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  1. 200 ep blatant 235 revich 310 ep high definition nap 345 ep cap francais
    7 points
  2. Epsom 2.00 Epsom’s Derby day starts with a class 2 10F handicap with fifteen 3 year olds going to post. The race has a wide open look about it with Godolphin’s Blue Trail amongst the favourites. A good third in the Esher Cup last time he steps up a couple of furlongs which should suit and should be thereabouts today. There’s several others with claims none more so than the Richard Spencer trained Mr Big Stuff who was denied a run on a couple of occasions in the London Cup at Newbury last time and is the bet here under 5lb claimer Tyler Heard. The only negative is his wide drawn in stall 13 (of 15) which isn’t ideal on this turning track but he can overcome that and looks the one to be with today although I can’t resist a small saver on Hugo Palmer’s Norton Cross who comes here as a lightly raced improver with a mark of 80 which looks workable. MR BIG STUFF 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 NOLTON CROSS 1/2 point each way @ 9/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 1234 Epsom 2.35 A good sized field of ten fillies and mares assemble for the Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes run over 1m 113 yards. Cheveley Park set a poser saddling William Haggas’s Bashkirova and Sir Michael Stoute’s Potapova who both have solid chances on their best efforts. Bashkirova may have just needed her re-appearance run when failing to catch Mrs Fitzherbert going down by half a length. Hughie Morrison’s four year old re-opposes and I can’t really understand why there’s such a discrepancy between the pair in the betting with the latter over twice the price. Potapova went down by a head on her re-appearance on the all weather at Kempton to Roman Mist who re-opposes here. That form has been boosted twice since by the victories of the 3rd and 4th and both have claims. Three 3 year olds take on their elders in receipt of 12lb with Andrew Balding’s Majestic Glory the best of the trio. A tight contest but at the prices I’m happy to stick with Mrs Fitzherbert who has the beating of Bashkirova and is significantly bigger in the betting. MRS FIZHERBERT 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 123 Epsom 3.10 A small but select field of six go post for the 1m 113 yards group 3 Diomed Stakes and can go to the upwardly mobile Modern News for the boys in blue. Charlie Appleby is actually double represented here with Zakouski and Modern News with William Buick having chosen Modern News. He’s looked a progressive four year old winning the Spring Cup Handicap at Newbury and a listed contest at Windsor this spring with a step up to this class looking well within his compass. The Gosden’s Megallan has been a bit disappointing this season so far and the biggest threat to the selection may well be the Charlie Hills trained Mutasaabeq, a smart sort himself who just went down to Lights On in a group 2 last time when not getting the best of runs. MODERN NEWS 2 points win @ 11/10 bet365 Epsom 3.45 The 5F ‘Dash’ Handicap is a real spectacle run over the worlds fastest sprint track. Plenty have chances including Scott Dixon’s Fine Wine who looked an improved horse when winning at York last time (runner up won a group race since) but has been put up 9lb for the win. Live In The Dream is trained locally by Adam West and is chasing a hat trick following success’s at Sandown and Chester. He too has been raised 7lb for his latest win and the pair I like are last year’s winner and third Mokaatil and Stone Of Destiny. The latter had a dreadful ride throughout the race but when he got some clear space ran on to be beaten 1 3/4L but is now 15lb better off. The problem with Stone Of Destiny is that he hasn’t won since the Portland Handicap in September 2020 some 14 races ago but if he gets the splits at the right time he’s without doubt a well handicapped horse. Stall 18 will have him trapped away on the rail whilst Mokaatil has options from stall 9. He’s won three of his four starts at this specialist track and is also worth backing to small each way stakes with enhanced places. STONE OF DESTINY 1 1/2 points each way @ 9/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 MOKAATIL 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Epsom 4.30 This year’s Derby is run in memory of the great Lester Piggott, a nine time winner of this race who sadly passed last weekend. A bumper field of 17 go to post for the 12F contest and we have a solid enough favourite in the Sir Michael Stoute trained Desert Crown who’s unbeaten and looked good when winning the Dante at York when apparently only 80% fit. Stall 12 looks fine and he is the one they all have to beat. Aiden O’Brien has won six of the last ten runnings and saddles three runners in Stone Age, an impressive winner of the Leopardstown Derby Trial and he looks the best of the three to my eyes. Changingoftheguard sports first time cheek pieces having won the Chester Vase last time though isn’t helped by a stall position of 16. Chester winner Star Of India looks the weakest of the trio. Charlie Appleby saddles three also with stable number one William Buick choosing the supplemented Nations Pride with James Doyle on Walk On Star and Adam Kirby, who won the race last year for the connections with Adayar, on Nahanni. Donnacha O’Brien sends over Piz Badile with a chance. It’s a tough race with the most likely winner being favourite Desert Crown but with the last five winners being priced 40/1, 16/1, 13/2, 25/1 and 16/1 it may pay to back a couple each way at big prices especially as many firms are paying an extra place. Royal Patronage is a horse who should relish the step upto 12F and although he has a bit to find with the favourite on the Dante form can out run his odds despite a poor draw in 1 and I’ll play small ew him and also small ew on Walk On Stars who has a bit of a ‘Adayar’ feel about him having finished runner up in the Lingfield Derby trial last time out. ROYAL PATRONAGE 1/2 point each way @ 33/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 WALK ON STARS 1/2 point each way @ 18/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234
    6 points
  3. Todays fun 40p Lucky 15 = £6.00 200 Epsom Blatant 9/1 (got that one wrong) 235 Epsom Larado 20/1 (40/1 the place no use for this post but was well highlighted here and by @The Brigadier) 310 Epsom Manobo 9/4 (experienced jockeys turning a 12f G1 into a sprint does no one any favours) 430 Epsom Nashwa 10/3 3rd ran well Prices bet365 at time of posting little annoying that i didn't include my nap in the comp in this which won at 14/1 but thats the way it goes sometimes. bank now £84 from £100 tomorrow is another day. all good fun.
