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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/15/2023 in all areas

  1. 1st and 3rd !!.....I'm so chuffed with that rating ..26 runners down to 2 ....bog camprond do will get paid ew at 20/1 ....so far all 3 races I've rated have been won by top rated !! I think returns ....215.00 ? or thereabouts ?
    11 points
  2. With all attention on Cheltenham sometimes it is easy to miss some real nuggets elsewhere and we have one tomorrow night in the 7:30 at Kempton East Asia ridden by Billy Buick has an outstanding chance, this horse was beaten 5 1/2L into second by Manobo at last years Dubai carnival (G3) in an incredible time. Manobo is the 2nd fastest horse over 1m6f i have ever recorded (Arc winner Alpenista being the fastest). Priced up at 7/2 for tomorrows race i fully expect East Asia to win this and then go on to win the final on AW champions day. My only concern and it is a small concern is that it hasn't won on the AW but the 7/2 price offsets that because in my opinion in this class 3 it should be evens or shorter. Warning since posting- East Asia has taken a walk in the market it is an unbelievable 7/1 as i type, either this horse is "not off" today or it is totally underestimated, I suspect it is the former and cling precariously to the hope that it is the later. It may well be running as "tune up" qualifier for aw finals day. Its best performance was first time up last year so it can run well fresh. It will be very interesting to see how this pans out. Either way it tells you all you need to know about what is wrong with the racing game, the bookies and connections have access to information that the punter does not and that is wrong, if this horse loses today and then wins on finals day it just confirms what we already know and that is we are being treated like mugs.
    9 points
  3. Coral cup 26 runner cavalry ...jeez Computer has thrown up .......top 2 Langer dan 9.0 12/1 Camprond 8.8 14/1 Neither is in form tbh so a bit weird but camprond is jp mcmanus ....is it coup time ???.? I'll try 10pt ew both
    7 points
  4. RESULTS UPDATE Two good winners today meant that I ended up with a profit of 9.10. Many thanks to @richard-westwoodfor highlighting Langer Dan, I chose the Skelton horse over the Hobbs horse but cursed myself for not backing both as Camprond looked all over a winner near the end of the race. This makes my MTD +18.19 and my YTD -77.08. This looks like a first for me being in front at the Cheltenham Festival. Let's hope I can continue to make a profit.
    4 points
  5. Grand annual Very very tough race ....need to be careful because irish tend to send one over specifically Computer rated Third time lucky 8.9 13.5 Before midnight 8.7 30.0 Global citizen 8.7 20.0 No confidence because of irish horses but I'll try 5pt wins top 3 for a bit of fun
    4 points
  6. Fader

    Valspar Championship

    Obviously not as exciting this week as previous weeks. Smallish greens here and once again water hazards on half of the holes. Par 71. However, looks like alot of wind is anticipated and we could even see it overflowing into Monday. Saturday looking the dodgy day. I can't be going too mad. 1pt e/w Riley 30/1 bet365 (8 places, 1/5th) 1pt e/w Suh 35/1 bet365(8 places, 1/5th) 1pt e/w W.Clark 35/1 bet365 (8 places, 1/5th) --------- 0.5pts e/w Bhatia 100/1 bet365 (8 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts e/w Coody 125/1 bet365 (8 places, 1/5th) -------- 0.5pts e/w K.Bradley first round leader 35/1 (bet365 5 places, 1/4th)
    3 points
  7. I'm on a watchsee tomorrow because it's been raining here all day so I think chelt will be like a mud hole ....I'll see how the course runs tomorrow before making a decision about Friday.....heavy ground is like chucking money down toilet
    3 points
  8. Norrie should be far more versatile and equipped to withstand anything Bigfoe throws at him. I bet Alcaraz will reach the final, his hunger for being no.1 again is big. Saba shouldn't have any problems reaching the final to have a rematch with Iga.
