Jump to content
** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

Leaderboard

Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation on 12/25/2022 in all areas

  1. After a quick look through tomorrow's cards it's refreshing to see so many entries at many of the courses ? Lincolnshire National 2.50 Mkt.Rasen - CASH TO ASH 25/1 eway sky ( 6 places ) was 2nd in race last year & 1Lb lower .
    8 points
  2. Merry Christmas all and happy new year punting.
    7 points
  3. More small field fodder served up as cuisine for boxing day. If racing can't find 10 horses for a race of good group race prize money then they should evenly distribute the pool throughout the industry and scrap the pattern. Other thoughts.....take away all the BS hype. Someone tell me the 20/1 i got for Royale Pagaille is a bad bet. Thyme Hill is a huge price at 6/1 Sporting John 12/1 for a Hobbs good double with the above (82/1 ish) Throne Hall is a silly price at 12/1 for the 12:10 at Kempton. slap that fiver dble on add a deep sea diver per gg and a 40p lucky 15 all 4 gg's £31 quid well spent in my book.
    6 points
  4. 2-33 down royal storyteller .if the predicted rain happens the 11/4 available could be big come race time good luck always gazza
    6 points
  5. 12:45 Kempton - Paisley Park @ 5.6 on Smarkets. Merry Christmas all - have a good one.
    6 points
  6. Ahoy Senor 2 30 Kemp/ £25 ew {1/20th} of a pt 18/1 Zanza 1 35 Weth/ 1/20th of a pt win 14/1 Highway One Two 1 55 Kemp/ 1/20th of a pt win 100/1 P/L + 158.55 pts
    5 points
  7. Goshen 12.45 if the horse can get the 3 miles should have a good chance of winning this race only 2 races iv looked at have another look tomorrow at some other races
    5 points
  8. millers bank 2.30 ew seems well overpriced won a grade 1 over2m4f so this horse is no slouch by all means
    5 points
  9. 2-30 kemp envoi Allen didn't jump with any fluency when last seen but you can't easily rule this one out it's not just about the top two in the market
    5 points
  10. Newcastle. Single. 2.00.. Lady Tremaine 10/1 ew. unpl Good luck all.
    5 points
  11. 1.40 MR -FAKIR 16/1 bog 3 places bog 250 MR-WHO'S IN THE BOX 33/1 bog 5 places 1/2 pt e/w singles = 2pts Running Total Profit +3.08
    4 points
  12. Main meeting of the day at Kempton: 12.10 Some smart young horses in this but for me Rare Edition has the best form on offer, was he from the Nicholls or Henderson stable I'm sure he would be a bit shorter than he is at the moment. Unbeaten under rules and is going the right way, as are many in this race of course but Rare Edition it is, trading at around 5 on betfair, win and place bet............................................................................................................Nice start WON easily at a Bfsp of 6.08 ? 12.45 In the Long Walk its Paisley Park for me, I think he would have beat Champ in the Coral but for an awkward jump at the last and he can get revenge here, cant see Goshen or Miranda being up to this standard. Paisley Park trading at a ridiculously high 5.9 on betfair is too high and could be a good trade.................................................................................................................................Brilliant performance, WON at a Bfsp of 5.7, 5.9 I got was even better? 1.20 Mcfabulous doesnt take a lot of picking, looks a different horse since going chasing, yes he is 3lb worse off with Thyme Hill for the 7 length betaing he gave that one last time but the manner of that victory was impressive and I cant see the tables being turned here. Currently 2.92 and drifting on betfair, seems fair to me....................................................................................................continued to drift, finished 2nd. 1.55 What can you say about this race? Costitution Hill is long odds on, not for me but the 8/11 that was on offer for Eptante to finish 1st or 2nd did interest me and the 1.82 on betfair..........................................................................................Easiest 1.82 winner of the season I think, always going to be second in this ? 2.30 The King George is a fantastic renewal, mys systems on horseracebase.com are telling me Bravemansgame, coming up eight times no less! but I'm going no further than my current favourite horse in training in L'homme Presse, 3.45 taken on betfair, was possibly over the top come Aintree where he was well beaten but other than that mishap he is unbeaten over fences. The way he shouldered top weight in the Rehearsal at Newcastle was really impressive. L'homme Presse for me on the way to winning whatever race they put him in at Cheltenham, hopefully the Gold Cup.....morning of the race and 4.2 available along with 1.76 in the pace market, huge imo.................betaen by the better horse when falling........... 3.05 A good Novices Chase, the one I like best in the David Pipe trained Panic Attack, only out of the first four once in seven since moving up to 20 furlongs and more, won his chase debut very nicely and could have more to offer and at the price is my choice for a win and place bet, currently 8.6 on the exchanges, no place price liquidity yet................................................................................Placed at 3.1? As always a lay of price will be placed in running. Good luck.
