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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/22/2021 in all areas

  1. I can’t guarantee the success of last Saturday but I do have some strong bets in some interesting races which at all three meetings covered by ITV look certain to be run on testing conditions. There’s an 8am inspection at Haydock and a 7.30am look at Taunton but they’re seeming a bit more confident now than earlier in the week so fingers crossed for both. So it’s the mudlarks once again we’re looking for. As always I’ll start in time order and here’s my early thoughts on the ITV races. 1.15 Ascot 2m 7f 118yds Mares Hurdle Magic Of Light is a remarkable mare who’s finished placed in a Grand National in her time and has won this very race for the last two seasons. She’s teed up for this race by winning over fences at Newbury the last two years and is taking the very same route this season having run out an easy winner there 38 days ago. She has a big danger this year though in Dan Skelton’s mare Roksana who seems to have taken her form to another level since stepping up in trip this season. Her third to Paisley Park and Thyme Hill in the Long Walk Hurdle here 5 weeks ago is the best piece of form on offer but at the prices I feel that Jessie Harrington’s 10 year old is so tough that she may just have the call. Eglantine Du Seuil wouldn’t be out of it receiving 6lb from the two front ones also. Whilst the two rags don’t appeal one bit. MAGIC OF LIGHT 1 point win @ 11/4 Bet365 1.30 Haydock 1m 7f 144yds Rossington Main Nov Hdl There’s only 7lb officially between the quintet here and all five can be given some sort of chance. Llandinabo Lad looks to bounce back from his 2nd place at Ascot last time behind My Drago but has a 5lb penalty to carry here and at the prices doesn’t really appeal. Minella Drama’s form ties in with Llandinabo Lad and Donald McCain’s 6 year old should be thereabouts. Nada To Prada is another that has to shoulder a 5lb penalty but I’ll take a chance with the current outsider of the field in Jamie Snowden’s Anythingforlove. She’s stepping up in grade following victories at Lingfield and Catterick, in fact she should really be looking for a six timer as her tack went on her hurdling debut. In a race where I don’t fancy anything strong she could be the value. ANYTHINGFORLOVE 1 point win @ 17/2 Paddy Power 1.50 Ascot 2m 3f 58yds Handicap Hurdle This race isn’t as competitive as the race that Lightly Squeeze ran 3rd in before Christmas here over a half mile shorter trip. The two that finished ahead of him Not So Sleepy and Buzz are verging on Champion Hurdle class and he looks the bet here. The longer trip shouldn’t be an issue as he’s already won at Taunton by 7l over this trip even though that track is a lot flatter. He certainly didn’t seem to be stopping last time. Nicky Henderson’s Janika is interesting even off of top weight here and 13lb lower than his chase mark but we havn’t seen him for 343 days so maybe connections are looking for something further down the line over fences. Henderson also saddle bottom weight Craigneiche who’s making his handicap debut but we’ve not seen him for over a year as well. Arrivederci flopped behind Lightly Squeeze last time and is hard to fancy on that run though the longertrip will certainly suit better. Danny Kirwan makes his handicap debut off of 133 and probably didn’t see out the 3m trip last time, he’s an interesting runner. On ground he loves Lightly Squeeze is a confident selection. LIGHTLY SQUEEZE 1 point each way @ 11/2 1/5th odds 12345 William Hills 2.10 Taunton 3m 4f 85yds Portman Cup Chase Yala Enki has everything going for him here and is a confident selection. He won this last year under usual jockey Bryony Frost when making most, coming into the race following a 3rd in the Welsh National. He’s following the same route this year as he was highly credible 3rd to Secret Reprieve a fortnight ago. Chief danger on ratings is Harry Fry’s If The Cap Fits who’s only a novice and is unraced beyond 3m so I’m hoping Bryony sets the fractions out front and draws the stamina out of her rivals. YALA ENKI 2 points win @ 10/11 BetVictor 2.40 Haydock 3m 1f 125yds Peter Marsh handicap Chase I’m led to believe that unfortunately Sam Brown (and Claud And Goldie) won’t be taking part which is a shame as I think he would be the most likely winner but in his absence I think that class will come to the fore with top weight Royale Pagaille a good bet. He was super impressive when winning at Kempton over Christmas with the form already boosted by the third that day Double Shuffle going in since at Kempton. The handicapper has had his say mind by lumping him up 16lb for that win. Venetia Williams has entered him since in the Cheltenham Gold Cup so obviously thinks he’s capable of defying such a rise. I must admit the opposition don’t really excite me much. Sam’s Adventure is up 6lb for his course and distance victory 35 days ago whilst Acey Milan