    6 points
  4. bowland park 2 35 eps 1/4 pt win 22/1 pocker the profit 5 45 eps 1/4 pt win 12/1 P/L + 133.75 pt
    5 points
  5. I'm going to follow some Epsom selections from this thread. My own, non-Epsom, selections are: Caterick 4.45 Gnat Alley @ 3.25 - win Bath 6.20 Airshow @ 6.00 - win Doncaster 7.16 Aberama Gold @ 7.00 - EW Goodwood 7.37 Dreams of Thunder @ 3.50 - win Good luck everyone with your bets.
    5 points
  6. Epsom 2.00 A decent sized field for the start of the two day Derby meeting with a dozen two year olds going to post for the Woodcote Stakes run over 6F. It can be an advantage to be drawn on the rail and two of the more fancied runners have been drawn out wide in starting stalls 11 and 12. That’s Andrew Balding’s Estate and David Loughnane’s Commander Straker who actually met at Bath last time and on 5lb better terms the former may turn the tables on Commander Straker having been beaten only a length and a half although as previously stated the draw is not ideal. Mick Channon’s Legend Of Xanadu and Eve Johnson Houghton’s Blatant are speedy types who can run well but my fancy is the Ralph Beckett trained Keep Bidding who’s well berthed in stall 4 and ran a race full of plenty of promise on her debut at Nottingham when an unfancied 28/1 chance chasing home a well touted Michael Bell newcomer. She stayed on well under hand riding and will love the extra furlong today. Beckett has his horses in decent form and I expect a decent run from her here. KEEP BIDDING 1 point each way @ 13/2 Bet365 1/5th 1234 Epsom 2.35 A highly competitive sixteen runner 1m 113 yds class 2 handicap is up next. Archie Watson’s Excel Power heads the weights having won both his starts this season and despite a 6lb rise for his latest win has claims with Hollie Doyle in the saddle. It’ll be hard to win this from a high draw and for that reason alone I’m against last years winner Corazon Espinado (although he would be very much on my short list if drawn in single figures), Variyann and Oh This Is Us. Andrew Balding’s Carolus Magnus looks a player with his latest second at Newmarket boosted by the subsequent wins of the third that day. George Boughey’s Totally Charming has the assistance of William Buick and will no doubt be popular although he has to prove he’s as good on turf as he is on the all weather where his record is 3 from 5 but 0 from 2 on the turf. I’m going to take a swing at a big price one here in bottom weight Larado. Trained by Mick Appleby he made all to win over course and distance last September by a comfortable 6L and although he’s shown little in two starts this season there may have been excuses. With the front runners all drawn high Larado may steel a march on his rivals from stall 2 and under Ciaran Fallon lead them all a merry dance. He’ll be a big price so shop around and look out for those extra places. LARADO 1 point each way @ 25/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Epsom 3.10 A small but select field of six assemble for this year’s renewal of the Group 1 Coronation Cup run over the Derby trip of 1m 4F. The best in today is last year’s winner Pyledriver who comes here on the back of a credible 4th in the Sheema Classic at Meydan in March (Hukum 3/4L behind him that day). With Martin Dwyer missing Frankie Dettori takes over and he looks sure to go close as the only runner in the field to have any experience of this unique track. Aiden O’Brien has supplemented High Definition after his excellent effort when just going down to Alenquer in the 10F Tattersall Gold Cup at The Curragh 12 days ago and although rated just a pound behind Pyledriver he hasn’t won since his two year old days some seven runs ago. The horse who’s hard to put a handle on is the Charlie Appleby trained Manobo who’s been running over further although his trainer has always been of the opinion that he has plenty of speed. On official ratings he has 7lb to find and will surely attempt to force the pace. I’ll take Dettori and Pyledriver to arrive late and fast and take the spoils. PYLEDRIVER 2 points win @ 2/1 bet365 Epsom 3.45 A decent sized field of fourteen go to post for this class 2 10F handicap with the likely favourite the improving Moktasaab who is owned by Harry Redknapp. He’s chasing a hat trick of wins this year following victories for William Knight at Newbury and Goodwood. He’s a player here but has risen 12lb for those two success’s and this looks a deep contest. David Menuisier trains course specialist Soto Sizzler who’s track figure here read 11221 and although racing off of a career high handicap mark today looks likely to play a part in the finish with Ryan Moore in the saddle. I’ll take him with one other against the field. My other fancy is the Charlie and Mark Johnstone trained Love Is Golden who got no sort of run when third to the aforementioned Soto Sizzler over course and distance at the Spring meeting here finishing off third beaten 5 1/4L but is now 6lb better off. He’s run well in two decent handicaps since and I’ll take him and Soto Sizzler each way against the field. SOTO SIZZLER 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 LOVE IS GOLDEN 1 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Epsom 4.30 The 12F Cazoo Oaks is the third classic of the season and we have 11 three year old fillies going to post this year. John and Thady Gosden appear to hold the key here with the front two