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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/22/2022 in all areas

  1. Ascot 1.50 Nine turn up for the group 3 Princess Margaret Stakes for juvenile fillies and features to my eyes the best bet of the seven terrestrial television races. Ralph Beckett will no doubt have his mind on his superstar three year old Westover later today but his Zoustar filly Lezoo ridden today by Frankie Dettori will be very hard to beat. Impressive in a Newmarket listed race on the July course in June under Dettori she stepped up from that run when pushing the smart Mawj all the way to the line going down by half a length in the group 2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes at the same track a fortnight later. If in the same form she can beat some promising maiden/novice stakes winners who will need to step up considerably. William Haggas’s Royal Charter may turn out to be her biggest threat following a Newmarket maiden victory. LEZOO 3 Points win @ 7/4 bet365 York 2.05 The jump jockey’s Nunthorpe handicap is as it states a 5F class 4 handicap for jump jockeys. A bit of a novelty contest that has only a minimal appeal as a betting medium to be honest. The race has a wide open look about it with last years neck winner Soul Seeker under Tom Scudamore back to defend his title this time from a 8lb lower mark and with Sean Bowen in the saddle. Scudamore has won two of the last four runnings of this unique race and is on board Mick Appleby’s Val De Travers here from stall 16. He’s won three of his five starts this season from the front and it will shortly be a case of point and shoot from Scuadmore here. He’s worth a speculative each way bet. VAL DE TRAVERS 1 point each way @ 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Ascot 2.25 A one mile group three contest for 3 year old and older fillies and mares is up next and once again a warm favourite in the Roger Varian trained Zanbaq. She was last seen here at the Royal meeting when chasing home the smart Heredia giving her a pound in the Sandringham Handicap run over the straight course (today’s race is run over the round course). That was a fine effort and although officially not the highest rated here will be tough to beat. Her stable mate Kind Gesture is improving and could easily give the Newmarket stable a 1-2. The top rated in the race is the German runner Novemba but her best form has been on soft ground and for me would only come into the equation we’re the heavens to open. Jumbly is the other one at the front end of the market with claims but for me this will go to the Varian stable and Zanbaq who will be ridden by Jim Crowley for his employers Shadwell Stud. ZANBAQ 3 points win @ 2/1 bet354 ZANBAQ & LEZOO 2 points each way double 7/4 & 2/1 bet365 1/5th 123 York 2.40 A 6F class 2 handicap which has attracted 15 runners is up next which again has an open feel about it. Silver Samurai came into the Wokingham at Royal Ascot looking a progressive sprinter but was a tad disappointing and maybe a mark of 98 is the ceiling of his ability. Top weight Mondammej has been keeping better company than this (and running well in it) but a mark of 104 seems high enough. Last years’s one two Venturous (2lb lower) and Music Society (6lb lower) are back and both have each way chances. The horse I like though is the progressive Michael Dodds trained mare Gale Force Mayo who’s kept her form well all season winning at Newmarket and over course and distance and certainly wasn’t disgraced when third to the smart Flotus in a group 3 over course and distance again a fortnight ago. She’s running off of her highest ever handicap mark but should run her race and this consistent six year old will do for me although it would of been nice to have seen Dodds’ horses in slightly better form ( 22 runs and 17 days since his last winner). GALE FORCE MAYO 1 point each way @ 7/1 Coral/Ladbrokes 1/5th 1234 Ascot 3.00 A widely competitive 7F class 2 handicap with a big field of twenty two is the days big handicap. Dark Shift won the Royal Hunt Cup at the Royal meeting bringing his track record to four wins from six starts and despite dropping a furlong here has a major chance even from a 6lb higher handicap mark and has to be on the short list. The front three from Newmarket’s Bunbury Cup re-oppose and I can’t really see why the 3rd that day Jumby is so much shorter than the two that beat him in Bless Him and Ropey Guest. Bless Him is a hold up horse who has the assistance once more of marmite pilot Jamie Spencer whilst Ropey Guest has run well in big handicaps all season and should be thereabouts. Fresh likes this track but may need easier ground to show his best whilst the best outsider, and officially 