is a real dyed in the wool stayer who will be plodding on when it’s all over. ROYAL PAGAILLE 2 points win @ 9/4 William Hill 3.00 Ascot 2m 5f Handicap Chase A wide open handicap chase with may holding decent each way chances. Benny’s King is up 7lb for his course victory 35 days ago whilst Dashel Drasher is an interesting contender following his victory on the same day, although I’m not sure what he actually beat that day with the hot favourite flopping. Good Bye Bobby is apparently fancied for the Twiston-Davies team though he’ll need to do better than he did last time when a well beaten 4th in the Caspian Caviar Cup at Cheltenham. I’m going to take two against the field each way with firstly Venetia William’s Espoir De Guye who probably didn’t stay 3m last time here and on his second start since a wind operation now wears a tongue tie which should help. He’s won 3 of his last 5 starts. The other bet is a bit of a flyer as he arrives here in no real sign of form (although that was over hurdles last time, which may have been a possible pipe opener for today’s much more valuable race), Domaine De L’Isle won this race last year off of the identical mark from Benny’s King who re-opposes on 9lb worse terms. Bennys King is around the 6/1 mark whilst Sean Curran’s Domaine De L’Isle is as big as 16/1 so you can see where I’m coming from with this! He also sports blinkers for the first time so at that sort of price I suggest a small ew investment. ESPOIR DE GUYE 1 point each way @ 13/2 Hills 1/5th 12345 DOMAINE DE L’ISLE ½ point each way @ 14/1 Betfred 1/5th odds 1234 3.15 Haydock 1m 7f 144yds New One Unibet Hurdle This is a no bet race today but I do feel there maybe a bit of ante-post value looking forward to the Cheltenham Festival. There was always only going to be a small turnout for this trial although it was disappointing when Song For Someone didn’t declare on Thursday lunchtime. Buveur D’Air is getting weight from two inferior hurdlers and if, and I’m led to believe he is, he’s back to somewhere near his best he’ll win this. He’s not been seen since finishing runner up in the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle some 420 days ago where he was coming to pick up the eventual winner Cornerstone Lad when he had his hood impaled by a piece of the final hurdle (see picture below). It curtailed his season and he was sent away to his owners Irish stud to recuperate and let the hoof grow back. By all accounts his recent home work has been electric (that was always a trait of his - how slick he was over his hurdles) and bar a tumble should be beating last year’s winner Ballyandy and Navajo Pass who both have to carry penalties against the former Champion Hurdler. So he’s too short to back today but how about a win only bet on him for the Champion Hurdle with the firms who are using the non runner – no bet concession (at present just Betfair SB, Paddy Power and Betfred). Surely if he wins well he’ll shorten up significantly and if he bombs out well it’ll be money back. Sounds easy put like that doesn’t it !! BUVEUR D’AIR (Champion Hurdle) 1 point win @ 12/1 (non runner -no bet) Betfred 3.35 Ascot 2m 167yds Clarence House Chase A cracking renewal of the Clarence House that features last season’s Champion Chase winner Politologue who’s only run since was an emphatic victory in the Tingle Creek Chase at Sandown from his stable mate Graneteen. His owner John Hales feels he’s a bit under rated and that is probably the case. He’s most definitely the one to beat here mind. Waiting Patiently was supplemented at the 5 day stage and is rated only 2lb inferior to Politologue. He was last seen when finishing runner up to Frodon in the King George at Kempton on Boxing Day and he should run his race and be thereabouts, whether he’ll be sharp enough dropping down a whole mile I’m not entirely sure though. Third favourite and last year’s winner Defi Du Seuil has to put two very disappointing runs behind him and although his trainer has ben talking him up all week it takes a big leap of faith to back him to be honest. If all eight run then with question marks against the 2nd and 3rd favourite the race crying out for an outsider to backed each way. I thought Venetia William’s Fanion D’Estruval was travelling like a winner when toppling over at Cheltenham last time and as the youngest horse in the field at 6 years old may have more improvement than most to come. He’s officially 15lb behind Politologue on official ratings but had he stood up and won at Cheltenham and been put up, lets say 6lb then he would only be 9lb behind the short priced favourite. I’m happy to back him small ew and the favourite win only. It could be day for the French named horses come Saturday !! POLITOLOGUE 1 point win @ 11/8 Bet Victor FANION D’ESTRUVAL ½ point each way @ 16/1 Bet Victor 1/5 123
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  2. 155 muss petite ganache 11/1 bet365
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  3. Trotter