in the betting in Emily Upjohn, an impressive winner of a Sandown maiden and the Musidora at York and Nashwa who’s looked equally as impressive in winning at Haydock and Newbury this season. She’s yet to race beyond 10F and there’s maybe a slight doubt about her getting this longer trip today. Ideally she wouldn’t want to see any more rain. Emily Upjohn looks smart and should relish the step up 1 1/2F from York today. She was a bit keen early last time and if there is a reason to be against her that may well be it although she certainly has the wow factor especially with Frankie on board. Aiden O’Brien has four in the contest - the hard to fancy The Algarve (9 1/4L behind Emily Upjohn at York), Cheshire Oaks winner Thoughts Of June (runner up won a Group 1 in France since) and the 2nd and 3rd from the Irish 1000 Guineas from 12 days ago in Tuesday and Concert Hall. Both are stepping up in trip and with Ryan Moore presumably choosing Tuesday she maybe the best of the Ballydoyle quartet. Charlie Appleby’s representative With The Moonlight shouldn’t be dismissed as she was very impressive when winning the Pretty Polly at Newmarket on her re-appearance. She looks a different horse to last year and if gallop rumours are correct has come forward again since her trial. It’s a tough race and on a matter of value I’ll play the Godolphin filly each way (if possible look at the firms paying 4 places instead of 3)with a win bet on the favourite who’s the most likely winner. WITH THE MOONLIGHT 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 EMILY UPJOHN 2 points win @ 5/4 William Hill
    4 points
  7. 2nd and 4th ! ...totally chuffed la Trinidad placed at 28/1!!.......shoukd be around +20.90
    4 points
  8. Another very busy days racing. Not too much standing out for me to post on here, but some to look at. 2.10 Hunt - Family Time - 4/1 - First time in a handicap, can be excused last run (going), and may improve enough to win. 2.25 Mkt Ras - Teescomponent Fly - 4/1 - Again, 1st time in a handicap, and trainer Gillian Boanas is in very good form (2 wins, 1 place, from 4 runners last 2 weeks). 5.45 Epsom - Saleymn - 9/2 - I backed it last time when it finished 2nd and I vowed to follow it, shouldn't be far away.
    4 points
  9. BET365 4/1 TV Offer. A small profit of £25 in May reduces the overall loss to £1,297.50. Todays selections EPSO 2.00 Silencer (8) 6/1 EPSO 4.30 With The Moonlight (8) 14/1
    4 points
  10. Trixie 1300 hun Mr yeats 1545 eps moltasaab 1630 eps emilyupjohn All epsom bets 1400 few money backs so went 3 blatant, legend of xanadu and commander straker. 1435 fantastic fox ew 1510 maybe wait till see if any offers, but between the top 2 and hukum. 1545 cap francais ew 1630 witg the moonlight ew 1710 oscula free bet 1745 saleymm and moneyback offer on nuvolari. Good luck all.
    4 points
  11. matchmaking 1.00
    4 points
  12. Epsom. Double. 2.00.Keep Bidding. 10/3... unpl 2.35. Oh This is Us. 13/2...... unpl singles & double. Good luck all.
    4 points
  13. 641 Donc - ISLA KAI 11/4 ? 826 Donc - WARREN POINT 10/11 1st Win Double . 840 Bath - CAPTAIN HOWSE 13/2 eway . 2nd
    4 points
  14. Today's 2yo selections .... generally 2nd run, showed promise first time, yard's horses improve for first run Epsom 2.00 - Kessaar Power - EW at 50/1 bet365 - prominent, lost position but rallied and ran on late on debut. With some of the fancied ones badly drawn could have an EW chance Catt 1.44 - Dixiedoodledragon - EW at 25/1 Wm Hill - showed early speed before fading on debut at Carlisle, this easier track should suit Bath 6.55 - Stunt Game - win 9/4 bet365 - came home nicely on debut, stiffer track should suit
    4 points
  15. experienced jockeys turning a 12f race into a sprint is just not on for me.
    3 points
  16. 5.04 Don Crown Princess 7/2 5.21 Gdwd Uncle Dick 3/1 5.45 Eps Salyemn 9/2 5.48 Catt Without Delay 3/1 0.5 win and ew doubles & 0.5 win and ew trebles Total stakes = 10
    3 points
  17. Trends for the coronation cup and oaks at Epsom. Coronation cup (3.10) Age = 5, 4 from 15, AE 1.83 This leaves 2, HUKUM and PYLEDRIVER Forecast odds < 2/1, 3 from 4, AE 1.57 This leaves PYLEDRIVER at 2/1 Oaks (4.30) Odds 3/1 - 13/2, 5 from 8. This leaves NASHWA at 7/2, 4 places.
    3 points
  18. Fireworks 2.35 Epsom (23/2 SBK). Could be plenty to come this season, lightly raced big sort. Often been slowly away but looks to have plenty of ability, probably wants some give in the ground. Might be more interesting next time with a run under his belt over slightly further, but having a few quid at a big price here. Not great, but will still be interested next time.
    3 points
  19. legened of xanadu 2.00
    3 points
  20. Bank moves onto €1,581 - again some good runs that didn't quite get home but seeing Mostly Sunny come in at 8.40 was very pleasing. 06/03/2022 13:00 HUNTINGDON Mr Yeats 06/03/2022 13:35 HUNTINGDON Galahad Threepwood 06/03/2022 14:19 CATTERICK Rockprincess 06/03/2022 15:29 CATTERICK Music Society 06/03/2022 15:55 HUNTINGDON Guidedbythescience xx xx xx 06/03/2022 16:45 CATTERICK Gnat Alley 06/03/2022 17:10 EPSOM Dawn Of Liberation 06/03/2022 17:15 CATTERICK Mr Trevor 06/03/2022 17:21 GOODWOOD Uncle Dick 06/03/2022 18:20 BATH Peerless 06/03/2022 18:27 GOODWOOD Youllovemewheniwin 06/03/2022 19:02 GOODWOOD Adjudicator 06/03/2022 19:30 BATH Zulu Girl 06/03/2022 20:12 GOODWOOD Sea Of Charm Stake is €47.43.
