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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/22/2022 in all areas
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Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
alexcaruso808 and 10 others reacted to The Equaliser for a topic
Time restricted again today and will be having some sherry later and cooking fillet steak for my wife. It is our 41st Wedding Anniversary 1.35 Worc Pencreek 1 pt win at 5/1 and 0.5 saver bet on Texard at 3/1 Back later, hopefully11 points -
Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
alexcaruso808 and 4 others reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
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I'll start off by saying this may well be of no interest to anyone other than me and I'm not sure if this is the best place to post it (it's not really "chat or banter" and isn't specific to a single league so it doesn't seem to fit in the footy section) but here's my thoughts on some stats I've been looking at across the "big 5" leagues. Average goals per league fairly steady at 2.81 compared to 2.8 last season. Some ups and downs in the various leagues but nothing likely to be significant. Penalties scored down from 553 to 471 (10.8% of all goals to 9.2%). I assume that's down to less being awarded rather than poorer conversion but I'll look for the pens awarded numbers. Maybe things are settling down VAR wise. Own goals fairly steady, up from 155 to 161 or 3.03% to 3.14%. Goals scored by subs up from 666 to 707 or 13.02% to 13.77%. Across the 2 seasons it's only been 9.16% in the Premier League (3 subs max) as opposed to 14.49% in the other 4 leagues (5 subs max). So we can expect an increase in England next season when the 5 sub rule is adopted. Obviously relevant to anytime goalscorer betting in terms of less goals being scored by the starting 11 when the number of subs is increased. The % of goals that had an assist was up from 66.8% to 68.2%, largely down to less penalties being scored. If you exclude own goals and penalties the % of "assisted" goals is fairly steady at 77.8% from 77.6%. So an average of 2.81 goals per games but only 1.92 assists. I have a strong feeling that most punters don't appreciate that gulf which makes the anytime assists market even more profitable for the bookies that the anytime goalscorer. I'm still tilting at backing in the goalscorer market (we'll see how that goes next season) but am also happily a seller at bigger prices. I've learnt my lesson with regard to assists though. Never a buyer or a backer be! Will probably look at the bookings related stats next.4 points
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Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
Wildgarden and 3 others reacted to Bang on for a topic
Sods law, Tangled never really put in race despite being lower in the weights than it has won from. Smiling Sunflower - won 4/1 ... at least I had a single after the 1st one went down.4 points -
Having a crack at Carlisle few big price £1 e/w 1.20 run cmc 10/1 ? 1.55 £20 challenge horse ? 2.25 papa k 50/1? 2.55 Tommy g 20/1 placed ? 3.25 carrigillihy 14/1 ? 3.55 rushes bear 28/1? all bet365 ??4 points
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Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
yossa6133 and 3 others reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
Despina Papamichail (+4.5) to beat Natalija Stevanovic at 1.83 with Pinnacle I'm not quite sure why Papamichail isn't getting any credit for her big win over Lys, she's constantly underrated by the bookies, but she's had some decent results recently. Stevanovic had a good win in the first round, but +4.5 looks off to me.4 points -
Won. £144 profit. Have finally stopped the rot.3 points
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Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
Wildgarden and 2 others reacted to Bang on for a topic
Had an EACH WAY double. 2.25 Carl - Tangled - 3/1 ( 1/5 4 places) - 2nd 8 days ago, CD winner (twice), and trainer in very good form (3 wins, 2 placed from 8 runners) 5.50 Kemp - Smiling Sunflower - 3/1 ( 1/5 4 places) - 3rd LTO and has cheek pieces added.3 points -
Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
azzybear and 2 others reacted to black rabbit for a topic
miss carol ann 3 55 car 1/4 pt win 9/13 points -
Travelers Championship
MinellaWorksop and one other reacted to Johnrobertson for a topic
Trying my luck this week in a strong looking field:- Patrick Cantlay 14/1 bet365 Jordan Spieth 22/1 hills Keegan Bradley 35/1 hills Davis Riley 40/1 bet365 Denny McCarthy 66/1 bet3652 points -
BMW International Open
MinellaWorksop and one other reacted to Johnrobertson for a topic
Pablo Larrazabal 35/1 bet365 Wil Besseling 80/1 bet365 Thomas Detry 45/1 bet3652 points -
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Travelers Championship
Johnrobertson and one other reacted to MinellaWorksop for a topic
For my Fantasy Golf squad, I had a 10 man shortlist of: Spieth, Niemann, K-H Lee, Bradley, Leishman, Harman, Stallings, Streelman, C.T. Pan, Kizzire. From this my final squad of 6 is: Jordan Spieth 22/1 Keegan Bradley 30/1 Joaquin Niemann 28/1 C.T. Pan 140/1 Marc Leishman 50/1 Patton Kizzire 225/1 Decided to include some prices from Bet365 as a reference.2 points -
Bath 5.00 CHOIRMASTER 15/2 £10 EW SKY 4 places2 points
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1455 - C - Invincibly @ 12-1 (5p) £10 ew2 points
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Betbull
black rabbit and one other reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Anyone with funds are being urged to empty accounts before company winds up .....my thoughts ??...they had a cash investment of 80 million and they went bust ????....check the cayman isles hmmpth .....2 points -
Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
CzechPunter and one other reacted to Lorenzi Musetti for a topic
yeah, very disappointing from Lys, she was overpowered her groundstrokes and has not found the lines. Great defense from Papamichael, she covered the court really well and was the better player for the last 1,75 sets. good luck for your pick. if she plays like yesterday she will easily cover that handicap2 points -
I presume Badosa and perhaps Sakkari too decided to give themselves a few days off before Wimbledon to rest up and recharge. Although that said, with Badosa you're never quite sure, as she has had some shocking losses at times this year for a player who's considered to be top 5 in the world.2 points
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racing chat tuesday