    4 points
  13. Like The Btigadier i feel WINDSOR AVENUE is overpriced in the 1.35 at Wetherby this horse does have bad days but is talented just gutted i missed the 40's betfair offered early doors but at 25/1 is still well worth backing e/w imo. i will have a 1pt e'w but split it. 0.5 e/w with skybet 25/1 5 places not bog & 25/1 bog 4places with bet 365. 2pts Invested Running Total Profit +5.08
    4 points
  14. Kempton. Single. 1.20. Thyme Hill 5/1 11/2 1st Good luck all.
    4 points
  15. Merry Christmas to you all and here's hoping for a healthy and wealthy New Year Just the five races that ITV are throwing our way today but it starts a run of six days out of the following seven that Ed and the gang are coming live into our living rooms. Four races today from Kempton with the feature race the King George VI Chase and the valuable handicap chase the Rowland Meyrick from Wetherby joining the quartet from Kempton. The grounds going to ride soft at both tracks and here’s my thoughts and selections on them. Kempton 12.45 Five go to post for the re-arranged Ladbrokes Long Walk Hurdle, a grade one contest run over 3m 121 yards. There was very little between the winner Champ and the runner up Paisley Park at Newbury in November in the Long Distance Hurdle with just a neck separating them. I’m not entirely sure a speed track like this suits Champ and at the prices it may pay to take Emma Lavelle’s Paisley Park to turn the tables. Both are turning eleven next week mind and we have a brace of youngsters ready to have a go at the pair. Miranda is a seven year old mare who showed she stays well when beating her two rivals easily over course and distance last month and will relish the soft ground. It’s just a case with her of whether she’s good enough. The six year old Goshen and Not So Sleepy are stepping up in trip and have stamina to prove. I’ll take Paisley Park to reverse Newbury form with Champ. PAISLEY PARK 1 point win @7/2 Betfred Kempton 1.20 A small but select field of five go to post for this three mile grade one contest the Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices’ Chase. A warm favourite, and quite rightly so, is Paul Nicholl’s McFabulous who looked very good when winning over this trip at Newbury at the Coral Gold Cup meeting. He had two of today’s rivals behind him that day in Thyme Hill (beaten 6 1/2L) and Mortlach (8 1/2L) and I would be surprised if either were able to reverse the form even with the former wearing first time cheek pieces. Nicholls’ second string (ridden by Bryony Frost) is Gelino Bello who in winning two novice chases this season has only beaten three opponents. The biggest danger to McFabulous is Dan Skelton’s mare Galia Des Liteaux who looked good when a very easy winner at Bangor-On-Dee in November. She looks a bit over priced at the moment and should go off as second favourite but it’s winners we’re looking for and McFabulous will be hard to beat. McFABULOUS 2 points win @ 5/4 BetVictor Wetherby 1.35 Twelve staying handicap chasers line up for a decent renewal of the William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase run over three miles of the Yorkshire track. Shan Blue could be very well handicapped if his fall over course and distance in last season’s Charlie Hall Chase can be taken at face value but the same was said when a well beaten second on a handicap at Aintree in the Spring off of the same mark. He could blow these away but in a competitive race at around the 9/4 mark is opposable to me. Chantry House is an interesting runner who unseated on his seasonal re-appearance at Aintree and has claims for Nicky Henderson and owner JP McManus whilst easy Newbury winner Zanza shouldn’t be totally dismissed although he maybe better at the Berkshire track and has been raised 10lb. My fancy is bottom weight Into Overdrive who ran into one of the best chasers in the UK in L’Homme Presse last time out in the Rehearsal Handicap Chase at Newcastle. There was certainly no disgrace in Mark Walford’s seven year old going down by a length despite receiving 26lb and although he’s been upped 4lb for that run can run well off of bottom weight. If you like him then surely it’s worth a small each way saver on Windsor Avenue