    3 points
  21. Market Rasen. Double. 2.25. Art Man. 10/3.... unpl 3.00. Lunar Sovereign. 13/2.... unpl singles & double. Good luck all.
    3 points
  22. 3.45 EP very Trappy race at the prices GOOD BIRTHDAY just get the nod from me e/w 14/1 5.45 EP LORD RAPSCALLION is much better than his form figures would suggest and gets in here off a really nice weight and again with bet365 16/1 5places bog is tasty in my book. Best of luck all
    3 points
  23. Manobo 3:10 Epsom (5/2 bet365). Pulled his chance away last time but looks the one with star quality to me. Bit of a shocker there, messy race and he's a tricky ride.
    3 points
  24. Hello all... Haven't had time to do a proper opening post with stats, explanations and so forth. Will be nice to do one before long but for now, I am just going to jump in with the first preview essay of the season. Enjoy Hexham - 4th June - PreviewAt the beginning of this century, the season’s opening juvenile hurdle took place at Market Rasen during mid-late July. In 2004, Stratford supplanted Market Rasen by a week before the latter reclaimed its position in 2006 by hosting the first juvenile hurdle to be held in June since summer jumping became a whole thing. Not to be outdone, Stratford raised the curtain on the tenth of June in 2007 before Hexham stepped in to give those competing in the 2008 Epsom Derby an insight into what awaited them if they did not fancy retiring to the breeding sheds. The following year, Stratford hosted the first three-year-old hurdle to be held in May. Everybody agreed that this was silly and apart from Ffos Las going four days ahead of Hexham in 2012, and Newton Abbot getting things underway during “the uncertain times”, British juvenile hurdlers have been making their first forays at the country’s most beautiful racecourse.Titled “Most Important 3-Year-Old Race Today”, Saturday’s juvenile hurdle at Hexham is certainly the most anticipated three-year-old contest of the Summer; in this quarter at least. This season will see the interesting initiative of “Junior National Hunt Development Hurdle Races”, in a bid to catch up with the French (although the French do allow those with flat form to contest three-year-old hurdles). As such, it is fitting to compare the Hexham contest with the equivalent Prix d'Essai des Poulains held at Compiegne in March. The former has been a launchpad for the likes of Roi Mage, Buddy Banks, Quilixios, Sceau Royal and Grandouet; the latter three contesting the Triumph Hurdle with Quilixios winning in 2021, and Grandouet placing in 2011. However, in terms of participants, Hexham’s less heralded curtain-raiser can claim four during the same period; albeit with Simarian’s seventh in 2009 being the best placing – Lindenhurst and (last year’s winner) Koi Dodville finishing ninth and eleventh respectively, and Rupestrian pulling up in 2010.Amusing quirks aside, Hexham’s race historically takes little winning with the first-past-the-post achieving a seasonal best RPR of 103 median, 105.46 mean, while those winners with flat ratings brought an average BHA mark of just 58.08. Notwithstanding, the contest is not without its occasional useful participants as alongside the aforementioned Triumph horses, City Dreamer, Come On Sunshine and Maria Magdalena also went on to reach the frame in the Wensleydale Hurdle. This year’s renewal has the potential to be quite handy as for all that their profiles are akin to the curate’s egg, several represent strong yards in the division while some pedigrees and flat ratings are above average for the time of year. As far as the track itself is concerned, Hexham, with its left-handed, galloping and very undulating circuit, is probably the most demanding in Britain and Ireland for juvenile hurdlers. Their average winning DIs of 1.135 mean and 0.92 median are lower only at Cheltenham and Chepstow with the gap between winners and beaten horses being the most pronounced in the country. Time of year is immaterial to these figures, reading at 1.16 and 0.90 for this particular contest. While not providing a particularly difficult jumping test, its clear round rate of 97.4% being ninth highest in the UK, only Southwell has a lower completion rate than Hexham’s 77.27%. Consequently, stamina is a crucial attribute for the young horses going into battle on Saturday. A couple of these have made the running during the course of their short careers and as a few have also shown a propensity to become lit up, the pace should be an honest one. The going currently reads as good to soft and while watering was planned earlier this week, that would no longer be the case.Bukela bg Brian Ellison f5-0-0 (54) 63Mondialiste (Val Royal){1-x}(0.92) 2/2 Bentons Lad 102 1st 2m4½f Handicap Hurdle (97), Southwell 2018Since this race’s inception, Brian Ellison has had two winners from five in this contest; with Dilizan landing the 2012 edition, and Come On Sunshine scoring two years later. Each of these were trained by Ellison on the flat, which is also partially true of this year’s representative, Bukela. Initially under the care of Stef Keniry, whose graduates to the division consist of two winners from three, Bukela was beaten no less than fifteen lengths on each of his three outings last year. Switched to Brian Ellison’s and armed with a basement mark of 55, Bukela showed his first piece of worthwhile form when reappearing in a sixteen-furlong Wetherby Handicap in April. Sent off at 22/1, having drifted from 16/1 to 33/1 in the morning, Bukela was outpaced in the early stages. However, despite showing greenness in the straight, was able to keep on in what was an honestly run contest for a three length fifth of thirteen. The form is taking a fair shape with the winner finishing second at Sandown, and the fourth winning next time out. However, he does emerge some fourteen pounds wrong with the reopposing National Charter who finished in third. Bukela’s second appearance of the season came three weeks ago at Redcar over a furlong shorter where he drifted from a morning 3/1 to 5/1. Never getting involved and finishing an eleven length eighth, his being hampered at the start did light him up although it was still a disappointing effort. Quite locally bred, Bukela is set to become the first of Mondialiste’s offspring to race over hurdles. Standing at a