    Pricing your own race

    I've also done the 6.45 at Chelmsford to see how we compare My top rated are ........ 8 Dutugamunu 7 Channel Packet 4 Zefferino The only horse that is a much different price to my odds is the rank outsider, Cheat at 50/1. I make him a 15/1 shot ....... but he's difficult to fancy ! The two market leaders are my top two rated and the bookies odds are within a point of mine, so nothing there for value all the others except Cheat are shorter odds than my estimates The top two rated are the market leaders and the bookies prices agree with mine
    3 points
  4. Arsenal - The Gunners Arsenal's nickname 'The Gunners' is a reference to the club's origins, having been formed by workers from the Royal Arsenal armament factory in Woolwich in 1886. And it is also showed on their logo.
    3 points
  5. Manchester City - Blue Moon It is said that Man City fans often sing blue moon to cheer themselves up. The first time when it was sung was at the opening game of the 1989-90 season at Liverpool. Some Man City fans sang a sort of melancholic version when Man City was down, and it caught on in later days. Now Blue Moon has been a surname of Manchester City.
    3 points
  6. Manchester United - Red Devil When Salford's dominant rugby league team (Salford is the main district within the City of Salford, Greater Manchester) traveled to France to play games, their unbeaten record impressed the native so the French call them Red Devil. Manchester United dressed in red as Salford. So they take the red devil as their nickname. In 1970s, a devil with a trident in hand was added to the club's logo.
    3 points
  7. English Premier League has a long history. Some of clubs of the League is even older than League itself. Each club has their own culture, where their nickname come from. Let's talk about some interesting nickname of English Premier League clubs.
    2 points
  8. Jan +19.5 1pt level stakes win only 13.20 Mus Astute Boy 16/1 Lost 13.55 Mus Bobbie the Dazzler 28/1 Lost 15.10 Lin Comeatchoo 11/1 Lost 18.00 Dun Bringloid 16/1 Lost All prices as of now b365 -4 Jan +15.5
    2 points
  9. Cracking day around the globe - all below are for fun 1105 Cagnes - 3 Summiter 13/8 Bet365 (Stakes race) WON 1230 Taunton - 2 Seelotmorebusiness 5/2 Bet365 5th 1315 Ascot - 4 Eglantine Du Seuil 11/2 Paddy Power 3rd 1330 Haydock - 3 Minella Drama 9/4 Bet365 2nd 1350 Ascot - 7 Arrivederci 15/2 William Hill (Nap) 2nd 1405 Haydock - 3 Hijack 3/1 Bet365 8th 1425 Ascot - 8 De Forgotten One 9/2 Bet365 5th 1445 Taunton - 9 Thibault 9/2 Paddy Power Unseated 1500 Ascot - 6 Windsor Avenue 8/1 Bet365 6th 1500 Pornichet - 8 Maccaja 9/2 Bet365 (Stakes race) DNF 1535 Ascot - 7 Politologue 11/8 Bet365 2nd 1550 Haydock - 5 Black Pirate 7/1 Bet365 3rd 1600 Taunton - 4 Whatsdastory 4/1 Bet365 2nd 1605 Newcastle - 3 King Of The South 9/4 Bet365 2nd 1710 Newcastle - 9 Sharrabang 7/2 Bet365 7th 1740 Newcastle - 3 Tintoretto 11/4 Bet365 3rd 1840 Newcastle - 2 Rockley Point 3/1 Bet365 4th 2159 Gulfstream - 6 Largent 5/1 William Hill (Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup Turf) 2nd 2244 Gulfstream - 7 Tax 4/1 Bet365 (Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup Dirt) Unplaced
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  10. Me too but im off for next 5 days so I'll post loads races in the morning ....some good races tomorrow hopefully
    2 points
  11. Not impressed by the graded racing today 4.05 Mus Arthurs Seat. Looks tempting and could win. However, it has drifted overnight from about 6/4 to 11/4 and has at least 3 other live contenders so I'll give it a miss 4.10 Ling Liverpool Knight. This is a Gosden horse with Hollie Doyle aboard. Best price now 7/4 (was 5/4 last night). Has at least two live contenders. A Promising 6th last time doesn't compel me to row in with this one. 4.45 Chelm Ohwhatanight favourite. Largely out of form horses in this race. The favourite won a hard fought race over 7 furlongs last time. This time it is running at 6f. Not for me at 6/4 5.45 Chelm Raasel £10 win at 2.06 = £10.9 profit if win. Been off a long time and has switched trainer to Mick Appleby. Trading around evens now. This looks like a good opportunity for the horse who seems to be a class above all else in the field. The only one that I could find to inspire confidence to bet on Good luck to all betting today
    2 points
