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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/15/2021 in all areas

  1. All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w: Have a good one folks... 2.30 Ascot - Regal Reality @ 20/1 Palace Pier is clearly the most likely winner but I'm surprised at the price of Regal Reality. He's 4th in here on official ratings and has done little wrong in recent seasons. Ran well fresh at the meeting last year which alleviates some concerns about the absence this season and a strongly-run mile is ideal for him. Split Kameko and Benbatl when he was last seen - form which would see him in the mix here - and I think has solid claims of making the frame at a price. 3.05 Ascot - Berkshire Shadow @ 12/1 Wide open race in reality but I was taken by the performance of Berkshire Shadow on debut at Newbury - blew the start, giving his main rivals a 4 or 5 length head start over the minimum trip but still showed a good turn of foot to get on top late in the day. The fact he went off at 9/2 yet hit 70/1 in running tells you a lot about its winning effort and although some horses haven't franked the form, he had the second favourite for this race in behind him that day. 6f shouldn't be an issue on that evidence and clearly has some tactical speed so looks a lively contender. 3.40 Ascot - Stone of Destiny @ 20/1 Has a mountain to climb on figures but I'm not overly strong on any of those at the head of the market and this looks like it's going to be run at an insane gallop with an abundance of blastaway types in the field. Whilst the competition may be too much for this one, the way the race is run might just help him raise his game as he'll thrive coming off an all out pace. Has been an eyecatcher on just about all of its runs this season, goes well here and could run on late in the day to make the frame. 4.20 Ascot - La Barrosa @ 20/1 This horse has been weak in the market but I'm not entirely sure why. He's twice been beaten on soft ground but his dam didn't like the surface either and it's hard to knock his form otherwise. Won pretty impressively on his first two starts before failing on bottomless ground in France but bounced back to be narrowly denied by Master of the Seas at Newmarket on seasonal reappearance. The pair were 3 lengths clear and the winner was short headed out of the 2000 Guineas next time out. On that evidence, there's little between Poetic Flare and La Barrosa (for all the former finished ahead on deep ground in Ireland) on their runs on decent ground so with one at 4/1 and the other 20s, I'll happily put some faith in La Barrosa back on this surface. 5.00 Ascot - Solo Saxophone @ 33/1 There's no getting away from the fact that this horse is slow but the extra four furlongs here really ought to suit and he should be staying on at the finish. Could never get involved over 2 miles last time on decent ground (probably needs slow ground over that trip) but was plugging on past beaten horses and should be fully fit now. The ground may not be ideal but stamina will be drawn out even more today and he remains on a decent enough mark on last year's excellent form and just looks an interesting outsider. 5.35 Ascot - Juan Elcano @ 20/1 Usually runs his race without winning in decent company but this would be one of its less demanding assignments and could improve for wind surgery. Ran a bit fresh on his seasonal reappearance in the Doncaster Mile but still wasn't beaten that far by Top Rank and bits and pieces of his form from last season would give him solid hopes here. Did best of those on the pace at this meeting last year and if settling a bit better today back at 1m2f, I think he's likely to run his race and potentially make the frame. 6.10 Ascot - Hochfeld @ 25/1 Typical Mark Johnston type who can throw in the odd stinker but most of those (including last time out) have come on soft ground and I'm prepared to give him the chance to bounce back on a sounder surface here. Was previously in good form and will relish an end-to-end gallop under these conditions. Is well drawn in stall 5 to get a decent position and whilst he doesn't hold anything from the handicapper, is weighted to be bang there if on a going day and looks a big price if forgiving him his last run.
    7 points
  2. I'm out for most of the day today but will try to look for some proper bets later on for the evening flat meetings. Meanwhile, so as to join in the Royal Ascot fun I have selected and backed the following horses for fun 3.05 Ebro River (JD) £2 win at 14.5 = £26.46 3.40 Winter Power (SDS) £2 win at 6.52 = £10.81 if win 4.20 Battleground (RM) £2 win at 7.0 = £11.76 if win 5.00 Postileo (AA) £2 win at 18.5 = £34.30 if win 5.35 Patrick Sarsfield (TM) £2 win at 5.6 = £10.14 if win 6.10 Global Storm (WB) £2 win at 6.4 = £10.58 if win A feast of entertainment for just £12 ?
    5 points
  3. Well done to @Jediknightand @kenisbusywho both found 33/1 winner Amtiyaz as well as 4/1 Oxted.
    4 points
  4. my speed figures for the Coventry. Angel Blue 125 33/1 Dhabab 122+ 5/1 Vintage Clarets 120 28/1
    4 points
  5. Bet365 gave me a free £5 bet in which I went £2.50 each way on HIGHLAND AVENUE in the 4.20 @ 8/1 . Buicks choice of the Godolphin runners , has won 3 & been 2nd twice from 5 career starts albeit probably the toughest race on the day to call where I reckon 7/8 could win.
    4 points