who was only 5 1/4L behind Into Overdrive that day and is now 5lb better off. Brian Ellison’s ten year old has a bit of a patchy record over the last year but won the Skybet Handicap Chase last January off of a handicap mark of a pound higher than todays and at five times the price of Into Overdrive is worth a small stakes saver. INTO OVERDRIVE 1 points each way @ 11/2 Betfred 1/5th 1234 WINDSOR AVENUE 1/2 point each way @ 25/1 Betfred 1/5th 1234 Kempton 1.55 Only five go to post for the Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle run over two miles and I’m afraid it’s a no bet race with Nicky Henderson’s freakishly good hurdler Constitution Hill likely to be very hard to beat. Unbeaten in all four starts over hurdles he really does look the real deal and dispatched his field in no uncertain manner on his re-appearance in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Newcastle coming home 12L ahead of his female stable companion Epatante. She may finish second again here in a race she’s won on two of the last three years. The Favourite is officially rated 17lb and upwards better than these and let’s hope he puts yet another exhibition round of jumping in and wins with his head in his chest. He’s impossible to oppose. Kempton 2.30 An excellent renewal of the King George VI Chase. Run over three miles the race has been won by some smart sorts over the years with champion trainer Paul Nicholls winning it a dozen times. He saddles three here with stable jockey Harry Cobden picking Bravemansgame ahead of Hitman who has stamina to prove stepping up in trip. Bravemansgame impresses with his slick jumping and having won the Kauto Star Novice Chase over course and distance at last years meeting may be the one to be with although this is his sternest task to date. L’Homme Presse will love the recent rain and is a big danger. Venetia Williams’ seven year old is officially rated 6lb superior to Bravemansgame and if handling this sharp track can run well. The Irish are represented by Henry De Bromhead’s Envoi Allen who bounced back to winning form at Down Royal in November and is another with a decent shout. A tough call but it’s the Nicholls’s Bravemansgame to give his trainer yet another winner in this famous race for me. BRAVEMANSGAME 2 points win @ 9/4 Betfred
    3 points
  16. 13-58 down royal magic sea will not be 50/1 at off time 3 time course winner
    3 points
  17. Mcfabulous 1_20 kempton won with any amount in hand at Newbury in November on top of that his two previous visits to kempton were both wins good luck and have a great Xmas gazza
    3 points
  18. Wincanton. Single 12.18. Wynn House 6/1. unpl Huntington. Double. 12.40. Hall Lane 7/2 unpl 1.15. Crystal Moon 5/1 1st Good luck all.
    3 points
  19. 135 weth Sounds Russian 8.7 6/1 Aye right 8.5 14/1 Fanion destruval 8.5 I'm not sure fanion destruval can stay this far ....would have a small chance on his ascot run but ran crappy last time so opposable on that ....aye right ran a stinker last time but previously ran well behind sounds Russian losing a shoe that day .....sounds Russian is rated around the 156 mark progressive and aye right woukd probably have finished a lot closer if not losing the shoe ......I've pencilled him in at 154+ but he will run off 151 with the claim do he's on a winning mark if getting it together .....I'll try 5pt ew top 2 and hope aye right springs a surprise
    3 points
  20. 12.45 Kempton Long Walk Hurdle 5 runners how simple could a race be! Trying to find a winner should be easy right. Two rightly class horses in Champ and Paisley Park both almost 11, opposed each other last time and had what looked like a really tough first race of the season, settled by a neck in favour of Champ. Two trying 3 miles for the first time have stamina doubts, both of which tend to my mind run fairly freely, but can they in this race, then we have the one mare receiving 7lb, who is the lowest rated, but won last time out over course and distance having been extended to 3 miles, seeming with loads left but in a slow time. So can Goshen and not So Sleepy afford to make the running, will that set it up for Champ and Paisley Park, is Miranda truly the lowest rated and a top handicapper at best or can she get involved in the finish. Think I will side with Miranda but really want more than the 3-1 on offer although Sky do go money back if 2nd or 3rd. Think I will wait and see if there is a drift in price. When the public will hopefully side with the 2 Class and recognised horses. PS all a load of rubbish really as was always siding with Miranda as I own a hair or two. Hopefully she runs her usual brave race and is involved coming off the bottom bend. Hopefully the Champ/Paisley Park duel has left a mark on both.
    3 points
  21. ralphie7