black rabbit and one other reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Bell shot wins .....opt it was in photo for 2nd ..jeez....has been given 3rd Approx +14.00 ...+20.00 on day actually that's wrong ....another 5 on top for the ew so around +25.00 on day ...2 points -
Naps - Tuesday 21st June
Kingdom for and one other reacted to daveg for a topic
Brighton 16:35 Habanero Star 9/1 Bet3652 points -
Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
richard-westwood reacted to Le Doyen for a topic
3rd and 4th....not bad!1 point -
Travelers Championship
MinellaWorksop reacted to Johnrobertson for a topic
I just checked the prices on the betfair exchange, the price difference are huge - Spieth is 30, Riley is 50, McCarthy is 80, however Cantlay 15.5 and Bradley 34 are both about the same as the bookies price so if you follow the money these are the ones.1 point -
Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
The Equaliser reacted to Le Doyen for a topic
Clitheroe 11/2 Eidokos 22/1 Both 3.551 point -
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Betbull
alexcaruso808 reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Last year they only made a 6 figure profit ....which is peanuts really yearly....I just don't think its working ....when you consider they've had an 80 mlion injection ...I'd wanna know where my money went ?1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
1.55 carlisle bernie the bear 14/1 £10 e/w bet3651 point -
Betbull
alexcaruso808 reacted to Alastair for a topic
The suggestion in the Racing Post is that the owners have made a strategic decision to withdraw from the UK market because of possible regulatory changes rather than because of financial difficulties.1 point -
Tsitsipas is the most overrated player. To lose from Ivashka is something not shocking. I mean i don't trust Tsitsipas any more against any player. And especially on grass, he looks weak player. Dozens would beat him on grass. Zero progress in the last three years on his game. Actually is moving backwards than forwards. And i hate his father. If he doesn't fire his idiot father for ever, don't expect anything from Tsitsipas. I am out of any betting involvement this week.1 point
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For the ATP I think it is Tsitsipas who will like to take a rest and freshen up before the GS. So Ivashka got a chance to beat him at a great value.1 point
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£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to Nigwilliam for a topic
Carl 225 Tangled 3/1 £15 win Maysong 13/2 £5 win bet3651 point -
Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
Dax reacted to WinningTipster for a topic
2 picks for Wimbledon qualifying matches tomorrow: KUBLER-4 GAMES HANDICAP OVER TIRANTE @ 1.75 pinnacle Kubler has 33-10 record this year, and winning 14 out of his last 16 matches, and he is playing a clay court specialist. GRENIER-BARRANCO 2:0 sets @ 1.5 (several bookies) Grenier has good serve and a good game for grass, in general, playing vs another clay court specialist (Barranco).1 point -
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Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
Dax reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
Katerina Siniakova (+1.5 sets) to beat Simona Halep at 2.41 with Pinnacle Something just isn't clicking with Halep, she's good in patches and bad in patches, and she had a very disappointing Sunday when she lost against Haddad Maia. If she's still in a bit of a slump, Siniakova can certainly steal a set, as she did against Andreescu last time out. Given the odds, I much prefer the set handicap over the games handicap, as Siniakova can produce a meltdown in the decider.1 point -
A few words about Garbine for anyone of a mind to back her anytime soon - tread carefully. Conditions are a little tricky in Eastbourne right now due to wind, but even so the unforced error count from her is too high and shows why she's been losing so often recently. If you can't keep the ball in the court then literally anyone can beat you, and a quick look at Garbine's record this season shows that's exactly what's been happening.1 point
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Constant Lestienne to beat Marius Copil at 2.15 with Unibet I think Constant seems to have himself a good opportunity here. Marius is well past his prime.1 point
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FINAL LEAGUE TABLES (2021/22 Season 4 Week 8)
avongirl reacted to Peter York for a topic
Many belated thanks from me too.1 point -
Tennis Tips - June 20 - June 26
Dax reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
We've got plenty of action this week, including Wimbledon qualifiers, and one thing that I'd probably want to point out is that there are no points for the Grand Slam due to the exclusion of Russians/Belarussians. That means that perhaps the motivation factor of players wanting to focus on the Wimbledon will be slightly different this season than previously. Now, there's obviously way more money in the Grand Slam than in these minor tournaments this week, but it's something to keep in mind. Marta Kostyuk to beat Barbora Krejcikova at 2.25 with Unibet Krejcikova has played just a single match since February, and she was utterly without fitness in the French Open, so I think it's not too fair to have Kostyuk as the underdog here, especially since she was crushing it nicely yesterday.1 point -
You should do that, at least it will make it a bit more manageable for you that way as well. Thanks so much for all your effort, I know how much hard work goes into making these things1 point
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Naps - Sunday 19th June
Kingdom for reacted to Soi Bongkot for a topic
Misty Blues 15.45 Ponty 12/1 bet 3651 point -
Well done to @Cash Out Kevand @LeMalewho found 40/1 winner Holloway Boy. It was still not enough to take the daily prize, this goes to @Tipsterixwho selected 33/1 and 10/1 winners to take the prize and finish overall 3rd. Congratulations to @RUGwho had another profitable day to take the overall competition. Well done to @Offrampwho finishes 2nd. Could the prize winners please PM pay-pal details. See you at Goodwood !1 point
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Naps - Saturday 18th June
Kingdom for reacted to LeMale for a topic
1709 NM - Abate @ 14-1 ew bet3651 point -
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Racing chat Wednesday 22 June
The Equaliser reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
Lest said the better about those ?0 points