    3 points
  9. 1650 che Maskada 25/1 bet365 Each way
    3 points
  10. Yesterdays gave us 1st, 2nd and 4th in the Supreme, 4th in the Ultima, 1st and 3rd in the Mares and 2nd and 3rd in the Fred Winter, overal though a slght loss in the place markets unless you took early prices. Some at prices from over the water today: Good luck today everyone, I thinks this is always the hardest day to find winners. Energumene (FR) 3.30 Cheltenham 6/4 Delta Work (FR) 4.10 Cheltenham 11/8 Galvin (IRE) 4.10 Cheltenham 5/2 Champ Kiely (IRE) 1.30 Cheltenham 8/1 Gaelic Warrior (GER) 1.30 Cheltenham 11/2 Good Land (FR) 1.30 Cheltenham 5/1 Impaire Et Passe (FR) 1.30 Cheltenham 15/8 An Epic Song (FR) 2.50 Cheltenham 16/1 Captain Conby (IRE) 2.50 Cheltenham 8/1 Fil Dor (FR) 2.50 Cheltenham 12/1 Grand Roi (FR) 2.50 Cheltenham 66/1 Hms Seahorse (IRE) 2.50 Cheltenham 10/1 Run For Oscar (IRE) 2.50 Cheltenham 8/1 Scaramanga (IRE) 2.50 Cheltenham 50/1 Tax For Max (GER) 2.50 Cheltenham 40/1 A Dream To Share (IRE) 5.30 Cheltenham 7/2 Fun Fun Fun (IRE) 5.30 Cheltenham 13/2 Hands Down (IRE) 6.15 Newcastle 13/2
    3 points
  11. 815 Newc Swayze 9/1 bet365
    3 points
  12. Not sure what to make of that race to be honest. East Asia went from 14/1 in running to 9/4 to fading away. Winner did well off a 638 day absence but in a time 10+ seconds slower than average. On the plus side i pulled 50% of my stake back when i saw the market drift. I never listen to "noise" but i do listen to the market.
    2 points
  13. There's so many diff ways you can rate horses ....this link is,a very good read and is very similar to 1 of the ratings I do and an excellent starting point https://www.thesportsgeek.com/sports-betting/strategy/horse-racing/
    2 points
  14. I watched Norrie and he was very impressive , he was hitting back just about anything Rublev was throwing at him , if he was 1,75 or above I would have taken him
    2 points
  15. Not to shabby: 1.30 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th 2.50 2nd 16/1 and 4th at 50/1 3.30 1st 4.10 1st and 2nd 5.30 1st with 1 to come in the Newcastle race, massive drifter though so looks unlikely.
    2 points
  16. Fantastic ratings Richard. For a minute there I was thinking Oh No I've backed the wrong horse as Camprond looked almost a certainty. Strange how the computer picked them when as you said neither have been in form. Very well done once again ?
    2 points
  17. Suckered in by hype for Good Land, well done to Willie Mullins. Hats off to Sam Twiston Davies for being the real whacker to beat my selection Gerrie Columbe a fully deserved win 2.30 Hunt Odins Quest 1 pt win at 4.2 4.10 Chelt Snow Leopardess 0.50 ew at 12/1 (4TBP) 4.30 Hunt Big Norm pt win at 6.2 4.50 Chelt Andy Defresne 1 pt win at 6.4 8 pts staked so far Add in: 2.50 Chelt Langer Dan 1 pt win at 12.0 5.30 Chelt A Dream To share 1 pt win at 5.8 and Fun Fun Fun 1 pt win at 7.2 Total stakes today = 11 points
    2 points
  18. Maria Sakkari to beat Kvitova @-165 I feel as though I've got a decent read on this tournament so far since I jumped in a little bit late, but now with a bit of a foothold.. I was really impressed with Sakkari in her last match. The shots she was hitting, movement, and the quality of opponent are all high points, and I think she does a little bit better than Pegula on this surface especially considering she made the finals last year, and seems to be completely in form. I thought Petra played average today, and I am concerned that she could play better but ulitmately her serve is not reliable enough to back, and Maria seems motivated to keep going. It's a bit of an entertainment bet for me if I"m being honest. I don't think there's crazy value on this, but I am trying to adjust my betting strategy to include more conservative bets like these, and build my bankroll in alternate ways. Good luck guys!