    Quick System

    Sunday 25/12/2022 No Racing Happy Christmas everyone Have a good un
    2 points
  22. Loved my Christmas dinner and a bottle of wine that followed, Mrs and kids gone round to the in laws so thought I'd mess about on horseracebase.com and faff about for a Boxing Day system. Picked out some trainers that have done fairly well in recent years around the yuletide week and came up with around a million selections! Narrowed them down into categories and will watch with amusement tomorrow and see if any of them oblige! Category 1. Those who came out with the highest win percentage - 11.52Queens Rock (IRE)Wetherby 5/4FHenderson, N J 11.52Micronormous (IRE)Wetherby 3/1Pipe, D E 1.05Accidental Legend (IRE)Market Rasen 11/2OBrien, Fergal 1.07Hidor De Bersy (FR)Fontwell 5/2Symonds, Tom 1.33Longhouse Poet (IRE)Limerick 9/4Brassil, Martin 1.42Dobryn (FR)Fontwell 8/1Thomas, Sam 2.10Raffertys ReturnWetherby 8/1Menzies, Rebecca 2.30LHomme Presse (FR)Kempton2/1Williams, Miss Venetia 2.38JaramilloWincanton10/1Greatrex, W J 11.55 MR Emma Lamb 14/1 Laura Morgan 1.40 MR Clondaw Secret 14/1 Kevin Frost 2.35 Ncastle Road Warrior 14/1 Rebecca Menzies Category 2. Next highest: Today 11.57 Night Jet Fontwell (LH) 14 Poste, Ben J 14/1 Symonds, Tom Today 12.13 Ifiwerearichman (IRE) Down Royal (RH) 7 OSullivan, James (5) 8/1 Nolan, Paul Today 12.15 Socks Off (IRE) Newcastle (LH) 18 Anderson, Mr A (5) 20/1 Menzies, Rebecca Today 12.18 Tweed Skirt Wincanton (RH) 7 Bowen, James C 2/1F Henderson, N J Today 12.18 Kissesforkatie (IRE) Wincanton (RH) 7 Williams, Lorcan 3/1 Scott, J Today 12.27 Fever Roque (FR) Wetherby (LH) 14 Moscrop, Nathan 8/1 Menzies, Rebecca Today 12.32 Spike Jones Fontwell (LH) 10 Burton, Danny (5) 6/1 Drinkwater, S W Today 12.40 Sponthus (FR) Huntingdon (RH) 14 Lambert, Finn (5) 11/2 Thomas, Sam Today 1.00 Curley Finger (IRE) Wetherby (LH) 12 Moscrop, Nathan 11/2 Menzies, Rebecca Today 1.15 Thundersockssundae (IRE) Huntingdon (RH) 12 Kendrick, Max J P 9/2 OBrien, Fergal Today 1.15 Loud As Lions (IRE) Huntingdon (RH) 12 Quinn, Caoilin (5) 20/1 Symonds, Tom Today 2.30 Royale Pagaille (FR) Kempton (RH) 9 Scudamore, Tom 20/1 Williams, Miss Venetia Today 2.38 Greatest Star (FR) Wincanton (RH) 16 Harrison, Liam (3) 12/1 OBrien, Fergal Today 2.45 Dalyotin (FR) Wetherby (LH) 10 Moscrop, Nathan 5/1 Menzies, Rebecca Today 2.52 Jefferys Cross (IRE) Fontwell (LH) 9 Gillard, Fergus (3) 7/2 Skelton, Daniel Today 2.52 Little Red Lion (IRE) Fontwell (LH) 9 Armson, Philip (3) 16/1 Pipe, D E Today 2.55 Alice Avril (FR) Leopardstown (LH) 9 OSullivan, Mr M J M (5) 12/1 Bromhead, Henry De Today 3.05 West Cork Kempton (RH) 10 Skelton, Harry 5/1 Skelton, Daniel
    1 point
