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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/23/20 in all areas

  1. Querrey - Sandgren over 40,5 40,5?! Yep, that`s a lot, but I expect at least one tie-break and I think there`s quite a big probability both players will take a set. That should be enough to cross this line. Schwartzman - Lajovic 1 Although I really like and appreciate Lajovic as a tennis player I sincerely doubt he can win this. Though there is definitely some value on Lajovic I believe Schwartzman is far more dynamic and energetic player and if he takes the initiative and makes Lajovic run the Serb will have a lot of problems. A win for the Argentine in my opinion.
    4 points
  2. decwardo77

    Australian Open 2020

    I've just joined this forum today and it is really interesting reading so thank you to all the contributers for their knowledge and insight. Hopefully I'll be also be able to share tips with all of you. Just in relation to the match between Goffin and Herbert I do think they are both playing well but I really think Goffin will be too good for Herbert. I like Herbert as a player and they are both very similar however Goffin is at the top of his game and ran Nadal ragged a few weeks ago. I like the look of Basilashvilli to get by Fiasco Verdasco today. While the odds aren't that generous at 2.30
    3 points
  3. Simona Halep to beat Yulia Putintseva at 1.46 with Pinnacle I guess I need to gain my confidence somewhere and this looks decent enough. Collins was having fitness issues before her match against Yulia and she was just outlasted by the feisty girl, but this should be a completely even footing matchup-wise with Halep being just better overall. The small blip against Dart is somewhat worrisome I guess, but she refocused quickly and got the job done, so, in the end, she should win this.
    2 points
  4. darko08

    Australian Open 2020

    Marton Fucsovics to beat Tommy Paul at 1.64 with Marathonbet CzechPunter has already posted this. Tommy is physically a weak player and he should be tired for this one after his 6 matches played in Adelaide and his 2 matches here (including a 4 h 22 m match against Dimitrov). Fucsovics is playing really really well and he has only dropped a set in his two matches against dangerous players (especially Shapo of course). Roberto Bautista (-4.0 Games) to beat Marin Cilic at 1.83 with Marathonbet Cilic had a horrible 2019 season. I expected him to have a tough match against Moutet b
    2 points
  5. Jves

    Australian Open 2020

    @Valentine It's general consensus, the bigger the tournament, more money is in the market and more info available, which means more accurate odds, so it's harder to find any kind of edge. It's much easier to find your edge in the smaller tournaments. Also, if you want to predict results, buy a crystal bowl 😉 😄 You should be focusing on finding value (odds where you think the bookie/market do not have it right) instead of predicting results. Sounds similar, but it's completely different.
    2 points
  6. teodorppv

    Australian Open 2020

    Camila Giorgi to beat Angelique Kerber at 2.62 with bet365 2018 was the year of Giorgi, won her second title in Austria, reached QF at Wimbledon and 3rd round at French Open (which is a good achievement for her, because of the fact that she is not a clay player, she hasn’t got any finals at clay tournaments). 2019 was not as good as 2018 and injury problems stopped her from a better performance throughout the year, however she managed to reach 2 finals in USA ( at Citi Open and Bronx Open). Giorgi starts very well at AO with two clean wins, one of which against Kuznetsova who even t
    2 points
  7. Heather Watson to beat Elise Mertens at 3.50 with Parions Sport Watson is playing well right now and has already beaten Mertens in Hobart last week. It was a tough match for the Brit but she showed that she had the technical and mental resources to beat the Belgian. It will be a difficult match because Mertens will want her revenge but I couldn't have missed out on such a tempting odds
    2 points
  8. fizrukas

    Australian Open 2020

    Stefanos Tsitsipas (-3.5) to beat Milos Raonic || 1.89 @ OLYBET Don't know its good or bad that greek had extra day to rest or whatever he did, but i guess he should be prepared for this. This is typical game where you expect tie-break fest, fact that Milos is a ridiciulous server, but i have some questions about his ability last long in big games. He can win a set, but i think that Stefanos just to much for him. He is way smarter like a player, he had a great year of 2019, beating some top guys on big tournaments, and i believe that he'll get though here. One break early on and it
    1 point
  9. 5 meetings and it looks very tricky to me!! Nap: 255 Dn: One Fine Man 11/4 bet365 Nb: 225 Dn: Midnights Gift 5/2 bet365 EW: 125 Hn: State Vision 14/1 bet365 F/C: 515 Wol: Griggy/Klopp
    1 point
  10. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    60 result: Burundi won 3-0. Won £90 61 result: Burundi won 3-0. Won £110 Profit to date £2446.91
    1 point
  11. lelit