  6. Royal Ascot 3-05 The Acropolis is Aidan OBrien's sole reprasentative in this seventeen strong field.The master of Ballydoyle has won this race seven times in the last twenty years including with the likes of Arizona, Carravagio, War Command, Power and Landseer. It is clearly a race he targets especially with those juveniles who have won for the yard on their previous start. The Acropolis improved significantly from his debut to record a relatively easy win over Thunder Eclipse at Listowel just a few weeks ago. He travelled comfortably throughout the race and answered every question that Wayne Lordan put to him. Natural progression is likely and this stoutly bred son of Churchill is now partnered by Ryan Moore. He bids to win the race for an incredible fourth time for Ballydoyle inside the last decade. The yard will be in buoyant mood having won with two of their last three runners over the weekend, showing the well-being of the string. The trip and ground ought to pose little in the way of an inconvenience and this three-year-old commands respect. 3-40 Royal Ascot The slick performance of Winter Power at York last time caught the eyes of many. As a three-year-old filly she gets weight from all of her rivals as she bids to emulate the likes of Lady Aurelia and Dominica who also won with similar favourable conditions. The speedily bred daughter of Bungleinthejungle likes to sit handy or set the pace and Ascot is a track that lends itself well to runners with that particular running style. Silvestre De Sousa has partnered her to three of her five career wins and no surprise if they hold all the aces here. It would be some performance from Battaash if he were to win this on his seasonal debut. He has gone well fresh in the past, but he is now a seven-year-old and he may find Tim Easterby's filly a tougher nut to crack. 4-20 Royal Ascot Poetic Flare will think he has just returned from his holidays having not had a race in three weeks. The 2000 Guineas winner went on to contest the Poule D'Essai at Longchamp and then the Irish 2000 Guineas at The Curragh with a six day gap in between. He was unfortunate to find only his stablemate Mac Swiney a short head too strong in the latter. Poetic Flare is a talented son of Dawn Approach who won this for the same connections back in 2013. The classic winner sets the standard here and can confirm recent form with Lucky Vega. Unlike a few of these runners, he is at least proven at this level. He acts on good to firm surfaces and should go extremely close. 5-00 Royal Ascot Just Hubert represents an in form stable at the moment and was far from disgraced when third to Frankenstella on his seasonal reappearance. He was doing all of his best work in the closing stages in that two miler at Haydock last time. A return to this better ground is likely to suit the William Muir and Chris Grassick trained five-year-old. He won over two-and-a-half miles at Goodwood in a Class 2 handicap last year, so he certainly has the stamina reserves to see out this marathon. Danny Tudhope keeps the ride and they look to have solid each way claims here. 5-35 Royal Ascot Forest Of Dean has proven himself at Group Three level in the past and this race should be well within his scope. He ought to be more than capable of olaying a leading role here. Frankie Dettori is a notable jockey booking for Team Gosden as they bid to repeat their win in this race having won it with Monarchs Glen back in 2018. Good ground suits this son of Iffraaj and he is fully effective at the trip. Frankie bids to enhance his 100% strike rate on the gelding having won on him at York on the Knavesmire last summer. They have to be rate as dangers to all here. 6-10 Royal Ascot It is exceedingly difficult to ignore the claims of Saldier in the finale as he remains fully unexposed on the flat. He gained a morale boosting win in this sphere when hacking up under a seven pound claimer at Listowel just nine days ago. Whilst any rain would only boost his chances, the eye-catching booking of Ryan Moore is a massive plus for the seven-year-old. Many of these runners have shown their true colours well before now, but Saldier is very much an unknown quantity on the level. If he progresses again from that recent start, he could well catch a few of these off guard.
    4 points
  7. Royal Ascot 2021 should be more atmospheric than last year’s renewal with 12,000 in attendance and with dry weather likely the ground for Day one will ride pretty fast.Here’s my thoughts on the first day:- Ascot 230 The week’s banker Palace Pier kicks the 2021 Royal meeting off and he will be incredibly hard to beat. The one nagging doubt that lingers with me is the fact that he has yet to run on very fast ground. No doubt he’ll probably win for Messr’s Gosden and Dettori as his odds suggest but from a punting angle I’m happy to look elsewhere and take one at an each way price. One horse who will relish the slick ground is the James Tate trained Top Rank. A progressive 5 year old who is only racing in his 10th race today may still be on the upgrade. He was a 7L 3rd in the Lockinge to Palace Pier last time with the likes of Lope Y Fernandez, Pogo and Lord Glitters behind and will appreciate the much faster surface today. PJ McDonald knows him well as his regular pilot and he can hit the frame and is also maybe worth an each way bet in the ‘without the fav’ market. TOP RANK 1 point each way @ 16/1 BetVictor 1/5 123 1 point each way @ 5/1 Bet365 (without Palace Pier) 1/5 123 Ascot 305 A wide open renewal of the Coventry Stakes with Wesley Ward throwing in the googly by declaring his smart filly Kaufymaker. She looked good on her only run in America over 4 1/2F but the trainer has yet to have a winner at the Royal meeting over 6F and with her cramped odds is overlooked here. Dhabab is the one that takes my eye. He