  12. A few outsiders 12.50 Musselburgh Braventina 28/1 4places 13.20 Musselburgh the silver prince 16/1 4 places 14.25 Musselburgh jorgie 28/1 15.30 Musselburgh book of invasions 9/1 16.05 Musselburgh upandatit 12/1 13.00 lingfield chica del dia 12/1 14.05 lingfield miss fernanda 14/1 14.05 lingfield panoranic 18/1 15.10 lingfield shani 16/1 16.10 lingfield valparasio 25/1 16.45 Chelmsford jungle boogaloo 7/1place at last 18.45 Chelmsford casina di notte 6/1placed 19.15 Chelmsford de vegus kid 14/1 19.45 Chelmsford alfredo 12/1placed 16.00 Dundalk muranaqel 35/1 4places nr daddys gal 20/1 16.30 Dundalk nashy 8/1 17.00 Dundalk Tony the gent 28/1placed 18.00 Dundalk minky 30/1 4places 18.30 Dundalk never seen before 33/1 19.30 Dundalk eglish 16/1placed 12.50 cagnes art premiere 12/1 13.20 cagnes valento 10/1 13.50 cagnes RIP 12/1 all bets 50p e/w bet365 ?????
    2 points
  13. 1.00 Lingfield A few in here at the top of the market that have form against each other but I'm going to have an ew go on one at a bigger price. Al Verde was running in only his second handicap (0-60) on 2nd Jan here last time over 7f after a 172 day break. He got behind early in a big field and as a result ended up going very wide round the final turn. In the end he finished 6th but I thought his run was better than the bare results suggests as he finished really well down the outside and was only beaten 3 lengths in the end. He's been dropped 3lbs for that and he also goes up in trip to a mile which should suit based on that last run. Also has a good draw in 3 so can hopefully obtain a better position today also drops into a 0-55 handicap. 16/1 available with most bookies.
    2 points
  14. todays top rated selections MUSSELBURGH 14:25 Goobinator 16/5 win LINGFIELD 14:35 Aberama Gold 3/1 win MUSSELBURGH 15:00 Ryedale Racer 33/1 e/w 4 Places
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  15. All prices Bet365: 12.50 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Tara Kay @ 20/1 1.00 Lingfield - 1pt e/w Pearl Spectre @ 16/1 1.20 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Esme Shelby @ 9/1 1.55 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Keep The River @ 9/1 2.05 Lingfield - 1pt win Spark Fury @ 6/1 3.00 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Taking Flight @ 14/1 3.30 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Skye Chief @ 28/1
    2 points
  16. Added a weighting to compensate re Win Win Power as above. New ratings: Channel Packet Rating 9.0 6/1 available at Bet 365. My odds 4/1 Win Win Power Rating 6.7 4/1 available My odds 11/2 Still no value here. Weloof Rating 6.3 13/2 available My odds 6/1 Casina Di Notte Rating 5.4 8/1 available My odds 7/1
    2 points
  17. With the 1st hunter chases of the season coming yesterday at Fairyhouse I thought it was time to start this thread again. Having done this for the 1st time last season and it proving popular I will once again be updating those horses that are being aimed at the Foxhunter in March. It is one race that gets over looked when looking at Cheltenham and I always get asked questions about what horses are and aren't qualified for the race. So this is where I can keep everyone updated as to what is going on and my thoughts on the runners. Obviously any bets during the upcoming months will go here as well. Given we have had just 3 points in the UK and the Irish season is in its early stages as well we have already seen plenty of horses hoping to line up at Cheltenham in March. Let's start with the Fairyhouse race from yesterday which featured It Came To Pass and Billaway, the first two home from last season. The former's trainer went on RacingTV before the race and said that the horse would improve a stone for the run, the ground was against him and that he is a better horse in the spring. It was no surprise he drifted in the betting and given all that I thought he ran really well as he got himself into contention before fading in the straight. As far as I am aware only William Hill have the race priced up and It Came To Pass is currently 12/1 2nd fav which seems a fair enough price to me as his run was full of promise. Billaway is currently the 8/1 market leader to reverse the form from last season. He travelled well up until just before they turned for home where he looked like he would drop out of contention, but he came back on the bridle and looked the winner until he made a right mess of the last. I'm not certain he would have won though as when he got to the winner on the run in he didn't get any closer and I think the winner had more in the tank. At this stage he is probably still the horse I would make favourite for the race as it was a promising return to action and he should still be progressive. Stand Up And Fight looked like he would be a possible winner of the Foxhunter a couple of years ago when he finished 6th in the race. Last season didn't go to plan though as he only managed to win a point over a banks course. It seems