    Australian Open 2020

    Iga Swiatek has improved many elements of her game, but I'm afraid her tactical arsenal is too poor to defeat brave Vekic. I have read about Giorgi that she devotes too much time to high life social life which can certainly affect her game. Kvitova suffers from asthma (now large air pollution in Australia) which can affect the game against undefeated in 17 matches Alexandrova; power player who also has positive results against lefthanders. Expect 3 set matches in Zhang-Kenin (2.37) and Riske-Georges (2.25) odds from B365. Any torpedoing those picks opinion?
    1 point
  12. Torque

    Australian Open 2020

    It's probably the perception that he's a clay-courter - which he is - but he's had some good results on hard. I think there's some value in those odds.
    1 point
  13. Roaring was 5th ...betvic paid out
    1 point
  14. Torque

    Australian Open 2020

    Certainly was on - nearly 60 unforced errors which is embarrassing. Without all those errors there was no way CSN was winning.
    1 point
  15. Jves

    Australian Open 2020

    Forgot to add one: Pella - Fognini: Fognini - Evens @ various bookies
    1 point
  16. Jves

    Australian Open 2020

    Rest of my bets for the 3rd round: Bencic - Kontaveit: Bencic - 1.70 Sportingbet (min. 1.65) Vekic - Swiatek: Swiatek - 2.39 Marathonbet (min. 2.30) Putintseva - Halep: Halep - 1.36 (min. 1.34) Svitolina - Muguruza: Svitolina - 1.52 (min. 1.45) Giorgi - Kerber: Giorgi - 2.62 (min. 2.55) I know you would love to have a reasoning, but most of my bets are based on the price I think it should be based on the model and then comparing to the odds available. To sum it it up, all of those odds above are too high in my opinion and should show a profit over the long run. Those min odd
    1 point
  17. Changed my mind too Over 2.50 @1.97. Wolves are scoring most of the time at home and Liverpool, eventhough they didn't concede in last 7 premier league matches, still looks vulnerable at times. Combined with fact that Liverpool looked tired last 15 minutes in Devils game, I think goals are coming in from Wolves side. And if Liverpool is a little more efficient they can also easily score 2 goals. 1-2 or 2-2 most likely outcomes.
    1 point
  18. Is up in trip tomorrow at Lingfield [2.45] Opening show of 13-8
    1 point
  19. Barney

    NBA 23/01

    Winner last night! Jan Profit/Loss - +15.2 points Pick Wizards @ Cleveland Under 232 points 10/11 - 2 points GL
    1 point
  20. All 5 of the outright bets through to the Last 16. Unfortunetely, I'll lose one tonight for certain when Gary Wilson takes on Xintong. Lots of matches later and a few of these players playing twice in one day. By tonight we'll know the final 8 left for the Quarter-finals. 2020 snooker bets +2.5pts
    1 point
  21. Monbeg non runner ....leaves the race wide open and roaring is easy to back at 12 with some firms ..seems no confidence ....I'll try the saver on Lord schnitzel...he is a complete novice with 5 runs but others seem badly treated and he is 7yo and will carry 10-1 which is a big plus in these conditions ....if he can make it round who knows ....5pts ew 20/1 b365
    1 point
  22. Exactly my sentiments, but maybe like me you enjoy the chase even more than the kill, find investigating & number crunching extremely therapeutic. All too easy in this challenge to have the solutions throwing up a disproportionate number of 1-1 draws, being the most frequent of scores as you've pointed out. Also predicting too few games where one or both team fails to score, where as your stats indicate the home team fails to score in over 20% of games, which increases to over 30% when looking at away team scores. I'm trying to address this by minimizing the error of goals scored by each
    1 point
  23. CzechPunter

    Australian Open 2020

    On another note, what a mad performance from Goffin 🤪 (finally I can use this!).
    1 point
  24. Wilson tb. Brecel @1,806 (Pin) Brecel is struggling to find any form this season. They played against each other in August, with an easy win for Wilson.
    1 point
  25. I've actually set my alarm on my phone to remind me to post
    1 point
  26. CzechPunter