impressed me when winning at Leicester a fortnight ago in the style of a decent animal and his trainer John Gosden won this event with the smart Calyx three years ago. There are many others with chances with honourable mentions going to Ebro River (though he has looked a bit quirky) and Gisburn (though his impressive Newbury win was gained on good to soft ground). DHABAB 1 point each way @ 6/1 Bet365 1/5th odds 1234 Ascot 340 Charlie Hills stable star is one of the fastest horse we’ve seen in a while and although he has a 298 day absence to overcome and has had a few issues he’s taken to win on his seasonal debut just like he did last season. He’s 7 years old now but that doesn’t appear to stop these old sprinters and on official figures is 8lb and upwards ahead of his rivals here, meaning he could even run below par and still take this with his blistering pace. Second favourite is Winter Power who blitzed her field at York in May with the runner up Atalis Bay boosting the form by winning at Sandown over the weekend. American runner Extravagant Kid has the services of Frankie Dettori and is the unknown one in the race but it’s all about Battaash for me and I’m hoping he takes a walk in the market and drifts out to a decent price. BATAASH 2 point win @ 9/4 BetVictor Ascot 420 Charlie Appleby has been in irresistible form this season, winning the Derby with Adayar and can take the Group 1 St James Palace with his Dubawi colt who has been working extremely well at home since his 2nd to the re-opposing Mostadhaf at Sandown in the Heron Stakes. He Was giving John Gosden’s unbeaten colt 3lb that night and also raced on the slower part of the track. Today’s better ground will be much more in his favour and under William Buick should run a big race. The only negative fact is that he is drawn 12 of 13 which is not ideal but no doubt the wily Buick will have a plan. The aforementioned Mostadhaf looks a threat along with Poetic Flare who is running in his fourth Group one contest in 43 days. Ryan Moore has chosen Battleground of the 3 Aidan O’Brien runners but he has to put a shocking effort in our 2000 Guineas behind him. Maximal looks an interesting outsider and is worth a cover bet. HIGHLAND AVENUE 1 point each way @ 8/1 1/5th 1234 MAXIMAL ½ point each way @ 25/1 Bet365 1/5th 1234 Ascot 500 Willie Mullins has farmed this 2m 4F handicap over the past 10 years winning 4 of them, three with Ryan Moore in the saddle so the first place to look at has to be their runner M C Muldoon who comes here on the back of a hurdling campaign. Previously trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam he has never raced beyond 10F on the level and win or lose looks poor value at around the 4/1 to my eyes. Mullins also saddles Royal Illusion and Rayapour who also holds chances of sorts. My two against the field however are both 100% certain to stay this marathon trip. Last year’ winner Coeur De Lion from the dual purpose stable of Alan King is only 3lb higher this year and Just Hubert who won the 2m 5F Goodwood handicap last Summer for the racing partnership of William Muir and Chris Grassick. Preference would just be for the former although I will be having a saver on Just Hubert. COEUR DE LION 1 point each way @ 12/1 Bet365 ¼ odds 1234 JUST HUBERT ½ point each way @ 12/1 Bet365 ¼ odds 1234 Ascot 535 The Wolferton Stakes is a listed race run over 10F and has attracted 13 runners in the absence of mudlark Stormy Antarctic. It has an open look about it with Patrick Sarsfield, Solid Stone and Felix among the market leaders. All have some sort of chance but I’ll take a chance each way on the David Menuisier trained Blue Cup who came from way back under a masterful Oisin Murphy ride to win a grade 2 handicap at Epsom earlier in the month. He can be a bit quirky and lost his previous race at York by getting over excited before the race. William Buick takes over from Murphy here and looks decent each way value. BLUE CUP 1 point each way @ 15/2 BetVictor 1/5th odds 1234 Ascot 610 Day one concludes with the 1m 6F Copper Horse Stakes Handicap which has a short priced favourite in the Willie Mullins trained, Ryan Moore ridden Saldier. A decent hurdler he won well on the level at Listowel earlier in the month and despite a big weight here could be well handicapped. Very fast ground though may not be ideal and he’s also a short enough price so I’ll be looking elsewhere for a bet. Global Storm is my idea of the winner and at just around an each way price can take this. A winner over this trip at Newmarket in May he’s been raised 4lb for that and apparently is working very well at Newmarket. Charlie Appleby trains and that man William Buick rides. I acn pass on a tip for the Roger Varian runner Gold Maze and hes worth a small saver bet. . GLOBAL STORM 1 ½ points each way @ 9/2 William Hills 1/5 odds 12345 GOLD MAZE 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 Bet365 1/4 1234
    3 points
  8. Just a couple of returns today - 11.65 points on the day. We go again tomorrow ?
    3 points
  9. Ascot 2.30 sir busker 20/1 1pt ew 3.05 the organisor 22/1 1pt ew (6 places) 4.20 chindit 5/1 1pt win and Thunder moon 17/2 1pt ew (5 places) 5. Lostwithiel 16/1 1pt ew (7 places) 5.35 patrick sarsfield 5/1 2pt win Beverley 7.10 kylie rules 100/30 3pt win 14 pts staked- all extra places with sky bet so wont be counting BOG on those selections, all others with bet 365 Good luck ?
    3 points
  10. 5.00 Ascot -COUR DE LION 12/1- TRUMPET MAN 12/1 6.10 Ascot-CARDANO 25/1- THEMAXWECAN 20/1 All e/w and e/w doubles with skybet 7 & 6 places Not bog.
    3 points
  11. neilovan