    2 points
  19. 2 points
  20. 1 pt win Jazzy Matty 18/1 Paddy Power 4.50 Chelt
    2 points
  21. Back On The Lash - Was prominent for a fair way in this race last year, but ended up not really seeing it out in the heavy ground and pulled up. He ran really well at the November meeting here when 3rd in good handicap over the normal course. He then ran over this course and distance in January and took full advantage of it being a handicap as he won carrying 10-5 and had Delta Work just under 5L back in 3rd, but he was carrying 11-7. It doesn't really need me to highlight that off levels here he is going to have a much stiffer task to uphold that form. Coup De Pinceau - He put in a very good performance to land the 4m contest on Hunter Chase night here in April and didn't run too badly at Cartmel where he finished 3rd before it was discovered he shouldn't have run in the race because the hunter chase season hadn't ended yet. He ran OK at Musselburgh back in November, but pulled up last time in the Devon National. Should be outclassed in this field though. Deise Aba - 'Did not enjoy the Grand National course last year, but clearly enjoyed this course as he finished to Back On The Lash here in January. He had to carry 2lbs less in that race so off levels here he shouldn't really reverse the form with the winner nor uphold the form with Delta Work. Delta Work - Was the party pooper in this contest last year when getting up in the last 110 yards to beat Tiger Roll by 3/4L. He followed that up with a superb 3rd in the Grand National off a huge weight (he had to carry 13lbs more than Noble Yeats). Clearly both of those runs are way superior to what most of these could achieve. He's returned in good form this season as well. First up he won the Risk Of Thunder Chase at Punchestown over their banks course in November and then he was a good 3rd giving all that weight away here in January. Tiger Roll would often warm up for this in the Boyne Hurdle at Navan and that's what Delta Work did last month where he ran creditably behind Blazing Khal. He looks in the same form as last year and is the one they all have to beat. Diesel D'Allier - Has done well over this course since coming over from France. He was 3rd to Back On The Lash in November 21 and then won the following month. After that there was nothing wrong with his 4th in this race although he was 30L behind Delta Work which shows how much ground he has to make up. He was disappointing on his only run so far this season in the January contest over this course and he will need to come on plenty for that. If he does then he might have a small e/w chance given his good record at the track prior to that run. Easysland - Was a superb winner of this contest in 2020 and was 2nd to Tiger Roll in 2021, but he has run terribly in every run since then including when only 9th in the January contest over this course. If somehow he did re-find his form then he would be a player, but that would appear to be very unlikely. Foxy Jacks - Ran in the Ultima at The Festival last year when 14th. Was 3rd to Delta Work in the Risk Of Thunder back in November and was a close 5th in the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas. His only run over this course and distance was in the January race but he fell at the 15th. He was well beaten at the Dublin Racing Festival last time back in handicap company. On that 3rd at Punchestown he has an e/w chance in this as he looked like this longer trip would help him. Francky Du Berlais - Ran way above his odds when 5th in the January race over this course, but again he would have benefitted by the fact that was a handicap and there doesn't seem any reason why he should reverse the form on these terms. Franco De Port - A Grade 1 winner over 2m1f at the Leopardstown Christmas meeting back in 2020 and that was his last victory. He has run some good races in defeat however and he clearly stays well having finished 3rd in the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris last May. That race is over 3m6f and whilst not a cross-country race as such they do have to jump different obstacles in that contest which should bode well for his first run over this track. All his runs have been in Grade 1 or 2 races this season and he's run solidly on the whole. He should appreciate this drop down in class and if he does take to the track then he can be a leading player. Galvin - Finished 4rh in last year's Gold Cup which obviously is a top class effort in the context of this race. This season he landed a Grade 3 at Punchestown in October, but he hasn't been so good on his next two starts only beating 1 home at Down Royal and then well beaten at Leopardstown in the Savills Chase where he was a long way behind Franco De Port. The trainer has reported that he has schooled well over the fences so likely to go close. Hardline - Has been running in points for most of the season winning a couple, but that form way below what would be needed to win this and was only 6th at Punchestown in a much lesser race than this over their banks course Lieutenant Rocco - Won a handicap at Kempton last time off a mark of 122 which is way below what will be needed here and he looks like he might be a doubtful stayer as well. Mortal - Given it was his first run for a year he ran really well to finish 4th here in January only 7L behind Back On The Lash. He clearly enjoys this track as he finished 4th here in December 2021 as well. Clearly has something to find, but if he comes on for the run he has a place chance. Plan Of Attack - He was the horse who followed Delta Work and Tiger Roll home in this race last year although he was 22L behind the winner. He's not really run that well on his 4 subsequent starts though which would be a concern. There was a glimmer of promise when he stayed on here in January to finish 7th after finding himself outpaced. On balance though he will do very well to repeat last year's 3rd let alone do any better. Gin On Lime - Won a Grade 3 Novice Chase at Tipperary in October 2021 over 2m4f and he then won the infamous match race here at the November meeting when My Drogo came down at 2 out. She's run well enough in defeat since and was a fair 4th in the Kerry National last time, but that was back in September and I'm not sure she wants this trip. Also it remains to be seen to how she takes to the track. Snow Leopardess - Seems to be coming back into form and ran well for a long way here in January before fading into 6th place. She put in an even better performance at Haydock last time in the Grand National Trial to finish a close 2nd to Quick Wave. The softer the ground the better for her and whilst she needs to find something to win this on these terms she could well offer e/w value. Verdict - Given this isn't a handicap it is hard not to see the 3 classy horses coming to the fore here. Delta Work was so impressive here last year when beating Tiger Roll that I think he can land the race for the 2nd time. For me he is coming into this race in better form than his stablemate Galvin. Franco De Port looks to be e/w value at the prices especially as he was in front of Galvin last time and his run in France last May suggests this sort of test should suit him. There are others who can run well headed by Snow Leopardess who seems to have found her form again, but unless something very unusual happens it is hard to see how any of those outside of the front 3 in the betting can possibly win.