decent 16.1hh, the globetrotting Mondialiste won his first race at four before landing the Woodbine Mile and Arlington Million as well as finishing third in the Prix Jean Prat. Though a son of Galileo, whose winner to runner rate as a grandsire is a decent 27.6%, Mondialiste’s nephew Intello has had one winning juvenile from eight with none improving on their flat form. The damline’s clues to Bukela’s potential hurdling ability are similarly fair at best. Cousin Bentons Lad won three moderate handicap hurdles over intermediate distances, but remaining evidence is sparse until one reaches Lil Rockerfeller at 5/5. Brian Hughes was initially booked for the ride, but while he has other bookings on the card, he has neglected to take this mount. Not that Henry Brooke, who is two from eleven in Hexham juveniles, is not an able deputy.Exceed All Limits bg Andrew Crook f2-0-0 (-) 56Excelebration (Tomba){9-c}(11.00) 2/1 Chief Scout 101 2nd 2m Novices' Hurdle, Kelso 2007Gelded prior to making his racecourse debut at in a twelve furlong April novice stakes at Ripon, Exceed All Limits started at 100/1 and ran accordingly, never leaving the rear to finish a thirteen length fifth of five. Though he beat two of his thirteen rivals home over ten furlongs at Newcastle eleven days ago, he was beaten thirty-seven lengths. Andrew Crook has had three winning juveniles from sixteen, although none scored first time nor were they handled by Crook on the flat. Furthermore, only a third improved for the switch to hurdles which is crucial to Exceed All Limits’ chances. Sire Excelebration has had two winners from twenty in the sphere, but one was out of a Montjeu mare and Tomba has had no success either as a sire or damsire.Jad Mahal bg Alan King f4-0-1 (68) 72Dabirsim (Shamardal){4-m}(2.25) 0.5 Selma 119 3rd 3600m 3yo Handicap Hurdle (62.0), Auteuil 2021The profile of Jad Mahal is very much one of contrasts. Trainer Alan King’s record in the juvenile hurdling division is intimidating at all levels. As well as winning Grade Ones with the likes of Katchit, Walkon, Grumeti, Franchoek and l’Unique, he also boasts a winner to runner rate of 48.05%, an improvement rate of 50.91%, and of those trained at Barbury Castle during their flat careers, 52.33% would win during their initial campaigns over jumps. Alan King is also adept at readying them first time out as per his 25.76% strike-rate. Conversely, Dabirsim’s record as a stallion of juvenile hurdlers is lamentable. A precocious and speedy racehorse with precocious and speedy offspring, his four juveniles have amassed a mere £350 from seven outings and his sole winning jumper in Britain did so in a two-mile Warwick handicap off 92. Such trepidation about the breeding is somewhat offset by his half-sister being a fairly useful juvenile hurdler in France last term, although her being by Camelot certainly did no harm. Indeed, being a nephew of Threading, out of a niece of Dubai Millennium, Jad Mahal’s greatest chance to shine would have been on the flat. Since fetching £34,000 at the Goresbridge Breeze-Up last June, Jad Mahal’s racing career has also been one of contrast. After finishing midfield on his debut at Leicester last October, given a relatively easy ride having shown greenness, he posted his career best at Wolverhampton the following month in a seven-furlong maiden. Sent off the 18/5 favourite, Jad Mahal tracked the leaders and though ridden turning into the straight, was close enough if good enough. Though he hung under pressure and was unable to find an extra gear, his keeping-on third – just over a length behind a dual subsequent winner and seven lengths ahead of another – would be the strongest on offer in this contest. However, following his winter break, he failed to build on that effort as he was beaten thirteen lengths when dropping away in a ten-furlong Lingfield maiden at the end of March, and finished last of seven on his handicap debut at Goodwood over a mile which may have been too sharp. The equine embodiment of the curate’s egg, Jad Mahal is an interesting recruit based on his powerful and in-form yard, his useful half-sister, and his sole decent flat performance. However, while connections won this contest in 2019 with Green Etoile, his unaccountably poor form at three, subsequent gelding operation and the dubious record of his sire definitely temper enthusiasm.Moonlight Dawn chg Adrian Paul Keatley f1-0-0 (-) 26Dawn Approach (Danehill Dancer){13-c}(1.18) 3/1 Cape Express 137 1st 2m1f Handicap Hurdle (125), Aintree 2012Represented in last season’s renewal by Space Kid, who finished a well beaten fourth, Adrian Paul Keatley will be hoping for better from the aforementioned’s half-brother, Moonlight Dawn. However, while Space Kid was able to win at two, Moonlight Dawn showed very little promise on his sole outing at Doncaster last October in finishing a twenty-length fourteenth of fifteen. Moreover, while Space Kid’s sire, Tamayuz, is a capable sire in the division, the same cannot be said of Dawn Approach whose fourteen juveniles have collected no wins from thirty-one attempts. The damline offers some respite as the useful Cape Express appears at 3/1 alongside another winner in Leo McGarry, while useful French hurdler Lalezari is out of the fifth dam. However, that would be the sum of Moonlight Dawn’s prospects.Quickdrawmcgraw bg Evan Williams f5-0-0 (52) 52Kodi Bear (Barathea){16-c}(0.68) 1/0 Silk Affair 131 1st Fred Winter Juv HcH (G3,125), Cheltenham 2009Despite having the second lowest official rating in this line-up, Quickdrawmcgraw attracted the highest bid at auction for an experienced participant when going to 17,000 guineas at the Tattersalls Guineas Sale (to stay in the same yard). His rating is one fully justified by his five performances spanning from last June to mid-January. Out with the washing when beaten by fourteen lengths on his debut over five furlongs at Bath, he was beaten the same distance at Chepstow over seven. Given three months off the track, he stepped up marginally in a couple of outings at Leicester; first in a novice stakes where he weakened to finish just over ten lengths behind the winner in sixth having raced keenly (half a length behind Jad Mahal who was making his debut); and in a nursery off 57 where he led briefly at the distance but ultimately filled