    US Open 2021

    Having lived in San Diego for 5 years, I spent a lot of time enjoying my golf (mostly on Torrey Pines North and South courses).. Probably played 50 rounds or more on each. I was a good golfer in the scratch to 3 handicap range. There are few courses around the world that will set up as difficult as Torrey pines South, in US open conditions. Three main factors; 1) The length. Even for big hitters, it is damn long, and it's at sea level. 2) The rough. They used to play the Buick Invitational at Torrey (now the Farmer's Insurance), but when they grow that rough, the difficulty level goes through the roof. The week after the Buick, people camp in the parking lot to be first to play a 'PGA' layout/conditioned course. Rounds take 6 hours, because nobody can find their ball when they hit it in the rough. It's insane, 6 inch rough, over seeded (like strands of thick string). Much tougher rough than in Dubai, Leopard creek, Augusta. In the rough you are probably dropping a stroke. 3) The sea breeze. Torrey is right on the Pacific. The wind rolls in, hits the cliffs at Black's beach, and creates a tough wall to penetrate. The low stroke holes (into that breeze) are brutal (hole 1, and hole 12 especially). The cross wind holes like #2, #4, #5 require ball shaping to counter the wind. I did watch Tiger play one year, and he made mincemeat of the wind, but he was a reasonably good golfer ... But until you see it, you can't actually believe how well/hard they strike the ball. So with this in mind, this course is an accurate, medium to low, BIG ball strikers paradise. Guys that can't average 285 yards or better off the T have zero chance to win here. They will be 60 - 75 yards behind a big bomber. An example : Brendon Todd, who leads in accuracy off the Tee, but 'only' hits it 275 yards won't even make the cut. Long irons into greens are a disaster, because the green side rough is right in play all day. I like DeChambeau, McIIroy, Champ, Johnson, Finau, Hovland, Rahm, Koepka as big ball hitters. I like Johnson as a ball striker the best, but his putting gibbers have come back. Koepka, the knees are still not 100%, Mcllroy can't putt and has a double/triple bogey hand grenade in his pocket.. So DeChambeau ...does drive and gouge work again, or Rahm? I would add San Diego native, Schauffele (who would have played a ton of golf on that course). Mickelson won't get away with hitting it in the rough on this course and he probably misses the cut for me. Five Saffers could be in the mix. Oosthuizen, Higgo, van Rooyen, Grace and Nienaber. Grace because of his low ball flight, Oosthuizen because he is ridiculously good (and #1 in putting) for a small guy (also grew up playing in the wind on the coast)., Higgo the hottest golfer on the planet (the guy has seriously impressive mindset, and maturity for a 21 year old). He also has this crazy easy power. Nienaber who's gonna send DeChambeau to the funny farm with his 365 yard drives and swing speed. But mentally he is not ready to win. The tournament he blew (I think between Higgo's wins on the Euro tour is a prime example). Top Saffer ... Higgo. For the others ... (Fritelli no form, Schwartzel's temper will let him down, Bezuidenthout close but nothing brilliant, Aiken short hitter) My feeling is that Torrey wipes the floor with the field. Forget 10 under, the winner will be closer to even par. Whoever handles this mental challenge the best, and keeps himself under control will triumph. Cut is probably +6 and playing + golf is a weird head space for pro golfers. This could be carnage!!! Winner comes from DeCHAMBEAU, FINAU, RAHM, HOVLAND, HIGGO, OOSTHUIZEN for me
    3 points
  12. Bit of ew profit yesterday 2yo speed figures. Todays 2yo Queen Mary stakes there is only a couple of points between 10 of them. so ew bets at prices are a good option 1 beautiful sunshine 119 18/1 2 Yet 118 (aw) 12/1 3 Coup de force 118 100/1 Additional speed ratings - Windsor castle stakes, proviso=you take a view on the ward runners as they dont equate very well but appear moderate. 1 Dig two 129 (aw) 124 turf 15/2 2 Barging through 128 16/1 from 33's 3 Chipotle 128- 25/1
    2 points
  13. That didn't go well. Ascot was all over the place today.
    2 points
  14. Obviously quite gutted about his poor showing against Schwartzman! Now he's beating Medvedev with ease!
    2 points
  15. todays Ascot top rated ASCOT 14:30 Palace Pier 4/9 too short for me ASCOT 15:40 Extravagant Kid 6/1 e/w 5 Places ASCOT 17:00 Coeur de Lion 12/1 e/w 5 Places ASCOT 17:35 Forest Of Dean 5/1 e/w 4 Places ASCOT 18:10 Global Storm 4/1 e/w (got a boost to 5/1) 5 Places + e/w yankee on last four selections
    2 points