3lb well in today, is the Michael Dodds trained Northern Express ridden by Graham Lee. It’s a minefield of a race with the draw also a major factor with possibly high numbers preferred as the majority of the pace seems to be high although as always that’s not a certainty. I’ll take a couple against the field in Ropey Guest who looks over priced and Hunt Cup winner Dark Shift who loves the track. ROPEY GUEST 1 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 123456 DARK SHIFT 1 point each way @ 6/1 Boylesports 1/5th 123456 York 3.15 Only five go to post for the Sky Bet York Stakes, a group 2 contest run over 1m 2F 56yds. I believe currently we have the wrong favourite here in the improving Jane Chapple- Hyam trained Claymore. He won the group three Hampton Court at Royal Ascot from the odds on and disappointing favourite of the Gosden’s Reach For The Moon and as progressive as he is is still officially rated 9lb behind William Haggas’s Dubai Honour who if straight enough surely goes off favourite here. Runner up in the Champion Stakes on Champions Day at Ascot last October he was last seen when 10th of 15 beaten 4 1/4L in the Dubai Sheema Classic at Meydan in March. A genuine group one performer he’ll be hard to beat if forward enough. Sir Busker and Dark Moon Rising don’t look good enough whilst Saeed Bin Suroor’s Dubai Future is not without a chance either. DUBAI HONOUR 3 points win @ 2/1 Boylesports Ascot 3.35 The day’s feature race is the King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes run over a mile and a half where the Classic generation meet their elders. The two three year olds are unlucky Derby 3rd and Irish Derby victor Westover from the Ralph Beckett camp and unlucky Oaks runner up Emily Upjohn from the John and Thady Gosden stable. Both have obvious claims and it would not be a shock if either won this. Personally I think they’ll need to step up here against the four older horses. The horse who’s overpriced surely is the Arc De Triomphe winner Torquator Tasso in double figure odds. He won that prestigious race on heavy ground though and if the ground remains fast couldn’t be put up as a bet. Broome ran 4th in this last year and looked good over course and distance in the Hardwicke Stakes at the Royal meeting. It’s not often you can get 20/1 plus about a Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore runner in a group one that’s for sure. They may all have to go mind to beat the other John and Thady Gosden runner Mishriff. He went down by 1 3/4L in this last year to that year’s Derby winner Adayar and was an unlucky loser when not getting a clear run in the Eclipse at Sandown at the beginning of the month. David Egan has lost the ride (and job) on the horse since but the more than capable James Doyle takes over. In a race to saviour he may well be worth a small interest. MISHRIFF 1 point win @ 7/2 bet365
    6 points
  2. Friday 21st July. It's actually 22nd today. Thanks.
    6 points
  3. An excellent winner Buccaby at 15/2. I am going to look for a soft ground well handicaped horse in the big 6.25 York handicap.
    5 points
  4. Haven't had any time to look at York this evening but will place 1 pt each on @richard-westwood2nd and 3rd rated horses with a cover bet on Good Earth. I don't think that it will win 2.40 Uttx College Oak 10/3 3.40 Asc The Whipmaster 7/4 (my PL Nap) 4.15 Asc Global Esteem 7/2 5.25 Asc Glamorous Breeze 10/3 6 x 0.5 win dbles, 4 x 0.5 win trbles and 1 0.5 win fourfold = 5.50 stakes with poss win of 284.82 Singles: I have decided to just have 0.5 pts wins on these no matter what the prices. I waste too many points by adjusting stakes for lower priced horses that I fancy to win 1.55 Buccaby 15/2 3.40 Asc Commonsensical 9/2 4.50 Asc Tidal storm 8/1 5.25 Asc Rattling 9/2 2.40 Uttx Viking Ruby 8/1 (Top rated Timeform and RPR, haha) Total stakes = 8 points Good luck to all participating today ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5.25 Asc Glamorous Breeze 1.5 pts win at 4.5 for 5.15 profit 9.5 total stakes today
    5 points
  5. 1.10 Thrisk - Gullane One 9/2 2.10 Uttoxeter - Port Oclock 11/5 Good luck all CNBB.
    5 points
  6. 625 york Good earth 8.6 5.3 As ifbychance 8.4 12.0 Surprise pic 8.4 18/1 Admiralty 8.0 Nearly a gonna 8.0 Close race ....not much between top 3 on collateral form so I'll try 4pt wins top 3 and hope a biggy wins
    5 points
  7. As in previous years we will be running a tipsters competition for GLORIOUS GOODWOOD, Tuesday 26th July to Saturday 30th July. Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account In addition there will be a £10 prize each day for the highest profit for that day No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred for losers. Replacement selections for NRs can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter everyday or every race (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leader-board posted each evening A minimum of 14 bets is required to qualify for any prizes All welcome, good luck.
