 14 in their last 6 home games (W4 D2) and score an average of 1.71 goals per home match, Lincoln have lost only 1 league game this year (away to Barrow) and are W5 D1 L1 in 2017, scoring 11. They score an average of 1.73 per away match and have kept only 3 clean sheets away from home.
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 
BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 
(All Skybet prices)
Cant see anything else that stands out.
 
 

I havent looked into Team news, I think they will win but I just think 2.20 is a tad skinny!

Wow - Bookies are on it this week, I can't see any value at all in Ryman !!
Tonebridge at 2.00 maybe and I can't split Merstham and Staines so 3.75 on the draw looks ok.
Dulwich should win but 2.20 not very appealing. 

Wow - Bookies are on it this week, I can't see any value at all in Ryman !!
Tonebridge at 2.00 maybe and I can't split Merstham and Staines so 3.75 on the draw looks ok.
Dulwich should win but 2.20 not very appealing. 

Does this thread cover Scottish League 2??
if so then Montrose at 3/1 against a struggling Clyde looks excellent value!! 

Nice tip on Met Police @sammydubs , that and lincoln saved my ass!

Leatherhead won last night! And it should have been 4 or 5 I heard. Sudbury are a very poor side, Met Police at 1.95 looks a solid bet. 
Big win for Met Police against my tip Burgess Hill last weekend vs Sudbury who are getting stuffed every week. Lump on!
Will let you know anything else I fancy when I get time. 

Just the one bet from me Macclesfield at 2/1 to beat Eastleigh. See no reason not to carry on opposing the home side.

Few thoughts for this weekend....
My team Merstham welcome Harlow with a bad away record this season. Merstham haven't been the most consistent and the team has been rotated a lot, however I've said before that they are a good quick team who score goals, especially at home in the league. 
A lot of league places cover Merstham and Harlow but Merstham have 5 more games to play. Their league position is misleading and on the back of 2 strong league away wins and a good home record vs a bad away record I think 2.25 is a good price for Merstham
Merstham win @ 2.25 Bet365
Next tip is for Barrow to put away a poor Torquay side. Having watched Torquay many times when they are a league team it pains me to see them struggle so much now. Their squad is weak and this is reflected in their continued season after season battle to avoid relegation. Now having said that they have a habit of actually performing quite well against the better teams this season, however I struggle to see them coming away with a result from a Barrow side who are full of confidence. They did play mid week (Beat Macclesfield who drew with Torquay last weekend) but reading their fans forum they seem in a very buoyant mood to put away a Torquay team who will be battling relegation come end of season
Barrow win @ 1.60 Bet365
Burgess Hill have a good home record vs Met Police with a bad away record. Just 2 places between them in the table but Met Police have played 4 more games. I have seen Burgess Hill play this season they look solid and well organised team and know what they are looking to achieve. Unbeaten in 5 and although they had a disappointing draw last week I still fancy them to beat Met Police. I would price them at about 1.70-1.90 so no massive value but still a good one to add to your doubles or trebles. 
Burgess Hill to win @ 1.75 Bet365
Leatherhead are struggling, they haven't won all year!! Jimmy looks like he has lost the dressing room and some of the individual displays have been awful. They aren't playing as a team. I saw them last year at Merstham, they looking very average. Merstham played awful and it finished 1-1. I don't know much about Lowestoft other than their home record is just about Ok, however I am happy to take on Leatherhead away from home on better than even money.
Lowestoft win @ 2.10 Bet365
Good luck!
Sam
 
 

Point taken and agreed @addpea
this weekends main treble is going to be difficult however leaning towards towards...
York 
Burgess Hill
Merstham 
Bromley I like too but gut feel not good. Eastleigh I've seen once live this year vs Swindon and they looked good, granted it was FA Cup and they have lost players since. Tough decisions! 
Good luck to all 
 
 

Few thoughts for this weekend....
My team Merstham welcome Harlow with a bad away record this season. Merstham haven't been the most consistent and the team has been rotated a lot, however I've said before that they are a good quick team who score goals, especially at home in the league. 
A lot of league places cover Merstham and Harlow but Merstham have 5 more games to play. Their league position is misleading and on the back of 2 strong league away wins and a good home record vs a bad away record I think 2.25 is a good price for Merstham
Merstham win @ 2.25 Bet365
Next tip is for Barrow to put away a poor Torquay side. Having watched Torquay many times when they are a league team it pains me to see them struggle so much now. Their squad is weak and this is reflected in their continued season after season battle to avoid relegation. Now having said that they have a habit of actually performing quite well against the better teams this season, however I struggle to see them coming away with a result from a Barrow side who are full of confidence. They did play mid week (Beat Macclesfield who drew with Torquay last weekend) but reading their fans forum they seem in a very buoyant mood to put away a Torquay team who will be battling relegation come end of season
Barrow win @ 1.60 Bet365
Burgess Hill have a good home record vs Met Police with a bad away record. Just 2 places between them in the table but Met Police have played 4 more games. I have seen Burgess Hill play this season they look solid and well organised team and know what they are looking to achieve. Unbeaten in 5 and although they had a disappointing draw last week I still fancy them to beat Met Police. I would price them at about 1.70-1.90 so no massive value but still a good one to add to your doubles or trebles. 
Burgess Hill to win @ 1.75 Bet365
Leatherhead are struggling, they haven't won all year!! Jimmy looks like he has lost the dressing room and some of the individual displays have been awful. They aren't playing as a team. I saw them last year at Merstham, they looking very average. Merstham played awful and it finished 1-1. I don't know much about Lowestoft other than their home record is just about Ok, however I am happy to take on Leatherhead away from home on better than even money.
Lowestoft win @ 2.10 Bet365
Good luck!
Sam
 