  16. Today feeling like a fun bet only day for me, will miss the first game and, whilst I’m looking forward to watching the later one, I have no strong opinion on how it will play out. Given that almost a quarter of Ronaldo’s goals for Portugal have been headers I’m happy to take 7 on points on him scoring a header v Hungary at 7/1 with PP.
    2 points
  17. May look tomorrow but just used PP free bet and another horse free bet I had for the 2.30 at Ascot. Probably should have done e/w but went win with Regal Reality at 16/1 and Order of Australia at 6/1.
    2 points
  18. June +19 1pt level stakes win only 14.55 Str Jamacho 8/1 b365 17.00 RA Lostwithiel 18/1 WH Prices as of now
    2 points
  19. Ascot 6.10 Amtiyaz @ 20/1 (Bet365)
    2 points
  20. On Sky Sports Racing they said that Wesley Ward was 0/18 with horses over 6f yet has the favourite in the Coventry , may be worth laying it !
    2 points
  21. Day 2 of the Royal meeting will again be run on very fast ground though the threat of heavy thunderstorms might mean a change in going from Thursday onwards. Winners were scarce on Day 1 but todays card looks a bit more punter friendly and here’s my thoughts. Ascot 230 The 5F Queen Mary for 2yo fillies has attracted a strong field of 22. Wesley Ward appears to have sent over a strong plane load of sprinters this year but to be honest it’s very hard to get a handle on them and as for betting purposes its probably best to look elsewhere. His runner here is Twilight Gleaming but what her 7 1/2L win at Belmont Park amounts to is anyone’s guess. Aidan O’Brien is always to be feared with his 2yo fillies and is represented here by Yet who got up in the last strides in win a Dundalk maiden from Orinoco River on her debut. There shouldn’t be much between them though the better value may actually lie with the latter who’s double the price. Andrew Balding’s Nymphadora won the Marygate at York last time (runner up Canonized won at Windsor on Monday night) and should be thereabouts but it’s the filly that was 4th in that race that caught my eye that I want to be with today. Mas Poder was making her racecourse debut in a listed race which gives you an idea of how highly her stable of Kevin Ryan think about her and she was only 2L behind the winner that day having blown the start and also been hampered close home. With normal improvement she can turn that form around and put herself in the mix at a nice price. MAS PODER 1 point each way @ 18/1 Bet365 1/5th 12345 305 Ascot The Queens Vase is now run over 1m 6F and I’m pretty keen on the favourite here in the Aidan O’Brien trained Wordsworth. He ground out victory in a Curragh maiden on his debut in April and then was turned over when an odds on chance in a listed contest over just short of today’s trip by stable mate Sir Lucan, who is a promising colt himself. A full brother to St Leger winner Kew Gardens he’s going to love this trip and further in time and is the main bet in the race. Mark Johnstone has a stable full of promising 3 year old stayers and his Dancing King comes here on a five timer having progressed through the ranks and is probably the best each way bet in the race though for me it’s all about Wordsworth to win a race his trainer has won 4 of the last 6 years. WORDSORTH 1 1/2 points win @ 10/3 Unibet 340 Ascot The Group 2 Duke Of Cambridge Stakes can go the way of the William Jarvis trained Lady Bowthorpe who I honestly believe if she was trained by a O’Brien or Gosden would be pushing in at being an even money poke. She’s done nothing wrong this season beating her chief rival today Queen Power a head in the Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket on her re-appearance before running her best her run when being the only horse to give any sort of a race to Palace Pier in the Lockinge at Newbury pulling some 5 1/2L clear of the remainder. Her main threat here is her old rival Queen Power trained by Sir Michael Stoute who was impressive at York last time. LADY BOWTHORPE 3 points win @ 2/1 BetVictor 420 Ascot A smart but very much select field of 7 go to post for this year’s renewal of the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes run over 10F. It features the return of the super mare Love, winner of the 1000 Guineas, Oaks and Yorkshire Oaks last season before missing her end of season target in Paris due to the heavy ground. Ryan Moore has presumably chosen her over her smart stable mate Armory although he has ‘picked’ wrong on several occasions this seasons including in two classics. Armory is a serious horse himself who impressed at Chester and must go well here. Lord North won this first time out last season and is training well and it will be a shock if the winner doesn’t come from that trio. With fitness on his side I’ll stick with the O’Brien 2nd string Armory who will be ridden by Ballydoyle super sub Seammie Heffernan although it would be no shock were any of the big three to