    4 points
  8. 3.00 ascot Jumby 8.8 8.4 Bless him 8.7 14.5 Chief of chiefs 8.5 13.5 Accidentally agent 8.0 25/1 Air to air 7.9 7/1 As you'd expect a very very difficult cavalry charge but top 3 are big prices on betfair so let's have a,shot at a decent payout Accidental agent could outrun his big price ...looks overpriced 10pt wins top 3 rated
    4 points
  9. 3.25 Thirsk - Cobra Kai - 2/1 - Ben Haslam in good form (2 iwns, 1 place from 8 runners), and TOP course jockey Paul Mulrennan takes his only ride of the day. 2.40 - Uttox - Jan Maat - 22/1 Each Way (1/5th 3 places) - An interesting runner for Neil King, has dropped 28lbs (2 stones) in just 6 runs, he is falling down the weights and wears a 1st time visor today - hopefully it makes a difference, and at the price I am on each way.
    4 points
  10. 1755 Doncaster East Street Revue win 40/1 @ bet365
    4 points
  11. I see no point in tracking winners. Racing newspapers remind you soon enough as does the betting. I added a 150-1 shot Conquering who finished last on the strength of his looks and added 40-1 shot JustJamie today. But in the 5.55 I have another 40-1 shot EAST STREET REVUE. He has been on my tracker for a while in no kind of form to bet him.The handicapper has tried his best to carry the horse over the winning line with terrible results. The horse has had 4 dreadful runs. He is now down to a mark of 60 and could win this race galloping backwards on his winning form. Are the Easterby yard fiddling or as bemused as us punters? At 40-1 there still seems no enthusiasm in East Street Revue. I am betting MOSTALLIM but can not resist an ew bet at 40-1 on the best handicapped horse in the race. It can not be long now!
    3 points
  12. Uttoxeter. Double. 1.00. Seaforth Mancey 6/5... 3rd 3.50. Latino Fling. 7/2.... 1st singles & double Good luck all.
    3 points
  13. Fantastic pick ? Easterby's (all of them ) are deffo worth a watching Great that you picked a 40/1 winner but here on PL we have a bit of tradition with big priced winners over the years and they still come thick and fast. Been some great tippers of the years past and present. At one stage i ran a thread highlighting 25/1 plus winners there was loads that where posted on the daily threads and a few of us ended up tipping up 100/1 + shots. Indeed the daily threads are the best place to put your tips so others can see and follow if they so wish?
    3 points
  14. Two horses that seem to perk up when water gets into the ground are Admiralty 15/2 aand Dream Together. 9/1. Skybet are offering five places (no bad thing for a mug punter!) Ill bet bith each way
    3 points
  15. It has been raining quite heavily and that makes me wary of Richard's figures. Ascot looks good ground but Ill be surprised if York in not Good to Soft. Ill take a peep myself.
    3 points
  16. 240 york Gale force maya 8.6 7/1 Hyperfocus 8.2 19.5 Aberama gold 8.2 10/1 These 3 are a little clear of rest so at decent prices I'll try 3x 10pt wins top 3
    3 points
  17. 2.30 ascot goodwood vision 14/1 £5 e/w bet365 6.55 york shaquille 40/1 £5 e/w bet365
    3 points
  18. 1555 Worcester Kuraka 10/1 betvictor
    3 points
  19. Lingfield. Single 7.10. Fashion Love. 7/1.... 18/1. 2nd Good luck all.
    2 points
  20. nice one Ted Pretty sure that was the thread were I put up my 150/1 (SP 100/1) winner of the Nunthorpe, Solar Power, about 12 years ago .......with reasoning ! ps .... I also had it in the Nap of the Day comp which, believe it or not, I managed to win that month .......
    2 points
  21. @LEE-GRAYSselects a 40/1 winner in the £20 daily challenge (following on from his 50/1 winner last month) !
    2 points
  22. 2 points
  23. 2 points
  24. Updated stakes for the season ahead of Sunday's meeting are Stakes 85pts Returns 120.33pts for a profit of 35.33.
    2 points
  25. Continuing with the Ralph Beckett runners. Ascot. Single. 2.30. Quantum Light. 6/1... 3rd Newmarket. Double. 5.40. Julie Sierra. 5/2.. 2nd 7.40. Rechercher. 4/1.... 3rd singles & double. Good luck all.
    2 points
  26. It was actually napped by @BBBCan hour before you posted. Still, a fantastic tip by both of you.
    2 points
  27. Double. 7.55. York. Lucander. 9/2.... 3rd 8.10. Newm. Bullace. 9/4... 4th singles & double Good luck all.
    2 points
  28. Longshots??????? erm @richard-westwoodhas given a few, i have given a few, others have given a few, someone gave a very strong advice for 180/1 forecast last month.
    2 points
  29. Yalwen