cross-country racing was going to be his thing this season, but after this win yesterday the trainer said he will stick to hunter chases now. First time blinkers might have done the trick and you would want to see them work again, but it was a personal best performance for me and if he builds on it then he will be a player come March. The 14/1 available is a fair price, but I would want to see a repeat performance before considering getting involved. Staying in Ireland I have to mention a horse who was declared to run at Fairyhouse, but didn't turn up. Aloneamongmillions ended up running at Dromahane instead where he beat last year's 4th Staker Wallace by a very comfortable 3L. That performance clearly puts him in the Foxhunter picture and despite having only 7 runs he is already qualified. Interestingly the only time he hasn't won was when he made his debut and that came in the UK when he fell in a maiden that Road To Rome went on to win. Given what that one went on to do it would have been a fascinating contest if Aloneamongmillions had of stood up. In Ireland broke his maiden tag last month and then won 3 points last season, before winning a hunter chase at Gowran Park in pleasing style. After that race his trainer said he would be aimed at Cheltenham and clearly he has backed that up with his win on Sunday. He's 16/1 at the moment and is a fascinating contender at this stage. Staker Wallace himself is also 16/1 and having fancied him last season I wouldn't want to write him off just yet. Onto what has been happening this side of the Irish sea. Because the pointing season was stopped last term when lockdown happened the current season started in October which given pointing has had to stop again because of lockdown was a very good move. We have also already seen 4 horses who could have serious Cheltenham claims. First to run was Maxwell's Foxhunter horse this season Jatiluwih at Bishops Court. The horse was very good over hurdles and he not surprisingly made a winning pointing debut under Will Biddick as his owner is currently injured. He clearly is a very good horse, but I wasn't impressed with his jumping and that will need to improve a lot before I even consider backing him for Cheltenham. Obviously there is scope for improvement on that front, but 14/1 wouldn't appeal on the basis of that run. Maxwell has 3 other horses priced up. Shantou Flyer has surely had his best chance of winning the race so he looks short at 16s. I haven't seen anything about Cat Tiger going hunter chasing and he is at 20/1. Bob And Co is also 20/1 but however much the Racing Post's Tom Collins thinks he is a Cheltenham Foxhunter contender I would be amazed if he turned up at Cheltenham and Aintree will be is race. We also know that Maxwell will only run one in the race based on what he said before this year's renewal so something would need to happen to Jatiluwih for any other these to run. In the Ladies Open on the Bishops Court card I was much more impressed with Red Indian who beat a solid yardstick in Master Baker by 50L. He looks a readymade replacement for the yards Top Wood and he looks set to be an exciting horse this season. He isn't priced up by William Hill at the moment, but he should be. Like Jatiluwih it was a good move to get him out early to get the 1st qualifying run out of the way. At Maisemore Wishing And Hoping ran out a comfortable winner of the Mixed Open for the Hazel Hill team. Some thought he should have been aimed at Cheltenham last season, but I though the Rowley's were right to take things more slowly with him as he looked like he needed a bit more experience. It was a solid win and he jumped well in making all. You would think he will be Cheltenham bound this season. The last meeting before lockdown number 2 was at Kimble and the Mens Open there saw another very impressive performance from a horse making their pointing debut. Porlock Bay has come over from France and was backed in the market beforehand so was fancied to win and he ended up bolting up by 20L. The race was over 2m4f and he is unproven over further so we don't yet know if he will stay the Cheltenham trip. The plan seems to be to try him over 3m next time and we will know more then, but he looks a classy horse based on this performance. Hills have him priced up at 25/1. Pointing in the UK is set to start again once we come out of lockdown and pointing in Ireland continues. I don't have the UK hunter chase dates yet, but usually Taunton in January is the first race of the season. NB - In his Racing Post stable tour on 16/11 Paul Nicholls has stated that Bob And Co has had a wind op and Cat Tiger will be going hunter chasing.
    1 point
  18. Fader