  23. 5yo selections Lucky 15 in bold COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Huntingdon 12.05 Loup De Maulde 100/30 Newcastle 12.50 Chemical Warfare 10/1 Huntingdon 1.15 Crystal Moon 5/1 Limerick 1.33 Summer Melody 11/2 Market Rasen 1.40 Duke Of Luckley 9/2 Kempton 1.55 Constitution Hill 1/7 Down Royal 1.58 Our Patron Saint 66/1 Newcastle 2.00 Twoshotsoftequila 12/1 Limerick 2.40 Adamantly Chosen 16/1 Leopardstown 2.55 Alice Avril 20/1 Kempton 3.05 Hudson De Grugy 14/1 Wolverhampton 4.45 Let Her Loose 25/1 Wolverhampton 5.20 Phoenix Aquilus 8/1
    1 point
  24. 12.45 Champ 1.20 Mcfabulous 1.35 Top Ville Ben 1.55 Constitution Hill 2.30 Bravemansgame good luck everyone !
    1 point
  25. Brentford FC vs Tottenham 2022-12-26T13:30+01:00 Brentford FC Doubtful: - Out (injuries/other): Aaron Hickey (9/0 d), Thomas Strakosha (0/0 g), Kristoffer Ajer (6/0 d), Shandon Baptiste (12/0 m) Suspended: - Tottenham Doubtful: Hugo Lloris (15/0 first goalkeeper, captain, rest) Out (injuries/other): Richarlison (10/0 f), Cristian Romero (8/0 d) Suspended: Rodrigo Bentancur (14/4 m) Interesting facts based only on statistics Tottenham scored at least one goal in 86% of away games. 86% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game. 79% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half. Crystal Palace vs Fulham 2022-12-26T16:00+01:00 Crystal Palace Doubtful: - Out (injuries/other): James McArthur (0/0 m), Sam Johnstone (0/0 g), Nathan Ferguson (0/0 d) Suspended: Marc Guehi (14/0 d) Fulham Doubtful: Antonee Robinson (13/0 d), Aleksandar Mitrovic (12/9 f, top scorer) Out (injuries/other): Layvin Kurzawa (1/0 d), Neeskens Kebano (12/0 m), Manor Solomon (1/0 m) Suspended: - Interesting facts based only on statistics Crystal Palace scored at least one goal in 86% of home games. Fulham scored at least one goal in 86% of away games. 64% chance that there will be a draw at half-time. 79% chance that both Crystal Palace and Fulham will score in this game. 43% chance that both Crystal Palace and Fulham will score in first-half. 72% chance that both team will score and goal count will be over 2.5 goals. 86% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game. 72% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game. 79% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half. 36% chance that there will be a draw at half-time and Crystal Palace will win a game. Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com
    1 point
  26. Monday 26th/ Highway one two 1 55 kemp/ £10 win 100/1 Fidux 3 13 winc/ £ 10 win 20/1
    1 point
  27. 12.45 Paisley Park 1.20 Mcfabulous 1.35 Chantry House 1.55Constitution Hill 2.30 L'homme Presse Good luck everyone.
    1 point
  28. MinellaWorksop