    2 points
  22. Fader

    WST Classic

    Haven't had a great deal of time to look at this because of Cheltenham but here's ones I am going with at big prices. Of course Murphy has been incredible recently but I have him for the Worlds and so if he wins here then no problem. All PaddyPower. Who are 2 places like everybody else is for this. Imo it should be 4 places. It's one of the reasons i've not gone for short prices. You have to beat alot of players here. 1pt e/w Brecel 28/1 paddypower 1pt e/w Hawkins 28/1 paddypower -------------------------------- 0.5pts e/w O'Connor 66/1 paddypower 0.5pts e/w Gould 125/1 paddypower 0.5pts e/w Zhengyi 250/1 paddypower
    1 point
  23. I dint think it's been as bad on course as near me so I've rated the pertemps final and I'll go ew to be safe ?
    1 point
  24. 5/5 - Bank @ £20.01 - job done ✅ Attempts 42 Double ups won 17 Thread bank -£80.00
    1 point
  25. Bigfoe struck hard at least today for the americans. I think Sakkari will beat Kvitova but she's not one I would dare to put my last dimes on.
    1 point
  26. ralphie7

    Quick System

    Result Huntingdon 05:10 TELHIMLISTEN.....1st..2/13 rule 4 applies @ 15% Todays Profit = + 1.31 pts Current Years Profit 2023 = - 10.21 pts (Years Profit 2022 = - 239.42 pts.) (Years Profit 2021 = - 197.65 pts.) (Years Profit 2020 = +17.50 pts.) (Years Profit 2019 = + 287.87 pts.) (Years Profit 2018 = + 90.52 pts.) (Years Profit 2017 = - 73.44 pts.) (Years Profit 2016 = + 437.86 pts.) (Years Profit 2015 = + 18.52 pts.) (Years Loss 2014 = - 30.20 pts.)  (Years Loss 2013 = - 105.06 pts.) (Years Profit 2012 = +127.65 pts.) (Years Loss 2011 = - 13.82 pts.)    (Years Profit 2010 = +166.01 pts.)  Bank = + 2367.12 pts.  Profit = + 2267.12 pts. Current Winning Run = 7
    1 point
  27. Well the first thing is relatively simple, how much effort/time are you prepared to work, In my estimation 25 hours per week is the bare minimum.
    1 point
  28. if your new to racing pa4410 if you go on gaulstats that will also give you some trends I find this site very helpfull
    1 point
  29. Mr Incredible - I think it is fair to call him a bit of a monkey as he has been reluctant to race in the past. His rider has said that he really should be going for the Midlands National on Saturday, but Patrick wants to become just the 3rd jockey to win all 3 races at the meeting so he is running here instead. He seemed to be on a going day last time at Warwick when staying on for 2nd behind Iwilldoit. If he repeats that effort then he is a big player here, but the drop down in trip might not be ideal. Annual Invictus - Has won over fences here, back in October 2021 over 2m4f, but he hen seemed to go the wrong way over fences and this season he has gone back over hurdles to great success winning here in November and at Newbury last month. If he brings that form back over fences he'd be an e/w chance in this, but that could be a big if. Beauport - Won a Listed Race at Carlisle on chasing debut in October, but his jumping hasn't been as good since at both Haydock and here on New Years Day when a 20L 4th to The Real Whacker. Clearly nothing of his class in this and a stamina test might suit him more based on his hurdles form. Farinet - James King is a very good booking for a horse who has disappointed on his 2 starts including over course and distance on New Years Day and was then even worse at Ascot last time. On his seasonal return in December though he was a very good winner of the Welsh National Trial at Chepstow and he wouldn't be the first horse from the yard to bounce back to form at this meeting. Rapper - He was the winner of that course and distance race on New Years Day and he is only 5lbs higher here. He ran OK at Sandown last time over a slightly shorter trip and the fact that a very good jockey in Alice Stevens is able to claim 3 is no bad thing either. Horses in 1st time headgear tend to do well at this meeting and he has a visor on for the first time. Dunboyne - Has had a very in and out season having refused to race in November at Punchestown and then winning over 2m4f a week later at Gowran Park. He then pulled up at Fairyhouse the following month, before bouncing right back to form in the Thyestes back at Gowran when going down a short head to Carefully Selected. Jamie Codd has won this race 4 times and if he is on a going day then it is easy to see him going close. Coeur Serein - Was 8th in the Pertemps Final here last season and he has only had 4 races over fences going into this. He pulled up here first up in October, but did better when a close 2nd at Chepstow in December. He then disappointed at Doncaster later that month before going to Newbury and winning a 3 runner race last month. Can run well although doesn't strike me as a likely winner. Slipway - We know he stays well as he won the Highland National at