the same slot, albeit two lengths closer. Quickdrawmcgraw’s sole outing this side of Christmas came in a ten-furlong Lingfield handicap off 54 in which he never left the rear and was beaten just over eight lengths in seventh; although his final furlong time was the fourth fastest in the field. On form, his price tag is difficult to justify, but there are some clues in his pedigree to suggest he may do better as a juvenile hurdler. Kodi Bear has had only one winner from seven in the sphere, but that was Fred Bear (incidentally, Quickdrawmcgraw’s cousin) who won at Stratford last August before finishing second in middle distance handicaps at Fontwell and Plumpton. The dam, Silk Affair, won the 2009 Fred Winter Hurdle and is herself a half-sister to five other winning jumpers including the useful Arthur’s Gift and Direct Bearing. Other useful performers on the damline include Ecco (2/3), Ski Sunday (4/4) and the likes of Silsol, Saglawy, Salden Licht and Sweet Wake at 4/5. The care of Evan Williams is also a positive as, along with boasting a healthy winner-to-runner rate of 28.45% in the sphere, has a 16.25% first-time strike rate with flat recruits and a 31.25% strike rate in the months of June and July; which includes Simarian who won this race in 2008. Moreover, the two juveniles that Evan Williams trained on the flat – the 69 rated Torba and the 52 rated Nick The Silver - were both winners. Quickdrawmcgraw will need to improve markedly on his flat form, but everything else in his profile suggests that, while not an outstanding candidate in this field, should find his level over hurdles in the coming months.Free Chakarte bf David Pipe f6-2-1 (32.0) 63Highland Reel (Pivotal){13-e}(0.82) 2/1 Libeccio 126 1st 2m4½f Handicap Hurdle, Plumpton 2016https://www.equidia.fr/chevaux/free-chakarteDavid Pipe won this race in 2010 with Lucky Quay, and last year with Koi Dodville; who had been bought out of a French claimer on his previous start. While Koi Dodville cost the same connections €14,506 after finishing second at Saint-Cloud, French Chakarte was slightly pricier at €17,001 following her win at Fontainebleau thirty-eight days ago. The road to Fontainebleau began last June with a staying-on third in a 1400m newcomers race at La Teste de Buch under the care of Simone Brogi. Disappointing on her return to the venue the following month, Free Chakarte was switched to Christophe Ferland’s yard and was next seen at Toulouse in March over 2100m where she finished in midfield; fading having led to the furlong marker. Later that month, a switch to handicapping (off a valeur of 33 (72.6) and more patient tactics back over a mile at La Teste failed to pay off as she got very warm and finished well beaten. Free Chakarte was then dropped to claiming company which saw her finally get off the mark at Royan in a 1600m contest on souple ground worth €8,000. Initially setting the pace, she slotted behind the leaders going into the back before regaining the lead turning for home and fending off a better travelling rival to win by three-quarters of a length. She conceded five-and-a-half kilos to the 29.0 rated runner-up and was nearly nine pounds better than the fifty-six rated third. The form has not been well advertised since, but it would still be worth a rating in the mid-high sixties. Later in April, Free Chakarte completed the double at Fontainebleau in a 2000m claimer worth more than twice the Royan contest. Stalking the leader from the outset, she was asked for her effort at the distance and though her immediate response was to wander under pressure, she straightened out inside the final furlong and had the measure of her rivals to the tune of a decisive length at the finish. She was getting weight from the first three to follow her home, but with them all rated between 30.0 (66) and 34.0 (74.8), another mark in the mid-high sixties would not be wide of the mark. Two of the nine juveniles formerly trained by Christophe Ferland were winners with each also able to score on their first runs in Britain. David Pipe is not shy about buying juveniles from French claimers and five of the twelve sourced in this fashion were winners; giving a winner runner rate of 41.67% which compares favourably to the 20.45% for all other trainers. While three of these would take a few runs to find their mark, the most recent pair – Adagio and Koi Dodville – did score at the first time of asking. Free Chakarte’s sire, Highland Reel, is one of two in this contest having their first forays in National Hunt racing and is also a globetrotting son of Galileo. However, while Mondialiste leaned towards the mile end of middle-distances, Highland Reel won five times over a mile and a half including a King George and a Coronation Cup. Highland Reel is the shorter of the two, measuring at 16.0¼hh, but despite his Antipodean flat heritage, is a 3/3 relative of Starspangledbanner; a sire emerging as rather adept with juvenile hurdlers. While preferring livelier ground as a racehorse, Highland Reel is getting winners on soft. All the same, as a probable source of stamina with good ground ability, Highland Reel has the attributes to enjoy success with summer jumpers. The distaff side of Free Chakarte’s pedigree also has some potential for the sphere as evidenced by uncle Libeccio who finished second in the juvenile handicap at Sandown before winning fairly useful hurdles over middle distances. Though unlikely to set the scene alight, Free Chakarte has less questions to answer than her opponents here and comes into the race with a solid chance.Intriguing Lady bf Nigel Hawke f12-0-3 (50) 66Fascinating Rock (Invincible Spirit){9-e}(1.13) 2/1 Arthurian 87 1st 2m½f Juvenile Selling Hurdle, Stratford 2008The veteran of twelve outings, Intriguing Lady is the most experienced participant set to face the starter. She was formerly trained by Mark Johnston who, since 2005, has been the most prolific supplier of juvenile hurdles with 211 former inmates of Kingsley House(?) taking up the vocation. For context, Mick Channon is next on the list with just three others reaching triple digits. Of those 211, fifty were winners, giving a healthy rate of 26.47%, although less than a third would improve on what they had shown for Johnston. The latter factor would be a matter of concern for Intriguing Lady