win. ARMORY 2 points win @ 7/2 BetVictor Ascot 500 A maximum field of 30 assemble for the Royal Hunt Cup and as always its fiendishly hard to crack. I can pass on a good word for the Saeed Bin Suroor trained Real World who’s a vey big price and whatever you’re backing here I would make sure that he is part of the staking plan. Over the past 10 years high numbers have been the place to be although it’s not set in stone so I’ll try not to get to bogged down with the draw and just find the best horse although on Tuesdays evidence high numbers were coming out best on the straight track. Irish Admiral would be the pick if drawn high but stall 6 worries me so for my main bet I’ll be with the Sir Michael Stoute trained Astro King who’s berthed in stall 27 and looks to hold as good a chance as any. ASTRO KING 1 point each way @ 10/1 Bet365 1/5 12345 REAL WORLD ½ point each way @ 33/1 BetVictor 1/5 12345 Ascot 535 Another maximum field of 28 go to post, this time for the 5F Windsor castle Stakes, a listed race for 2 year olds. Once more we have a shortish price favourite of Wesley Ward’s that’s had the one run/win in a maiden at Keeneland winning a 3 runner maiden by 6L from a subsequent winner Argos (runs in Queen Mary at 2.35). It’s impossible to know how good that form is and at around the 7/2 mark I’m looking elsewhere. Ward also runs Golden Ball with stable jockey John Velazquez on board who also won a 3 runner maiden on the dirt this time at Keeneland. The Aidan O’Brien runner is Amalfi Coast but he’s tongue tied here and was all out to win his maiden at Cork, if he wasn’t trained by O’Brien I feel he would be double his current price of 10/1. Th least three winners of this race have been won horses drawn 22,24 & 20 so maybe that’s the place to be (stands side) and it maybe worth a small ew interest in the Hugo Palmer trained Dig Two, a winner at Newmarket and Chelmsford this season under James Doyle who retains s the ride. He’s speedy and will appreciate the drop back to 6F and has drawn stall 25. DIG TWO 1 point each way 12/1 Bet365 1/5 12345 Ascot 610 The Kensington Palace Handicap completes Day 2 over 1m and with 18 fillies and mares going to post over the round mile the draw will be very important as those drawn out wide in the high numbers will be at a disadvantage. Sir Michael Stoute’s Lights On would probably have been the selection as she’s working very well but even with Ryan Moore on top has a mountain to climb from stall 17 here and is overlooked although her latest form line may point us towards the winner. Lights On beat Ed Walker’s Dreamloper at Ascot last time just by a short head and with Walker’s filly faring better with the draw in stall 8 can turn the tables around on 1lb better terms under Oisin Murphy. Stunning Beauty also comes into the equation as does the lightly raced Ffion although she has to prove herself on fast turf. DREAMLOPER 1 ½ points each way @ 13/2 Bet365 ¼ 1234
    1 point
  22. 18:10 tips selections finished sp bsp tipsters 14 Global Storm 3 5 6.81 {Advisor,alancraik,BBBC,cjsmith1972,Deauville,Donnyflyer,mickyftm32,owenclass,"peanut peanut",ralphie7,RunKJC,Steve75,tonythepaint,waggy} 11 Saldier 5 2.87f 3.35 {BARNSLEYCHOP,"CS 333",DanV89,gbettle,"Like A Roughie",MCLARKE,Offramp,"Rainbow RESERVES","silver fox","Tumbleweed King","Kingdom for RESERVE"} 8 Arthurian Fable 4 9 10.5 {"Alley Cat Glover RESERVES",bymatrix,"Cash Out Kev RESERVES",Johnrobertson,"novirus RESERVE",Paperclip,Saddlesore,Wanderlust} 7 Sleeping Lion 12 15 18.36 {dj.orange,kevsul,"kroni RESERVES","LeMale RESERVE",Marmalade,Procalc,Zilzalian} 6 Throne Hall 10 10 11.2 {Alastair,andymac,fischer21,vangovin,Xtc12,"ipswich45 RESERVES"} 5 Hyanna 9 41 48.15 {Astleavista,bluemal,glavintoby,McG,"roy keane"} 4 On To Victory NR - - {Drac,Fader,"Jazzy Jasper",vikki37} 4 Sextant 8 51 50 {Boulder5111,Bretloca,daveg,Doedelzak} 4 Hotchfield 7 41 45.26 {"Bathtime For Rupert",LEE-GRAYS,rolandcooper,sirspread} 4 Brilliant Light 15 11 13.5 {Costello,"Craig bluenose",PercyP,Tipsterix} 4 Amtiyaz 1 34 47.69 {Carole-dawney,Jediknight,kenisbusy,RUG} 3 Galata Bridge 6 26 19.13 {internetmails,luckypants,Power90} 3 Dubious Affair 2 34 33.27 {daisychain,"Lanky Lad","trainmad091 RESERVES"} 3 Cardano 13 41 40.66 {roger2256,Striker,thebestthere} 2 Themaxwecan 14 15 18.45 {"Donkey Shot",Ironjoe}
    1 point
  23. Not good so far with just one second (A) 6.50 Bri Kendergarden Kop (EM5) £4 win at 6/4 (B) 7.10 Bev Kentucky Kitten (SO5) £2 win at 9/2 (A) + (B) = £4 win double = Poss return £55.00 7.20 Bri Lady Susie (TH5) £1 win at 28/1 I couldn't find another horse at decent enough odds for a Trixie tonight I hope that everyone enjoyed Royal Ascot, it looks like Rupert had a profitable day for his followers ?
    1 point
  24. Ascot 16:20 Poetic Flare 5/2 bet365
    1 point