Perth last April. He then had a break and when he returned he added the Southern National at Fontwell to his CV. He was terrible when favourite last time though in the Edinburgh National. Gina Andrews is a top booking and if he bounces back to his Perth and Fontwell form then he has a solid e/w chance. Defi Bleu - Very in and out and never seems to follow a good run with another. He was 2nd in the Cork National in November, but then ran 3 poor races before finishing 3rd in the Grand National Trial a Punchestown last month. Has an e/w chance if on a going day, but chances are he wont be. Royal Thief - Won on his first start over fences back in October 2020, but was then brought down the following month at Punchestown. Clearly had issues since then because he didn't run again until January where he bolted up by 10L at Punchestown. He has been hammered in the handicap on the back of that though and is 15lbs higher here, but clearly he is very unexposed and he might be up to it. Lord Accord - Ran in the Cleeve Hurdle last time, but was well beaten and ran OK in the Coral Gold Cup when 9th the time before. Won here at the October meeting and was a good 2nd to Frodon in the Badger Beer at Wincanton. Is capable of running well, but I suspect he might need better ground. Punitive - Had looked fairly progressive prior to running poorly in the Thyestes last time. Had won over 3m5f at Fairyhouse the time before and was 2nd over 3m1f here at the November meeting. If he bounces back he's another that wouldn't be out of this. Dr Kananga - Started life in points and was very impressive when winning a hunter chase at Hexham in May 2021. Struggled when going handicapping to start with, but then found his form and won easily at Chepstow and Sandown last February. Was an OK return over hurdles at Bangor in November, but was well beaten in the Becher Chase the following month and as no better in a Grade 2 over hurdles last month at Haydock. Would imagine he will try and make all, but will find it hard to do so. Stumptown - Only 6, but has looked very progressive the last twice wining by 12L at Thurles in January and then by 7L at Sandown las month an the 2nd has franked the form since. Has gone up 12bs for that, but there could easily be more to come from him. Fontaine Collonges - Was very disappointing when sent off favourite for the Grand National Trial at Haydock last month and he had run well on is previous two starts this season when he won at Haydock and was a staying on 4th a Kempton over 3m. Again he is another one who could easily go well if he bounces back to form. Musical Slave - Did win at Exeter last time and does have Derek O'Connor on top, but this 10yo is more exposed than most here and he might struggle in a race like this. Emir Sacree - Seemed to enjoy stepping up to 3m at Sandown last time when a good 3rd, but would need to find improvement from somewhere to land a blow in this. Western Zara - 3rd to Punitive at Fairyhouse in December, but was poor last time at Leopardstown in December and whilst she does have scope for improvement she does need to find a fair bit. Captain Cattistock - Landed the 4m race here on hunter chase night and has done well since going back handicapping including winning over course and distance in April. Run well this season without winning including finishing 2nd in the Edinburgh National last time. This is tougher, but he can go well. Angels Dawn - Has run really well since going handicap chasing having finished a short head 2nd at Punchestown on New Years Eve, before winning at Down Royal the following month. She then unseated at 2 out when still in contention in the Grand National Trail last time and this progressive mare should have more to come. Ballykeel - Finally got off the mark over fences last time at Fairyhouse, but whilst he was 1/2L behind Angels Dawn at Down Royal in January that one does look more progressive. Coo Star Sivola - Has struggled in 3 runs so far for this yard. Didero Vallis - 3rd in this last year and is 8lbs lower this year, but he looks badly out of form at the moment. Verdict - This is one of the toughest races of the meeting and the shortlist is pretty big. Of the shorter priced horses I think Angels Dawn makes most appeal as she has a low weight here and looks progressive. There are quite a few here who if you forgive their previous run then would have a big chance and given Venetia Williams won this race last year with a 40/1 shot I give both Farinet and Fontaine Collonges good chances at big prices. I am just going to side with Rapper though. He is a course and distance winner on soft ground and didn't run badly at all down in trip at Sandown last time. I like the angle of the first time visor and Alice Stevens is very good value for her 3lbs claim. Rapper e/w @ 25/1 with Bet365 6 Places
    1 point
  30. 4th. Returns £142. + £599.
