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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/22/2022 in all areas

  1. Time restricted again today and will be having some sherry later and cooking fillet steak for my wife. It is our 41st Wedding Anniversary 1.35 Worc Pencreek 1 pt win at 5/1 and 0.5 saver bet on Texard at 3/1 Back later, hopefully
    11 points
  2. On lotty picking horses ?
    5 points
  3. I'll start off by saying this may well be of no interest to anyone other than me and I'm not sure if this is the best place to post it (it's not really "chat or banter" and isn't specific to a single league so it doesn't seem to fit in the footy section) but here's my thoughts on some stats I've been looking at across the "big 5" leagues. Average goals per league fairly steady at 2.81 compared to 2.8 last season. Some ups and downs in the various leagues but nothing likely to be significant. Penalties scored down from 553 to 471 (10.8% of all goals to 9.2%). I assume that's down to less being awarded rather than poorer conversion but I'll look for the pens awarded numbers. Maybe things are settling down VAR wise. Own goals fairly steady, up from 155 to 161 or 3.03% to 3.14%. Goals scored by subs up from 666 to 707 or 13.02% to 13.77%. Across the 2 seasons it's only been 9.16% in the Premier League (3 subs max) as opposed to 14.49% in the other 4 leagues (5 subs max). So we can expect an increase in England next season when the 5 sub rule is adopted. Obviously relevant to anytime goalscorer betting in terms of less goals being scored by the starting 11 when the number of subs is increased. The % of goals that had an assist was up from 66.8% to 68.2%, largely down to less penalties being scored. If you exclude own goals and penalties the % of "assisted" goals is fairly steady at 77.8% from 77.6%. So an average of 2.81 goals per games but only 1.92 assists. I have a strong feeling that most punters don't appreciate that gulf which makes the anytime assists market even more profitable for the bookies that the anytime goalscorer. I'm still tilting at backing in the goalscorer market (we'll see how that goes next season) but am also happily a seller at bigger prices. I've learnt my lesson with regard to assists though. Never a buyer or a backer be! Will probably look at the bookings related stats next.
    4 points
  4. Sods law, Tangled never really put in race despite being lower in the weights than it has won from. Smiling Sunflower - won 4/1 ... at least I had a single after the 1st one went down.
    4 points
  5. Having a crack at Carlisle few big price £1 e/w 1.20 run cmc 10/1 ? 1.55 £20 challenge horse ? 2.25 papa k 50/1? 2.55 Tommy g 20/1 placed ? 3.25 carrigillihy 14/1 ? 3.55 rushes bear 28/1? all bet365 ??
    4 points
  6. Despina Papamichail (+4.5) to beat Natalija Stevanovic at 1.83 with Pinnacle I'm not quite sure why Papamichail isn't getting any credit for her big win over Lys, she's constantly underrated by the bookies, but she's had some decent results recently. Stevanovic had a good win in the first round, but +4.5 looks off to me.
    4 points
  7. Won. £144 profit. Have finally stopped the rot.
    3 points
  8. Had an EACH WAY double. 2.25 Carl - Tangled - 3/1 ( 1/5 4 places) - 2nd 8 days ago, CD winner (twice), and trainer in very good form (3 wins, 2 placed from 8 runners) 5.50 Kemp - Smiling Sunflower - 3/1 ( 1/5 4 places) - 3rd LTO and has cheek pieces added.
    3 points
  9. miss carol ann 3 55 car 1/4 pt win 9/1
    3 points
  10. Trying my luck this week in a strong looking field:- Patrick Cantlay 14/1 bet365 Jordan Spieth 22/1 hills Keegan Bradley 35/1 hills Davis Riley 40/1 bet365 Denny McCarthy 66/1 bet365
    2 points
  11. Pablo Larrazabal 35/1 bet365 Wil Besseling 80/1 bet365 Thomas Detry 45/1 bet365
    2 points
  12. For my Fantasy Golf squad, I had a 10 man shortlist of: Spieth, Niemann, K-H Lee, Bradley, Leishman, Harman, Stallings, Streelman, C.T. Pan, Kizzire. From this my final squad of 6 is: Jordan Spieth 22/1 Keegan Bradley 30/1 Joaquin Niemann 28/1 C.T. Pan 140/1 Marc Leishman 50/1 Patton Kizzire 225/1 Decided to include some prices from Bet365 as a reference.
    2 points
  13. Well done to muttley, 2nd win of the month puts Paul right back up at the top of the league Tonight's final leg is already registering, it's the usual 5000 chip NLHE finale. Can anyone catch the leader with the points multiplier?
    2 points
  14. Bath 5.00 CHOIRMASTER 15/2 £10 EW SKY 4 places
    2 points
  15. 1455 - C - Invincibly @ 12-1 (5p) £10 ew
    2 points
  16. richard-westwood

    Betbull

    Anyone with funds are being urged to empty accounts before company winds up .....my thoughts ??...they had a cash investment of 80 million and they went bust ????....check the cayman isles hmmpth .....
    2 points
  17. yeah, very disappointing from Lys, she was overpowered her groundstrokes and has not found the lines. Great defense from Papamichael, she covered the court really well and was the better player for the last 1,75 sets. good luck for your pick. if she plays like yesterday she will easily cover that handicap
    2 points
  18. I presume Badosa and perhaps Sakkari too decided to give themselves a few days off before Wimbledon to rest up and recharge. Although that said, with Badosa you're never quite sure, as she has had some shocking losses at times this year for a player who's considered to be top 5 in the world.
    2 points
  19. Bell shot wins .....opt it was in photo for 2nd ..jeez....has been given 3rd Approx +14.00 ...+20.00 on day actually that's wrong ....another 5 on top for the ew so around +25.00 on day ...
    2 points
  20. Brighton 16:35 Habanero Star 9/1 Bet365
    2 points
  21. 3rd and 4th....not bad!
    1 point
  22. I just checked the prices on the betfair exchange, the price difference are huge - Spieth is 30, Riley is 50, McCarthy is 80, however Cantlay 15.5 and Bradley 34 are both about the same as the bookies price so if you follow the money these are the ones.
    1 point
  23. Clitheroe 11/2 Eidokos 22/1 Both 3.55
    1 point
  24. lady marlarkey 4.35
    1 point
  25. richard-westwood