  25. 5.35 spelt wrong should be Blue Cup
    1 point
  26. 2:30 Top Rank 3:05 Berkshire Shadow 3:40 Winter Power 4:20 Highland Ave 5:00 Royal Illusion 5:35 Blue Chip 6:10 Hyanna
    1 point
  27. Lostwithiel 5 00 ascot 1/2 pt win @ 27/1 betfair Sleeping Lion 6 10 ascot 1/2 pt win @ 25/1 betfair Arecibo 3 40 Ascot 1/2 pt win @ 50/1 betfair P/L = + 94.5 pts
    1 point
  28. ASCOT - Tuesday 15th June 2.30 - Prince Eiji - res - Palace Pier 3.05 - Berkshire Shadow - res - Kaufymaker 3.40 - Liberty Beach - res - Bataash 4.20 - Chindit - res - Thunder Moon 5.00 - Coeur de Lion - res - Just Hubert 5.35 - Fox Tal - res - Euchen Glen 6.10 - Sleeping Lion - res - Themaxwecan
    1 point
  29. France vs Germany Undoubtedly, the biggest game of the group stage at the 2020 European Championship is the clash on Tuesday night at 8pm BST between France and Germany in Group F at the Allianz Arena in Munich. This group is called the "Group of Death" for this very reason that the reigning world champions are taking on one of their biggest rivals for the trophy this time around. Who will come out on top? France are the favourites to win this tournament with a lot of people and for very good reason. You look at the quality throughout their team and it's unreal. Hugo Lloris in goal, a defence that boasts the likes of Raphael Varane and Presnel Kimpembe, a midfield consisting of Paul Pogba and N'golo Kante, and a front-line that includes Kylian Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, and Karim Benzema. Wow. Head coach Didier Deschamps has already won the World Cup both as a manager and a player and the European Championship as a player. You look at their whole set-up and you wonder if anyone can stop them? However, results suggest they are susceptible to an upset. Yes, they have won their last 5 games with clean sheets but in the past year or so they've also failed to beat Ukraine, Finland, and Portugal. Germany have already been written off by a number of pundits. Again, you can understand why. It feels like this German squad is coming to the end of an era with Joachim Low set to depart his role after this tournament and a number of players coming to the twilight of their international careers such as Thomas Muller, Manuel Neuer, Mats Hummels, and Toni Kroos. There is still the talent here as experience blends with youth to make me feel that we shouldn't rule them out. Serge Gnabry has bagged 16 goals in 22 international appearances and in players like Timo Werner, Kai Havertz, and Joshua Kimmich they have quality throughout. Results have been inconsistent lately and that's a worry. The standout one being the 2-1 loss at home to North Macedonia in the 2022 World Cup qualifiers back in March. A disappointing UEFA Nations League campaign that saw them miss out on a semi-final spot as they dropped points against Switzerland and Spain adds to the scepticism around whether they can go far here. Home advantage is a massive factor for Germany here and I think France are the surprising picks as favourites. Yes, that French team is unreal but have their results been that much better than Germany's over the past few years to make me think they can come to the Allianz Arena and get a win? Germany are unbeaten in their last 5 meetings and France haven't won on German turf since they were known as West Germany back on 12th August, 1987. I'm not sure I can see France winning this and I think both teams will settle for a draw. Draw @ 3.25 with BetVictor BTTS @ 1.83 with SportNation
    1 point
  30. Let’s call this a “lean” but definitely worth a mention. Bookings line for the later game look generously priced with Uni, 11/8 for >3.5 cards and 13/4 for >4.5. You may get better on BF but a red card wouldn’t count as 2 cards. Ref seems slightly higher than average in Internationals (albeit only 9 games to go off) and those lines are odds on and sub 3/1 in most other places. At evens and 11/4 it would probably look no more than fair, at the prices it looks worth a bet. (I’m on this via a “kitty” bet with my mate hence not posting it as an “official” selection.)
    1 point
  31. Looking forward to France/Germany tonight. I can see it being a low scoring match, perhaps 1-1 or France to nick it 2-1. I was thinking of taking Hungary on the handicap against Portugal because I do think they're quite overrated but Hungary are missing some key players. I've decided to take the 4/1 on France/Portugal tonight based on the missing players for Hungary. I see it as 4/1 on France.
    1 point
  32. 2.30 - Regal Reality 3.05 - Tolstoy 3.40 - Oxted 4.20 - Thunder Moon 5.00 - Solo Saxophone 5.35 - Felix 6.10 - Amtiyaz
    1 point
  33. Royal Ascot 2.30 Palace Pier 3.05 Masseto 3.40 Extravagant Kid 4.20 Highland Avenue 5.00 Just Hubert 5.35 Fox Tal 6.10 Global Storm
    1 point
  34. Fader