    Australian Open 2020

    Hi and welcome to the forum @decwardo77!
    1 point
  27. waggy

    2020 Finish continued

    59 result: Leicester won 4-1, Spurs won 2-1. Won £76.67 Profit to date £2246.91
    1 point
  28. Gowran Park 3:00 Total Recall - 16/1` betvictor e/w thanks Total Recall - from Willie Mullins yard who is battling this race out with Gordon Elliott as they share twelve of the 18 runners. I've went a Mullins old horse that may get a turn or place at big price, The 11yo has been a winner of three hurdle races, three chases and a point-to-point from 2m 3f to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to soft to soft - heavy with his last race 49 days as in a hurdle race at Clonmel over 3m soft when 3rd beaten 21 lengths with Danny Mullins in the saddle.
    1 point
  29. Draw continues to look open. Wenbo didn't really turn up for me this morning, however Donaldson and Guodong go through in the outrights, so I'll take that. Looking at tomorrow here is the line-up : G.Wilson Vs L.Brecel M.Williams Vs Z.Yuelong M.White Vs Z.Xintong G.Dott Vs N.Robertson D.Junhui Vs S.Donaldson J.Higgins Vs T.Un-Nooh M.Holt Vs A.Carter B.Hawkins Vs M.Selby M.Fu Vs Guodong We also have the start of the Quarter-finals tomorrow evening. I'm going to take on Mark Williams tomorrow because he just looked woeful at the Masters. Yuelong is a good player and a p
    1 point
  30. I have removed all mention of Mighty Stowaway from the above posts now we know he isn't eligible to run in the race just so it makes sense for people who want to catch up with all the posts should they be coming to this late. Also I can sum things up in one new post. It turns out that Mighty Stowaway's win at Punchestown in November 2018 has been deemed to have been in a race that is seen as equivalent to a Class 2 in the UK. Horses that have won a Class 1 or 2 contest in the 15 months prior to 1st January aren't able to run in hunter chases in the UK which means he can't run in those contests
    1 point
  31. Just when you think you have seen it all on a racecourse something else happens to prove that you haven't. I have been watching racing pretty much all my life and never have I seen a jockey have to pull a horse up because he has cramp! Bob And Co had shown his hard pulling tendencies in France and you could see that Maxwell was struggling to keep a hold of him and then when they past the winning post first time around you could tell something was up. He looked almost uncontrollable and you wondered if the saddle had slipped or something, but as it turned out he had to pull him up as he had cra
    1 point
  32. Ratings for the Irish race 3.00 Gowran Park 1pt EW Ex Patriot 11/1 bet365 F/C Comb, T/C Comb 2,6,10,11
    1 point
  33. Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 8 matches in Premier League. 43% of Liverpool’s conceded goals occurred after the 75th minute in Premier League. Wolverhampton have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute in Premier League. Liverpool have won their last 13 matches in Premier League. Wolverhampton have scored in each of their last 11 home matches in Premier League. You can find interesting 23 Football Betting Streaks for 23.01.2020 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-f
    1 point
  34. i believe leicester and spurs will have an easy winning night Leicester to win and over 1.5 goals at 1.67 Spurs to win and over 1.5 goal at 1.63
    1 point
  35. T Un - nooh does the buisness 5-2 win and a nice start +5.5 points Up
    1 point
  36. Taylor Fritz to beat Kelvin Anderson @ 2.20 with Pinnacle. Fritz has an easy 1R win and Anderson is not at his best after returning from injury. So he is ready to take on the S. African and I see value in this match-up.
    1 point
  37. T.un-nooh to beat R Williams 1.57 betfair as I think he is a far better player on his day 8 point win bet.Just hope it is his day lol.Good Luck
    1 point
  38. froment

    Betting exchange question

    Hello, Hurco; welcome to the forum! Your question is not silly; while they say that people are born with natural ability to swim, and then they lose that ability within first weeks of life, I highly doubt we are born with natural knowledge of betting exchanges, so some of us have to ask it sooner or later. I mean, all of us in this forum had such a question. With your example, there is indeed not difference between exchange and "normal bet platform". However, betting exchnage offers you a possibility to trade your bets: to place the opposite bet before the event ended, so you lock i
    1 point
  39. BillyHills

    David Philips - RIP

    I received a sad message today and just wanted to pass it on. Dave Philips was a regular poster in his time here on PL and like many of you guys and gals posted his daily selections in what was then called the DHRC (Daily Horse Racing Comp). Very sad the here the news and thought it was the right place to post the message. RIP
    0 points
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