    Betbull

    Last year they only made a 6 figure profit ....which is peanuts really yearly....I just don't think its working ....when you consider they've had an 80 mlion injection ...I'd wanna know where my money went ?
    1 point
  26. 1.55 carlisle bernie the bear 14/1 £10 e/w bet365
    1 point
  27. Alastair

    john mac

    He will need to canvas the views of his most important owners to make that move - especially as the end of his own career is getting much closer.
    1 point
  28. Alastair

    Betbull

    The suggestion in the Racing Post is that the owners have made a strategic decision to withdraw from the UK market because of possible regulatory changes rather than because of financial difficulties.
    1 point
  29. Tsitsipas is the most overrated player. To lose from Ivashka is something not shocking. I mean i don't trust Tsitsipas any more against any player. And especially on grass, he looks weak player. Dozens would beat him on grass. Zero progress in the last three years on his game. Actually is moving backwards than forwards. And i hate his father. If he doesn't fire his idiot father for ever, don't expect anything from Tsitsipas. I am out of any betting involvement this week.
    1 point
  30. For the ATP I think it is Tsitsipas who will like to take a rest and freshen up before the GS. So Ivashka got a chance to beat him at a great value.
    1 point
  31. Carl 225 Tangled 3/1 £15 win Maysong 13/2 £5 win bet365
    1 point
  32. 2 picks for Wimbledon qualifying matches tomorrow: KUBLER-4 GAMES HANDICAP OVER TIRANTE @ 1.75 pinnacle Kubler has 33-10 record this year, and winning 14 out of his last 16 matches, and he is playing a clay court specialist. GRENIER-BARRANCO 2:0 sets @ 1.5 (several bookies) Grenier has good serve and a good game for grass, in general, playing vs another clay court specialist (Barranco).
    1 point
  33. LIKE2FISH

    Winnings Thread 2022

    Some Sunday results with 1 Saturday cash in there. Hopefully get some 4 figure ones soon again!
    1 point
  34. I download Greenshot to screenshot as find it easy to use. Not fan of windows snip tool!
    1 point
  35. Katerina Siniakova (+1.5 sets) to beat Simona Halep at 2.41 with Pinnacle Something just isn't clicking with Halep, she's good in patches and bad in patches, and she had a very disappointing Sunday when she lost against Haddad Maia. If she's still in a bit of a slump, Siniakova can certainly steal a set, as she did against Andreescu last time out. Given the odds, I much prefer the set handicap over the games handicap, as Siniakova can produce a meltdown in the decider.
    1 point
  36. A few words about Garbine for anyone of a mind to back her anytime soon - tread carefully. Conditions are a little tricky in Eastbourne right now due to wind, but even so the unforced error count from her is too high and shows why she's been losing so often recently. If you can't keep the ball in the court then literally anyone can beat you, and a quick look at Garbine's record this season shows that's exactly what's been happening.
    1 point
  37. Constant Lestienne to beat Marius Copil at 2.15 with Unibet I think Constant seems to have himself a good opportunity here. Marius is well past his prime.
    1 point
  38. Many belated thanks from me too.
    1 point
  39. We've got plenty of action this week, including Wimbledon qualifiers, and one thing that I'd probably want to point out is that there are no points for the Grand Slam due to the exclusion of Russians/Belarussians. That means that perhaps the motivation factor of players wanting to focus on the Wimbledon will be slightly different this season than previously. Now, there's obviously way more money in the Grand Slam than in these minor tournaments this week, but it's something to keep in mind. Marta Kostyuk to beat Barbora Krejcikova at 2.25 with Unibet Krejcikova has played just a single match since February, and she was utterly without fitness in the French Open, so I think it's not too fair to have Kostyuk as the underdog here, especially since she was crushing it nicely yesterday.
    1 point
  40. You should do that, at least it will make it a bit more manageable for you that way as well. Thanks so much for all your effort, I know how much hard work goes into making these things
    1 point
  41. Misty Blues 15.45 Ponty 12/1 bet 365
    1 point
  42. Well done to @Cash Out Kevand @LeMalewho found 40/1 winner Holloway Boy. It was still not enough to take the daily prize, this goes to @Tipsterixwho selected 33/1 and 10/1 winners to take the prize and finish overall 3rd. Congratulations to @RUGwho had another profitable day to take the overall competition. Well done to @Offrampwho finishes 2nd. Could the prize winners please PM pay-pal details. See you at Goodwood !
    1 point
  43. 1709 NM - Abate @ 14-1 ew bet365
    1 point
  44. naval crown 420 ascot
    1 point
  45. Rav

    Winnings Thread 2022

    £200 in the top 5 game for nuts poker. Was approx half the big stack heads up. Jammed my small blind kj at 30k 60k 30k bb ante. Ran into kq.
    1 point
  46. 0 points
  47. Lest said the better about those ?
    0 points
  48. Sorry if my absence messed with the dynamics tonight. I pre-regged for tonight's game, then at 6.45pm I got an SOS call from the wife. Spent the next four and a half hours waiting for the AA Recovery truck And it wasn't the only game I'd pre-regged for
    0 points
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