    NFL - Week 16

    Unfortunately these did awful. Not a bean between them. Funny you should mention that @fd1972uk about Diggs and Singletary as I had the same dilemma. Went for Diggs, yep you guessed it Singletary scores the Touchdown lol. @harry_rag good call on Josh Allen. I also considered a QB in Patrick Mahomes to score a Touchdown though as per the pattern yesterday I talked myself out of it as I thought the odds were too big at 7/2 . Looking back, why the odds can ever be too big I do not know. No point crying over spilt milk mind you, so time to move on and learn from yesterday's lessons Season record for Anytime Touchdown Scorers selections stands at: StrikeRate: 4/14 P/L: -5.75pts Merry Christmas to all.
    1 point
  29. Then, the rest - Today 12.10 Iberico Lord (FR) Kempton (RH) 10 Coleman, A 10/1 Henderson, N J Today 12.27 Beat The Edge (IRE) Wetherby (LH) 14 Hamilton, Jamie 12/1 Easterby, T D Today 1.35 Shan Blue (IRE) Wetherby (LH) 12 Quinlan, Sean 9/4F Skelton, Daniel Today 2.00 Camdonian (IRE) Newcastle (LH) 11 England, David 6/1 Skelton, Daniel Today 2.00 Twoshotsoftequila (IRE) Newcastle (LH) 11 McMenamin, Daniel 8/1 Menzies, Rebecca Today 2.08 Martha Divine Limerick (RH) 15 OKeeffe, Sean F 8/1 Nolan, Paul Today 2.10 Thanksforthehelp (FR) Wetherby (LH) 11 McLernon, R P 4/1F Pipe, D E Today 2.10 Oscar Thyne (IRE) Wetherby (LH) 11 Hogan, Mr J (5) 7/1 OBrien, Fergal Today 2.15 Bahtiyar (FR) Market Rasen (RH) 13 Bass, David 10/1 Whittington, H Today 2.35 Heltenham (FR) Newcastle (LH) 13 England, David 9/2 Skelton, Daniel Today 2.38 Vengeance Wincanton (RH) 16 Carver, Bryan 7/1 Whittington, H Today 2.50 Seemingly So (IRE) Market Rasen (RH) 16 Cowley, Patrick (3) 20/1
    1 point
  30. fd1972uk

    NFL - Week 16

    Jeez another awful day by the looks of it. Also boobed by betting £30, instead of £10 on bills bet builder. Have a slight chance with digging anytime, usually go between him and singletary, probably went with wrong one. Vikings (they're a total enigma for me) and titans look bad bets on my accas, don't think I'll ever get one of them up, lol, kinda getting worse as was usually close and got free bets back but now it's 2 or 3 beating me, meh. Burrows doing what he always does too, when I back him I'd be a better QB, they're strolling it so far tonight.
    1 point
  31. harry_rag

    NFL - Week 16

    Good luck. 3 for me. Williams (Detroit) at 11/8 PP (the only player who exceeds my target odds this weekend and looks worth a play). Also played both QBs in the Bills/Bears game; Fields 2/1 PP and Allen 9/5 Lads. Running the risk of interpreting an article I read about the weather impact on some of the games.
    1 point
  32. It will be not an easy game for Leicester. I don't think that they will win. Of course the issue of a value bet is a very different discussion.
    1 point
  33. @roger2256regains the top spot with 4/1 Lingfield winner Free Solo
    1 point
  34. Leicester City have actually lost 3 home games this season to; Southampton, Manchester United and Manchester City
    1 point
  35. Leicester to beat Newcastle. Wrong odds, happy to take @ 3.3, or safer option, asian 0.0. Leicester lost twice at home so far, by only at the hands and legs of both the Manchester teams, if Im not mistaken.. Also, there will be element of randomness after such a long break, so I cant see Newcastle as such a strong fav away this time.. 888sport, others... BETFAIR @ 3,4 LEICESTER TO WIN 3/10U 26th Dec.
    1 point
  36. As with previous years we will be running a Christmas Tipsters competition. There is racing on ITV for 4 consecutive days from Boxing day onwards so these will be used for the competition. Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account There will be a £10 prize each day for the highest profit for that day No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred for losers Replacement selections for NRs can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Leader-board posted each evening A minimum of 14 bets is required to qualify for any prizes Only bets on that day's thread will be included, bets posted eleswhere will not be included All welcome, good luck. A seperate thread will be created the evening before each day for selections to be posted in.
    1 point
×
×
  • Create New...