 

Few thoughts for this weekend....
My team Merstham welcome Harlow with a bad away record this season. Merstham haven't been the most consistent and the team has been rotated a lot, however I've said before that they are a good quick team who score goals, especially at home in the league. 
A lot of league places cover Merstham and Harlow but Merstham have 5 more games to play. Their league position is misleading and on the back of 2 strong league away wins and a good home record vs a bad away record I think 2.25 is a good price for Merstham
Merstham win @ 2.25 Bet365
Next tip is for Barrow to put away a poor Torquay side. Having watched Torquay many times when they are a league team it pains me to see them struggle so much now. Their squad is weak and this is reflected in their continued season after season battle to avoid relegation. Now having said that they have a habit of actually performing quite well against the better teams this season, however I struggle to see them coming away with a result from a Barrow side who are full of confidence. They did play mid week (Beat Macclesfield who drew with Torquay last weekend) but reading their fans forum they seem in a very buoyant mood to put away a Torquay team who will be battling relegation come end of season
Barrow win @ 1.60 Bet365
Burgess Hill have a good home record vs Met Police with a bad away record. Just 2 places between them in the table but Met Police have played 4 more games. I have seen Burgess Hill play this season they look solid and well organised team and know what they are looking to achieve. Unbeaten in 5 and although they had a disappointing draw last week I still fancy them to beat Met Police. I would price them at about 1.70-1.90 so no massive value but still a good one to add to your doubles or trebles. 
Burgess Hill to win @ 1.75 Bet365
Leatherhead are struggling, they haven't won all year!! Jimmy looks like he has lost the dressing room and some of the individual displays have been awful. They aren't playing as a team. I saw them last year at Merstham, they looking very average. Merstham played awful and it finished 1-1. I don't know much about Lowestoft other than their home record is just about Ok, however I am happy to take on Leatherhead away from home on better than even money.
Lowestoft win @ 2.10 Bet365
Good luck!
Sam
 
 

Few thoughts for this weekend....
My team Merstham welcome Harlow with a bad away record this season. Merstham haven't been the most consistent and the team has been rotated a lot, however I've said before that they are a good quick team who score goals, especially at home in the league. 
A lot of league places cover Merstham and Harlow but Merstham have 5 more games to play. Their league position is misleading and on the back of 2 strong league away wins and a good home record vs a bad away record I think 2.25 is a good price for Merstham
Merstham win @ 2.25 Bet365
Next tip is for Barrow to put away a poor Torquay side. Having watched Torquay many times when they are a league team it pains me to see them struggle so much now. Their squad is weak and this is reflected in their continued season after season battle to avoid relegation. Now having said that they have a habit of actually performing quite well against the better teams this season, however I struggle to see them coming away with a result from a Barrow side who are full of confidence. They did play mid week (Beat Macclesfield who drew with Torquay last weekend) but reading their fans forum they seem in a very buoyant mood to put away a Torquay team who will be battling relegation come end of season
Barrow win @ 1.60 Bet365
Burgess Hill have a good home record vs Met Police with a bad away record. Just 2 places between them in the table but Met Police have played 4 more games. I have seen Burgess Hill play this season they look solid and well organised team and know what they are looking to achieve. Unbeaten in 5 and although they had a disappointing draw last week I still fancy them to beat Met Police. I would price them at about 1.70-1.90 so no massive value but still a good one to add to your doubles or trebles. 
Burgess Hill to win @ 1.75 Bet365
Leatherhead are struggling, they haven't won all year!! Jimmy looks like he has lost the dressing room and some of the individual displays have been awful. They aren't playing as a team. I saw them last year at Merstham, they looking very average. Merstham played awful and it finished 1-1. I don't know much about Lowestoft other than their home record is just about Ok, however I am happy to take on Leatherhead away from home on better than even money.
Lowestoft win @ 2.10 Bet365
Good luck!
Sam
 
 

Hello all,
I having been following this forum each week and reaping the rewards, thank you!
Monday 6th Feb Merstham vs South Park - County Cup
I have been following my local team Merstham and they play tonight in Surrey Senior Cup under County Cup on bet365.
Ive seen them play 5 times this season and not seen them win, including a 3-0 home defeat to a team in same division as South Park!
However tonight I fancy them at 1.61! Why? Merstham are very much a confidence team, when they have a big win they follow it up with more big wins. When they are losIng they go on a run of losing!
Last match they broke their away duck for the season with a 4-0 win in the league. They didn't play at weekend and I fancy them to rack up a big win because despite their league position they are a very good, quick team who score goals at home.
When they lost 3-0 at home to a team in same league (but significantly above South Park) it was 0-0 and they missed some sitters before their captain was sent off and they lost their heads.
They are defending champions and very proud of it. South Park are struggling in the league below. Nice local derby for Merstham to show their quality that got them to Round 1 of the FA Cup. 
Plus I can't go so they are bound to win!!
Bet365 - Back Merstham at 1.61