whose early promise was fleeting and has been supplanted by disappointment. Her debut came at Ayr last August where, sporting a hood, she finished second of four behind a fair and experienced rival and ahead of a pair that have subsequently achieved little. Running green and down the field on her next two starts, she posted her career best on her handicap debut in a seven-furlong Newcastle nursery in October off 65. She was arguably unlucky when sixth in a Chelmsford claimer on her seventh and final start as a two-year-old, but on her first four starts of 2022, finished last in a handicap, last in a claimer, third in a seller won by a 54 rated animal, then eighth of nine in a Southwell handicap. Intriguing Lady was last seen finishing midfield in a Wolverhampton handicap where, sporting her fourth form of headgear, refused to settle before weakening late on. After this final outing, Intriguing Lady went to the Tattersalls Ascot March Sale where she commanded just £2,000. Such an appraisal is not inherently damning to a young hurdler’s prospects, however, as five of the thirty-four juveniles to have left Mark Johnston’s at public auction for less than £5,000 would be winners; including Rupestrian who won this very contest in 2009 for Tim Vaughan after fetching £4,000 at the DBS Lincoln Sale. Her new handler, Nigel Hawke, has a respectable record in the sphere with a 20% winner to runner rate that increases to 26.47% with flat sourced horses. The lion’s share of this success come from those from Jim Bolger’s with seven of the ten such horses winning. Indeed, the winner-to-runner rate for those not trained by Jim Bolger drops to 9.38%. Furthermore, Nigel Hawke’s juveniles invariable improve for experience with his first-time strike rate being a mere 4.69%. Fascinating Rock has one of the better records of the sires represented in this field but is still below average by general standards with his sole winner from seven being the Joseph O’Brien trained Faron, and his clear round rate of 80.95% being low by any measure. Intriguing Lady’s uncle did win a juvenile hurdle, albeit a weak Stratford seller, and apart from minor winner Manjaam at 3/2, jumping prowess on the damline is negligible before reaching Mengli Khan at 4/2. Even if Intriguing Lady has somehow learned to settle better over the past ten weeks, there were already concerns over her stamina and given her likely freshness and trainer’s modus operandi, the challenge posed by Hexham is unlikely to see her to best effect.National Charter bf Chris Grant f5-0-1 (62) 70Lawman (Big Shuffle){1-h}(1.40) 0.5 Tiki Fire 90 2nd 2m Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle, Hereford 2022Like her half-sister Tiki Fire, National Charter commanded a price tag of 140,000 guineas at the Tattersalls October Yearling Sale. Also like Tiki Fire, she returned to Tattersalls before embarking on a juvenile hurdling career. While Tiki Fire ran on the flat for Karl Burke, National Charter started off with William Haggas whose seventy-one graduates count twenty-three winning juveniles amongst them. While many ex-Haggas horses were above-average on the flat, those rated seventy and lower still have a solid winner-to-runner rate of 20.75%. National Charter raced just once at two, finishing just over four lengths fourth in a seven-furlong Lingfield novice and shaping as though she would come on for the experience. Nothing went right when tailed off at Newcastle in January, but there was improvement in her next couple of outings when just the wrong side of midfield at Southwell over a mile, and Wolverhampton over a mile and four on her handicap debut in March. Her best effort came last time out, running off 61, over a mile and six at Wetherby where she doubled in price from 6/1 in the morning, before being trimmed into 8/1 in the ring. Held up towards the rear, she made headway along the turn for home and travelling well at the three pole, looked to make a strong challenge after getting the hang of things at the distance. Though she was unable to see out the race as well as the front pair, she held on for third by a neck from a next time out winner while emerging a stone to the good on these terms against the reopposing Bukela. Her sire, Lawman, is the most established of those represented in this line-up while also boasting a solid winner to runner rate of 20.75%. As well as being a half-sister to Tiki Fire, who managed to place in a pair of fillies’ maiden juveniles last term before moving to Germany for £4,800, National Charter is related to several winning jumpers (incidentally of Teutonic stock) in Dollar Star (3/1), Dictum (3/2), Don Cossack (4/3) and Dubai Star (4/4). Local-ish trainer Chris Grant has a fair record in the sphere with his winner-to-runner rate of 18.75% improving to 20% when isolating flat recruits purchased at public auction; including three-time winner Lazy Darren who also fetched 16,000 guineas back in 2007. However, less can be said of his improvement rate of 23.81% and his only first-time winner from thirty-three came courtesy of an ex-French import who won in February 2011 and had upwards of ten pounds over his rivals on flat form. While National Charter is an improving sort with a fairly interesting profile, her trainer’s lack of recent winner and dearth of first-time winners in the sphere are not encouraging.Strong prospects1.Free ChakarteReasonable prospects2.Quickdrawmcgraw3.Jad MahalFeasible prospects4.National Charter5.BukelaModerate prospects6.Intriguing LadyNegligible prospects7.Exceed All Limits8.Moonlight Dawn
    2 points
  25. Fun Lucky 15 20pew for the girls ? 40p win for the men =£6.00 For this experiment personally i will stick to win only 200 epsom One For The Gutter 25/1 lost 310 epsom Finest Sound 10/1 lost 345 epsom Tone The Barone 25/1 lost 430 epsom Changing Of The Guard 8/1 lost bank down another six quid to £78
    2 points
  26. RESULTS UPDATE I could only secure a small place double win of 162 hence a loss of 8.38 on the day. MTD -5.14 & YTD -162.69. Let's hope that Derby day brings better fortunes
    2 points
  27. Results: Caterick 4.45 Gnat Alley @ 3.25 - win - 2nd Bath 6.20 Airshow @ 6.00 - win - 1st ? Doncaster 7.16 Aberama Gold @ 7.00 - EW 3rd ? Goodwood 7.37 Dreams of Thunder @ 3.50 - win 2nd Overall I am happy with today's choices. ?