    Daily Mail FORMCAST

    On Saturday the Daily Mail announced, in a very low key manner, that Nigel Taylor’s FORMCAST would be ending after 43 years. Now, I know that there have been many systems and methods based around the Top Rated 78 horse and also that some of them were quite successful, particularly in the non-handicap races. So, this morning I opened the paper to see what the replacement ‘private handicap ratings’ would be like. Unbelievably, in this day and age, there was no replacement. Just a list of runners for each race together with the usual betting forecast and they haven’t even printed the number of declarations per race. What a shambles! What used to be one of the country’s leading formcards now becomes a shadow of its former self. Talk about back to the drawing board. A very disappointing start to the week and my subscription to the rag will cease at the end of the month.
    1 point
  30. Just 2 bets for Del mar R5 smoking cheena 13/8 lost R6 Eddie's new Dream 2/1 2nd
    1 point
  31. JdsGooner90

    Double up

    Nicely dodged the bullet there
    1 point
  32. What happened to this @Tedthewolf ? Did anyone find a 100/1 winner ? Would there be any interest in doing something similar in the future ?
    1 point
  33. R10 Saratoga Let her inspire you 10/11won
    1 point
  34. Yeah that 150/1 was the biggest price winner we got mate i think from memory. Mine was 2013 Grand Nation winner Auroras Encore 100/1 sp 66/1. Milmen uk was the first to get a 100/1 shot i think he was a great tipster. Wish i could find that thread would be great see the names of the old posters bring back good memories & great times.
    1 point
  35. 1 point
  36. Woodbine R1 Trebuchet 7/2 lost Under a length 2nd last time and all the ticks in the right boxes R2 Copinsay 3/1 nb lost Holds kosmonvaton on last run and should confirm the form R6 Swot analysis lost Went close last time should go close R7 Al Canadian 2/1 nap won Had a good battle last time looks to have to much for these nap R8 candy overload in a tight handicap small stakes advised R9 Race for pinks 3/1 Scratch last race brings race for pinks to the for hopefull 2nd Yankee R2 Copinsay R6 Swot analysis R7 Al Canadian R1 Trebuchet lost Good luck
    1 point
  37. 1 point
  38. Yorkk 5.20 EBURY 11/2 £10 EW SKY 5 places
    1 point
  39. kenisbusy

    Naps - Friday 22nd July

    Ascot 16:50 Awesome Dancer 41 pp
    1 point
  40. Small stake singles and double. Saratoga 1113 Leeloo 6/1 ew Del Mar 0200 Murray 3/1 bet365
    1 point
  41. I know that, made it just because it's indoor
    1 point
  42. Not convinced regarding Konteveit today. She is showing no patience on the clay. It is very hit or miss, no crafting of a point or playing to patterns. I think that a very in form opponent will give her a lot of problems, and if this goes to a long 1st set, she is in trouble. Small bet on the up and coming Potapova here for the outright win. I think with 1 close set this match gets over the 20.5 games mark. I like a medium bet on the over 20.5 games which is 8 to 10. In the other semi in Hamburg, I think Pera just cruises. I am using a slightly different staking strategy. I am taking 3 separate bets of medium stake, and then holding back with a big bet once I see which way the match is going. If it goes against me, I am able to cash out (for a loss) some of my stake. If the match is going my way, I am happy for a big bet (at lower odds). It has been working very well (in-play), but I am not sure if that is due to the clay surface (being more predictable than grass/hard). Definitely going big on both Berretinni and Ruud again today. Will take both to win as a double. Vinolas is shaky, and I'll bet in play if somebody really gets on top. Should be a close one and probably best to stay away. WHo wants to gamble????? I think Thiem is on his way . A score of 1-3 and odds of 1.21 look OK for me. Happy to plonk it down here.
    1 point
  43. York 5.20 It Just Takes Time 12/1 WH
    1 point
  44. Over the last year there have been 25 winning naps at prices from 50/1 to 125/1 and most of those were win only, not each way !
    1 point
  45. fd1972uk

    3M Open

    Bit late, was off on a break, but had done a few on this (left out the cazoo, was going to go bekker and Lawrence). Done day e/w Wins on Im, Davis, theegala and tringale.
    1 point
  46. Ok, Ill have a little boast....you will not get tips for 40-1 winners anywhere else but from the Scientist.
    1 point
  47. Thank you for the opportunity @StevieDay1983 and team Manager name: Sebastian Sim FPL Manager: B. es Ism FPL Team: (Esybb)
    1 point
  48. The Daily Naps table makes grim viewing but that was on July 2nd. A good leader at 16-1....but its July 21st. What has happened since? Our intrepid tipsters? How are they faring now?
    1 point
  49. 3.00 Sandown Australian Angel 9/2 betvictor
    1 point
  50. 13:15 SANDOWN Recon Mission 11/2 Paddypower
    1 point
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