    1 point
  31. NH selection Huntingdon 3.50 HILLFINCH
    1 point
  32. Nice start yesterday of +2.10pts on the favourites doubles. Here are today's shortlist and scores based on the same formula as yesterday utilising @MCLARKE 's excellent research. 1:30 Impaire Et Passe 9-0 (9) Hermes Allen 8-1 (7) 2:10 Gerri Colombe 5-0 (5) Sir Gerhard 7-1 (6) 2:50 Run For Oscar 5-1 (4) Camprond 4-4 (0) 3:30 Edwardstone 3-2 (1) Energumene 5-3 (2) 4:10 Delta Work 0-4 (-4) Galvin 0-3 (-3) 4:50 Dinoblue 6-2 (4) Andy Dufresne 2-4 (-2) 5:30 A Dream To Share 6-0 (6) Fact To File 6-1 (5) From this the four I have chosen are: Impaire Et Passe A Dream To Share Sir Gerhard Run For Oscar Now let's enjoy the action unfold.
    1 point
  33. Pity this didn't come in..so close.
    1 point
  34. Well done Leo, back to winning ways and now up at the top of the league after the week before's top 2 fell away early. Could be all change again after tonight's PLO leg, usual start time 8.10pm with 20 minutes late reg. I'll have to miss this one so play nicely
    1 point
  35. Happy valley 11.15 UW BROTHER Each way Gets the assistance of Matthew Chadwick the in form jockey who has ridden multiple winners recently. RAGING BLAZE Win Won here two runs ago and stepped down in trip latest and again ran well. Back to this trip holds good chance under capable rider. I have to also add that Harry Bentley has to be watched on Alloy King at a big starting price. He usually rides big priced winners but has only had one success this month and he may come back to hand at any time. But a watch on this occasion.
    1 point
  36. Newcastle. Single 5.40. Old Smoke 6/1 stk. 5.00 rtn. 35.00 Good luck all.
    1 point
  37. Cheltenham. 3.30. Beacon Edge 12/1....unpl 5.30. Facile Mode 5/1 3rd singles & double ew stk 6.00 rtn 122.00. Good luck all.
    1 point
  38. Happy valley 1245 G one Excellent Win Form 2221-1 Comes here in rich vein of form. On bare sight we have not seen the best of this runner. Style of running suggests his come from behind style can leave him exposed to traffic issues. But the taking manner of his two recent breakthrough wins mean a change in tactics to front running might leave him clear. If he goes to the front early he may well hold off the field. Drawn in stall 9 this is the highest draw he'd need to overcome although his back CV shows a just denied run from stall 8 in the past. Ominous name and hopefully he isn't "gone", just yet......
    1 point
  39. ralphie7

    Quick System

    Yes he won very easily today. I wonder....... Wednesday 15/03/2023 Huntingdon 05:10 TELHIMLISTEN f/c. 1/3 Stake = 10 pts. WIN
    1 point
  40. Xtc12

    Conflict Cup

    A new record for me in GB .... 8 consecutive winners. Land Legend 17.05 Newcastle 1 pt win @ 11/8 (bog)
    1 point
  41. Vondrousova/Muchova over 2.5 sets at 2.85 in-play with Unibet This might be my only bet on this match. Can't see any clear winner here acctually and I'm betting on the overs.
    1 point
  42. Kempton. Single. 6.00. Flowers 9/1......unpl stk 5.00 rtn 50.00 Cheltenham later ....Mr R Beckett first. Good luck all.