    WST Pro Series

    Yet to find a winner in these little mini-leagues. It's actually surprised me how many favourites have won the group, when you think it's just a "best of 3" match. It seems less random than the Championship League, which is a best of 5. Anyway, despite a poor start, I'll keep going. Group A tomorrow : I thought Murphy (although amazing at times), looked quite average, on the whole, at The Masters. I'm not sure I can back him here at odds on. I'm not keen on Holt because he hasn't ever done well at the Championship League (although he has won the shootout) If I had to pick somebody in the top 3 of the betting, it would be Holt. I'm going to take Ken Doherty though. Ken actually has a good record against Holt and if he can get a good start going then his 8/1 could look very big. I'll throw change at Ochoiski too, but that's more for a value interest. 1pt K.Doherty to win Group A 8/1 betfred 0.25pts E/W B.Ochoiksi to win Group A 100/1 betfred
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  19. 440 Newcastle ghostly 19.5 Betfair exchange. 540 Newcastle Daniels flyer 9.0 Betfair exchange 640 newcastle - waiting on prices. 740 Newcastle Spartan fighter 10-1 bet victor
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  20. Hobbs has had a few winners recently, I'd have to fancy Defi to win if he's back to his best.
    1 point
  21. 150 ascot Paddysmoterbike 8.0 17/2 6/1 no val Craigniche 8.0 9.5 /1 8/1 no value Dan's le vent 8.0 17/2 18.5 good value War lord 8.0 17/2 19.0 goid value Kateson 7.4 9.5 5/1 13/2 no value Light squeeze 7.4 9.5 11/2 no value Value bets Dan's le vent 5pt win 18.5 5pt place 4.6 betfair War lord 5pt win 19.0 ..5pt place 4.9 betfair
    1 point
  22. thank god for the evening racing still bad day out £23 in £11.63
    1 point
  23. Wildgarden

    Pricing your own race

    Thai terrier wins for small cover. Tyncecastle couldn't keep going.
    1 point
  24. 3.00 ascot Benny king 8.0 10/1 5/1 no value Capeland 8.6 9/1 15.5 good value Dashel drasher 8.2 9.5/1 7/1 no value Jonniesofa 9.0 17/2 26.0 outstanding value Value bets capeland 5pts win 15.5 5pts place 3.55 betfair Jonniesifa 5pts win 26.0 5pts place 5.3 betfair
    1 point
  25. 240 hay peter marsh Royal pigalle 7.6 7/1 3/1 no value Sam brown 7.4 7/1 3/1 no value Crievehill 6.7 17/2 20/1 ..outstanding value Sam's,adventure 7.4 7/1 11/2 no value Value bet crievehill.....10pt ew 20/1
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  26. Weloof clearly went out way to far at 17.5 to come back in. Watching these as day goes on can help form some value imo.
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  27. Ascot 3:00 Windsor Avenue - 8/1 bet365 e/w thanks Windsor Avenue - from Brian Ellison yard a old tracker horse of mine the 9yo has been a winner of two hurdle races, two NH flat races, two chases and a point-to-point from 2m 1f to 3m on ground varying from good to heavy. He had wind op in January last year and had 288 days of before coming out this season in November at Carlisle Intermediate Chase listed chase 2m 4f heavy chased leader in run in to finish 2nd beaten 2,5 lengths a PU at Cheltenham in December and last race again at end of December at Wetherby 3m soft Handicap Chase (Grade 3) class 1 finishing 3rd beaten 4.25 lengths, He's had break of 28 days and off same mark with Brian Hughes going back in saddle
    1 point
  28. They'll be multis up & down the country on the above tips after last Saturday's romp , no pressure then ?
    1 point
  29. See the look on the horses face. Poor fella.
    1 point
  30. 14.25 Musselburgh Tommy's Oscar 2/1 b365
    1 point
  31. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    1787 result: Scorchers won by 22 runs. Won £120 Profit to date £1724.95
    1 point
  32. kroni