    2 points
  28. A loss of 1/2 point on the day with three places covering the losses. We go again tomorrow - tomorrows selections are already uploaded.
    2 points
  29. 600 hours ? There must be better ways to spend your time !
    2 points
  30. new hope bullet 1.44
    2 points
  31. 3.45 Epsom Royal Champion 11/1 win only Bet 365
    2 points
  32. 6.35 down royal wild caprice 25/1 £10 e/w bet365
    2 points
  33. 1.35 Huntingdon Samos Island EW 20/1 bet365
    2 points
  34. raduvlad1995

    French Open 2022

    agreed. As much as I love carlito, he still makes TONS of errors when he's off his game, and even then he almost turned it around against zverev. If nadal's leg is ok, he will absolutely punish zverev , he doesn t make fortuitous errors, he gets the job done especialy in a RG semifinal. Zverev might take a set, he has the game to do it but I don t see him having a shot at winning. Also they re playing in day time where rafa feels most comfortble as he said.
    2 points
  35. 345 epsom royal champion 10/1 bet365
    2 points
  36. RESULTS UPDATE Another tough day. Luckily, courtesy of the Bet365 generous bet boost I at least made a small profit of 1.5 points. MTD is +3.24 pts and YTD - 154.31 The derby meeting begins at Epsom tomorrow so let's hope I can find a few winners
    2 points
  37. Epsom. Double. 4.30. Nashwa. 3/1..... unpl 5.45. Top Secret. 6/1.... unpl singles & double Good luck all.
    2 points
  38. 2.35 Epsom - I am very, very sweet on last years easy winner CORAZON ESPINADO 12/1 look a really good e/w price to me with Bet365 5places BOG only up a 1b this year loves this track that will do for me
    2 points
  39. 2.35 Epsom - I am very, very sweet on last years easy winner CORAZON ESPINADO 12/1 look a really good e/w price to me with Bet365 5places BOG only up a 1b this year loves this track that will do for me Disappointed CORAZON ESPINADO didn't run as i thought it had a top chance happy with the other two both drifted to 25/1 and both placed.
    1 point
  40. 2.00 Epsom Mr Big stuff 8.8 9/2 Taj aloha 8.6 16/1 2x 5pt ew
    1 point
  41. waggy

    2022 ONWARDS

    As you said Harry, I forgot to deduct £500. I'll have to check my account next time before I post. Hopefully it won't happen again.
    1 point
  42. raduvlad1995

    French Open 2022

    his serve is returnable on clay and his 1-2 combo ain't that great either. He won t demolish nadal in any way even if he serves great , while nadal will soundly beat him if he comes in the same form as the djokovic match.
    1 point
  43. CzechPunter

    French Open 2022

    Well, we have people pushing ping pong table scams over here, plenty of deleting going on from my side ?. Good luck, guys!
    1 point
  44. Hideki Matsuyama was disqualified during round one for illegal markings on his three wood club. I don't know the full ins and outs of the story though it seems a bit harsh from the point of view that he was hardly gaining any advantage from it as he was 3 over after 8 holes before the DQ came through lol. That said, all the players should know the rules. But I do have to feel for Matsuyama backers. Hopefully bookmakers could credit Stakes back as free bet credits.
    1 point
  45. Ok , but today it’s Rolland Garros , Semi final … ? And Nadal isn’t Alcaraz ? Nadal -1,5 set for me ?
    1 point
  46. Epsom 235 Oh This Is Us 11/2 £10 Ew skybet. 6pl.
    1 point
  47. Dunno why I put 12 ...its only 6 forcasts ....dumbass ?
    1 point
  48. Forest falcon wins....25p rule 4 but should still be around +30.00 ....can't complain ...edit ...it was +36.00
    1 point
  49. Left it late, just one for an interest; sold Woodland's FP at 43. Flagged for course fit in one place and tipped in FRL market in another.
    1 point
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