    1 point
  43. dejann

    NBA 2022/2023

    Oklahoma-Brooklyn Date: 14.03.2023. Sport: NBA Start time: 01:00 cet Pick: OKC-1 @1.909 Bookmaker: Pinnacle Stake:1 unit Schedule: neutral, BRK 5th away game, all west conf Teamnews: neutral (K. Williams out / Simmons out) Model: OKC 3.4 233.9 Robo number: OKC 3 234 Final number: OKC 3 234 Picks: OKC-1 @1.909 (min price OKC -2 @1.95) Comment: Thunder without K.Williams (bench player, out 5+ games). Simmons (benchplayer, out 5+ games) is unavailable for Nets. Date Home Away SchTPts SchHC SugTPts adjTPts SugHC 14/03/2023 Oklahoma City Brooklyn 233.9 3.4 232.2 233.9 3.4
    1 point
  44. Luck15 2.50 Chelt Corach Rambler 13/2 (0.50 win at 13/2) 4.10 Chelt Maries Rock 11/4 (2 pts win at 4.2 My PL Nap today) 4.50 Chelt Byker 7/1 (0.50 win at 7/1) 8.30 Sou My Boy Jack 4/1 (1 pt win at 5.4) L15 = 0..20 win = 3 pts = poss return of 435.85 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Other bets: 2.50 Chelt Into Overdrive 0.50 win at 9/1, Fannion Destruval 0.25 ew at 25/1 (free bet) 3.30 Chelt Not So Sleepy 0.25 ew at 125/1 (free bet) 4.50 Chelt Byker 0.50 win at 7/1, Perseus Way 0.50 win at 9/1 5.10 Sed Ribeye 1 pt win at 7.8 6.00 Sou Thrave (OM) 0.50 ew at 17/2 6.30 Sou Climate Precedent (OM) 0.50 win at 7/2, Uncle Matthew 0.5 win at 15/2 8.15 Nc Royal Parade 0.50 win at 14/1 and Another Investment 0.50 win at 17/2 Total stakes = 13.50 Good luck to all today ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Two winners and a non runner and a few close calls. Got duped into backing Maries Rock, should have backed Honeysuckle. Missed @richard-westwood's post on Marine Nationale so I would have included that one instead of Facile Vega. Anyway, with the extra returns paid on the Betfred L15 for Corach Rambler I scraped through with a 0.60 profit on the day. Makes my MTD + 9.09 and YTD -86.18. Had 4 winners in the comp so I can't complain
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  45. Petra Kvitova to beat Pegula @ 2.75 I am hedging this with two other +money bets . I already write Petra. She is playing well from what I saw.. I stop myself from going against last round because I like what I see. Jessica is a beatable player imo, and she could easily win, but I have this rated as a flip. Petra is raw value like Czech Punter said.. He would never lay the odds given here. GL guys! I've already placed these bets.
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  46. The Queen Mother Champion Chase is a Grade One National Hunt steeplechase open to horses five years or older. It is run over two miles and the participants are invited to jump thirteen fences. Three of the last six renewals have gone to an Irish raider upping their game at this discipline. Older horses between the ages of eight and ten tend to do well in this. All previous winners had experienced a previous run at Cheltenham and each of the last ten winners had won at least five previous chases. CAPTAIN GUINNESS Henry De Bromhead’s 8 year old has 16lb to find on official ratings and looks out of his depth here. Ridden by Rachael Blackmore he was a grade 2 winner at Navan last November and chased home Blue Lord at Leopardstown over Christmas. Place chance at best. EDITEUR DU GITE Great record at Cheltenham winning three of his five starts and arrives in a rich vein of form having won the Desert Orchid Chase at Kempton over Christmas prior to beating two of today’s rivals in Edwardstone and Energumene over course in distance in the Clarence House Chase in January. He loves to bowl along in front and those tactics will no doubt be employed here by Niall Houlihan for trainer Gary Moore. Will be dangerous if allowed a soft lead. EDWARDSTONE Alan King’s big hope of a winner at the meeting. Top novice chaser last season winning the Arkle Chase at last year’s meeting. Impressed on his re-appearance when winning the Tingle Creek at Sandown by 9L from Greaneteen. Was headed in the final strides by Editeur Du Gite last time over course and distance and must be a major player here under his regular pilot Tim Cannon. ENERGUMENE A consistent two mile chaser who won this last year and looks the most likely winner to my eyes. Trained at Closutton by Willie Mullins and ridden by Paul Townend he’s won 10 of his 13 runs under rules and can surely be forgiven his latest run behind Editeur Du Gite and Edwardstone when beaten just under 7L. His trainer stated afterwards that the horse was struggling with the painted white take offs which they don’t have in Ireland! A strange excuse but we can always excuse a horse a poor run and he can bounce back here. FUNAMBULE SIVOLA Was a 40/1 runner up to Energumene in this last year beaten 8 1/2L. Venetia Williams’ charge bounced back to form when winning the 4 runner Game Spirit Chase at Newbury last month but will need a career best to get amongst the leaders today. Charlie Deutsch rides. GREANETEEN Smart two chaser on his day trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Harry Cobden. 9L behind Edwardstone in Tingle Creek and turned over at odds on in Game Spirit behind Funambule Sivola last time. Best on good ground and todays testing ground unlike to suit. NUBE NEGRA Useful on his day but was pulled out on the morning of this race last year due to soft ground and conditions look unlikely to suit here. Trained by Dan Skelton and ridden by his brother Harry he was 17L behind Editeur Du Gite at Kempton over Christmas and is hard to fancy on this ground. Summary:- Not the best renewal of the Queen Mother Champion Chase which revolves around the front three. They all met over course and distance in January where Editeur Du Gite came out best. It’s maybe a different story today with the Willie Mullins trained Energumene fancied to bounce back to form and beat his two old advisory’s and follow up last year’s victory under Paul Townend. 1 Energumene 2 Edwardstone 3 Editeur Du Gite