    Naps - Friday 22nd January

    Blown By Wind @ 16/1 e-w Betfair - Jebel Ali 11:15 had this in the tracker, was eyecatching run last time on dubai debut at Meydan, was reshod at start and was real slow away but made up lots of ground to finish 3rd,does tend to start slowly but would have a chance on best form from last year
    1 point
  33. Musselburgh 1.20 Broadway Joe 14/1 Bet365 EW
    1 point
  34. ralphie7

    Quick System

    No mate I stand in Stretford End so I wouldn't do that ? Luv the song though ?
    1 point
  35. Next week should be a bit better with two Challengers and then, we should get 3 ATP events in a single week - COVID restrictions allowing.
    1 point
  36. MUSSELBURGH 2.25 TOMMY'S OSCAR 5/2 BET365
    1 point
  37. Interesting dilemma because in a few cases the horse will fall to a level that suddenly causes a revival but generally you normally get a sign that is going to happen ........on my sheet that horse could be rated 20 % x10 ..2.0 for hcap but might have a very low 30x2 ...0.6 score for recent form total ...2.6 overall for the 2 sections out of a possible 5.0........the way I tend to tackle it is I look at recent form...so if a horse won off 90 18 months ago but is now 75 then it's pretty obvious the horse is on the downgrade....but if he suddenly finishes 3rd I will give him the benefit of the doubt and say well if he can finish 3rd off 75 ....then maybe if he carried 72 ?...he could have won....then look at today's o.r and if he is carrying 73 ...that's 1lb over so I'd rate him based on that .....its never far off tbh and it works well for me
    1 point
  38. Hi All I've just rated the 18.45 Chelmsford tomorrow. Channel Packet Rating 9.0 6/1 available at Bet 365. My odds 4/1 Weloof Rating 6.3 13/2 available My odds 6/1 Casina Di Notte Rating 5.4 8/1 available My odds 7/1 My first try so don't follow! Bookies fav Win Win Power Rated 4.3, My odds 9/1! Edit: Win Win has not won yet so ratings a bit skewed. Has Hammer Hansen aboard so gets 3lb as well.
    1 point
  39. Think he's a jockey to follow - based with John Gosden no less.
    1 point
  40. 1 point
  41. Just a summary to date. I started this on 8th Sept 2020. Since then we've had 388 selections. Current Win bank is +€3,533. This is settling all winners at Betfair SP and also net/after 3.5% commission. Settling after 2% commission (which is what a lot of users are at) this increases to +€4,080. We tweeked the selections of late whereby we are only backing the WIN and only horses with a BSP of 5.0 of more are qualifiers. This is done very simply in the Betfair Exchange by selecting BSP for your back bet, and ticking the box with SP Limit Min and then entering 5.0 in the box. Any selection then with a BSP of less then 5.0 at the off will be cancelled and your stake returned. There are videos on YouTube for the same if anyone is still unsure. If anyone wants to contact me directly with any queries my email is placelaying@gmail.com
    1 point
  42. Marc-Andrea Huesler (-3.5 Games) to beat Facundo Bagnis at 1.83 with Pinnacle As I said in a previous post, Huesler did really well in 2020. He won a couple of Challengers and reached the Final in Kitzbuhel, beating good players and ending the year with an impressive 31-9. Bagnis is a pure clay courter but it shocked me anyway too see that his match against Zhang (6-4, 6-1) has been his second match on indoors of his whole career...I have watched that match and I have to say that Zhang has played very badly. Huesler has won in his first match here against Istomin (2-6, 6-2, 6-4).
    1 point
  43. If Wolves have to play the youth team then yes! Unless that happens I am not going to go for the hat-trick of big price winners with them.
    1 point
  44. darko08

    Australian Open 2021

    Badosa has confirmed that she's one of the players who tested positive for Covid, she's feeling unwell and has symptoms.
    0 points
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