    Players Championships

    Day 2 picks : going for bigger prices today 1pt E/W M.Smith to win Day 2 20/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) 1pt E/W Van Duijvenbode to win Day 2 25/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) 1pt E/W D.Chisnall to win Day 2 40/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0.5pts E/W M.King to win Day 2 66/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) 0.5pts E/W I.White to win Day 2 66/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) 0.5pts E/W B.Dolan to win Day 2 80/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) 0.5pts E/W D.Noppert to win Day 2 100/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4) 0.5pts E/W C.Rydz to win Day 2 150/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4)
    1 point
  35. 2.30 - Palace Pier 3.05 - Berkshire Shadow 3.40 -Que Amoro 4.20 -Wembley 5.00 -Dalton Highway 5.35 -Blue cap 6.10 -Hyanna
    1 point
  36. 2.30 - Regal Reality 3.05 - Berkshire Shadow 3.40 - Stone of Destiny 4.20 - La Barrosa 5.00 - Solo Saxophone 5.35 - Juan Elcano 6.10 - Hochfeld
    1 point
  37. Wanderlust

    GENERAL RACING CHIT CHAT

    Runs today in Coventry Stakes. I would have preferred a bit of juice in the ground but its 10/1 with WH right now. Got to be decent ew bet
    1 point
  38. ralphie7

    Quick System

    Tuesday 15/06/2021 Brighton 08:20 REGULATOR f/c. 6/5 Stake = 10 pts. WIN
    1 point
  39. Fader

    Players Championships

    25/1 winner hit today as Joe Cullen beats another pick, Gerwyn Price, in the final +22.25pts
    1 point
  40. At the other end, a decent showing from Ivailogb gets him off of the bottom.
    1 point
  41. Another new leader on a day of hard calls. Some unexpected results
    1 point
  42. totes

    Naps - Tuesday 15th June

    3:40 Royal Ascot Arecibo ew 50/1 @ bet365
    1 point
  43. Darran

    VIRTUAL RACING

    It is done by the same company that do the ITV4 version and the one that replaced the real one last year. When they do those they are based on real life events to help make it as realistic as a result as possible, but the versions shown in the bookies are just like any other virtual and are just a random number draw. The one thing I will say though is it does make it more exciting when you are talking about the likes of Red Rum and Crisp compared to some random virtual horse name.
    1 point
  44. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    2138 result: Surrey won by 5 wkts. Won £40 Profit to date £193.73
    1 point
  45. 2.30 - Bless Him 3.05 - Berkshire Shadow 3.40 - Kings Lynn 4.20 - Highland Avenue 5.00 - Untold Story 5.35 - Patrick Sarsfield 6.10 - Galata Bridge
    1 point
  46. France vs Germany Many bookies and punters see France as a major favorite to win EURO 2020. The current World champions want to confirm their dominance, but that is not an easy task. Group F is the most exciting one in the tournament, as there are Portugal and Hungary besides these two teams. Didier Deschamps’s side missed the chance to win only once in the last seven games, drawing against Ukraine in the premier round of the World Cup Quals. Les Bleus have been very confident in the previous four games, especially in the EURO 2020 warm-up. Kylian Mbappe and the lads hammered Wales and Bulgaria, both 3:0 ahead of the tournament. France managed to keep the clean sheet four times in a row, and they want to keep up where they left off. After a disappointing campaign in World Cup 2018, Germany wants to get involved in the title battle. It will be the last big tournament for their head coach Joachim Low, after spending 15 years at the Elf bench. However, reports say that the locker room atmosphere is not the best. Some players expressed their disagreement with the head coach and his ideas just before the EURO 2020 kickoff. This comes in a very tricky moment for Germany, as they are handled a tough group. Nevertheless, their squad is full of star players, and they want to bring glory to their country. Germany trashed Latvia 7:1 in their latest prep game but failed to win two matches before that one. A 2:1 defeat against North Macedonia at home ground in the World Cup Quals was particularly shocking. The hosts need to do much better in the back if they want to challenge for the trophy. Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction These games are always tough to predict, as they can go either way. We believe France is a slight favorite and could deliver a victory despite playing at the away ground. They have been more consistent lately, and France wants to show that they are ready for another successful campaign. We will take France Draw no Bet as the first pick. Goals Market Prediction We already mentioned that Germany has been very poor in the back, and they failed to keep their net intact three times in a row. With both sides having world-class forwards, we can expect an exciting match that should go over a 2.5 margin. France AH +0 @ 1.90 Over 2.5 FT @2.10 Correct score 3:2 @ 35.00
    1 point
  47. 2.30 - Palace Pier 3.05 - Berkshire Shadow 3.40 -Que Amoro 4.20 -Wembley 5.00 -Dalton Highway 5.35 -Blue cap 6.10 -Hyanna
    1 point
  48. PercyP

    Naps - Tuesday 15th June

    Elysian Flame 5.00 Ascot E.Way 16/1 Bet365
    1 point
  49. Same odds as Sky Bet usually but with the option to boost the price. Took me a while to cotton on that they were linked, I was always checking Lads separately.
    1 point
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