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  47. The Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase is open to horses aged five or older and is run over a distance of three miles and six furlongs. There are thirty-two obstacles to navigate around, each one presenting a new challenge to the horses that attempt them. In running, the horses meet obstacles like no other including cheese wedges, railed hedges, several types of ditches, banks and jumps. It is run on a figure of eight style course and all runners try to circumnavigate three completed laps. Horses can qualify for the race by placing in preparation races run at Punchestown, Pau or any of the three races run at this track in November, December or March. Statistics prove that the Irish have dominated in this sphere in recent years as they have taken seven of the last ten renewals. Only one six-year-old has won this race in the last decade and only two favourites have won the race within the same time-frame. Last year saw Delta Work emerge as a leading cross country horse when he defeated three time winner of this race and his stablemate Tiger Roll. **Delta Work ** Ran a cracking trial for this when a good third over the course and distance carrying near top weight at the end of January. He finished a little over four lengths behind Back On The Lash, but should easily turn that form around off level weights here. He ususally needs a couple of runs to get him into shape so no surprise to see him run again just a couple of weeks later. Out of his depth now in graded chases, the ten-year-old was beaten over a dozen lengths by Blazing Khal at Navan over an inadequate trip. That run should have blown away any cobwebs and put him spot on for a repeat bid here. Galvin Was a useful chaser in his day, but much like his stablemate Delta Work, he seems to have lost the plot in regular chases. He won the Grade One Savills Chase at Leopardstown just over a year ago, but he has looked a pale imitation ever since. If he takes to these fences he has to be a threat to his stablemate in the same way that Delta Work was to Tiger Roll last year. Of the pair Delta Work was rated higher over regulation fences and no surprise if Galvin finds his stablemate too good once again here. Good Bye Sam Willie Mullins has never won this race but Good Bye Sam is an intriguing contender. He has been kept to Hunter Chases since joining the Clostutton based yard and has never finished outside of the places in any of his five runs to date. He made his Cross Country debut at Punchestown last spring where he finished a good second to Vital Island. The form of the race has been franked on multiple occasions so that is a positive sign. He is still only lightly raced but as he has never been to this track before he will need to have his wits about him. Likely to make the frame once more but one to keep on the right side of for the future. Samcro Another formerly useful chaser who won a Grade One Novice Hurdle at the Festival when beating Melon in the Marsh Chase back in 2020. A lot of water has passed under the bridge since then and his attentions have been turned to the pointing scene. He has proved to be a revelation on that circuit and has won on each of his last three outings. At his best he would still struggle to match the class of either Galvin or Delta Work. He looks to be here for the experience and perhaps there are brighter days ahead for him. Hip Hop Conti Not much is known on this side of the channel about this young French chaser. He is remarkably consistent at home and has won three of his last five starts including at listed level. All of his best form has come with plenty of give in the ground, so if conditions deteriorate he could well have a live chance. History dictates that six-year-olds do not have a good record in this race although interestingly Daniel Cottin brought Easysland over at the same age and he won. Unlike Easysland though, Hip Hop Conti has no previous experience of the track and that could prove his undoing. Prengarde Prengarde used to have a lofty reputation an was a regular winner for the Laganeste Macaire yard a couple of seasons ago. Since joining Enda Bolger he has looked lifeless and has pulled up in two of his three runs. This looks like mission impossible for the seven-year-old and he is readily overlooked. Back On The Lash He is locally trained by Martin Keighley but his moment in the sun came over this course and distance just a few weeks ago when getting the better of Deise Aba and Delta Work. Off level weights here though he will struggle to confirm that form against last years' winner of this race. Likely to run a huge race all the same and has to have an each way squeak. Minella Times Did not take to this course and distance when last seen pulling up in a race won by Back On The Lash at the end of January. The former Grand National winner was effectively broken following his win in that great race and has been on the downgrade ever since. It looks highly unlikely that a return here will spark a revival and he probably deserves retirement now. Summary This looks a great opportunity for Delta Work to follow in the footsteps of stablemate Tiger Roll by racking up a sequence of wins at this track and in this race. He ran his heart out in a practice for this behind Back On The Lash over the course and distance a few weeks ago and he will be cherry ripe on the day. Back On The Lash is locally trained and deserves credit for his win last day and he could well make the frame once more. Galvin is an intriguing contender and if taking to the track could well be in the mix too. Punters Lounge Tip: Delta Work @ EVS NRNB at Betfred - Click Here To Bet by Karl Hedley @Tumbleweed King
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  48. Plumpton 3.00 Conkwell Legend 16/1 bet365
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