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Showing content with the highest reputation on 10/27/19 in all areas

  1. 6 points
    Hey guys! New to the site. Haven't regularly punted in quite a while, but the taste for a little weekend flutter has returned again. Felt I needed to sign up to a forum, as if I'm not articulating & putting my thoughts into black and white, I can be a little lazy/loose - and if I'm a little lazy/loose, then the bookies are sure to win - and we don't want that to happen, do we? 🤑 So my first post is hardly much of a "tip", but I think Manchester United are nailed on to brush aside Norwich on tomorrow afternoon, and seeing them quoted around 4/5 looks generous to me. Ole's side have seen their best performances this season come when playing possession based teams; when the emphasis isn't so much on trying to unlock a stubborn deep-block, but just having a compact settled-shape off the ball & pressing aggressively. They beat Leicester & Chelsea this season with less of the ball, and put in, what I thought, was a very good performance vs. Liverpool last weekend with around 35% possession. Norwich execute a patient, position-play focused possession game with strong emphasis on building from the back (it's naive, if you ask me, but anyway). Only the "big 6", Leicester & Graham Potter's Brighton pass the ball more on average than Norwich, and only 6 sides (City, Chelsea, Leicester, Spurs, Liverpool & Brighton) average more passes-per-min-of-possession; so they're zipping it around at a brisk tempo - the only issue is, they predominantly do it in risky, almost Louis van Gaal-esque deep areas: And to add to that, they're playing against a side who before the Liverpool game, only allowed opponents on average to construct ~8 passes before forcing a possession turnover. United have a lot of effective/capable pressing players in D.James, Rashford, Lingard, Pereira, Fred, McTominay, Wan-Bissaka (his pressing intensity really impressed me vs. Andy Robertson), etc., most of whom, are expected to start, and will be licking their lips at conceding territorial possession and waiting to pounce on an error; specific pressing trigger(s), a lazy pass, etc. I just think it's a match made in heaven for United. With the recent mood lift courtesy of the solid Liverpool performance, followed by their first away win in a long time on Thursday, on top of the plus of the returning Martial, who may lack the pressing intensity of most of the aforementioned, but brings much missed quality in and around the box; and against a side who are foot of the table, low on confidence, and despite their "philosophy" playing right into United's hands stylistically, they're likely to be too stubborn to change - so I'm more than happy to have a substantial single on some of that just-shy-of-evens price floating about. Good luck if you play or add to your accas. Hope I can contribute positively in the future. Used to contribute to a forum called Racecaller a few years back.
  2. 2 points
    Watford vs Bournemouth The Premier League is giving a few tempting long shouts this weekend and one I'm keen to pick out is in the game between Watford and Bournemouth that kicks off at 3pm BST on Saturday afternoon at Vicarage Road. The home side are sitting bottom of the league table and will be hoping to get 3 points against an away side that are performing well so far this season. Watford could not have anticipated much of a worse start to their campaign. The sacking of Javi Gracia was not unsurprising at the time but the shock was the re-appointment of Quique Sanchez Flores. Results haven't exactly improved since the change of manager. The Hornets are now 4 points adrift of safety and need to start picking up victories. It's the first time since 2006 that the club has failed to win any of their first 9 league matches. That season they ended up finishing bottom of the Premier League. Defence is an issue with the club only keeping 2 clean sheets in their last 26 games. It's a dire state of affairs. Bournemouth are a polar opposite to their opponents today. Eddie Howe's men are positioned in 10th place but have looked a very competent side so far. A recent poor spell of results has seen them fail to win any of their last four matches. I wouldn't normally be keen to back the away side on a bad run of results but I just feel this is a game where the price allows me to back them to get something here. The head-to-head meetings isn't very good reading for Watford fans with their club having never beaten Bournemouth in the top flight. 6 of their 8 meetings have ended in a draw. Watford also haven't beaten Bournemouth in their last 8 league games at home. If Bournemouth win this game then they'll have won back-to-back games at Vicarage Road for the first time since 1948. I'm not sure they'll win so I'm backing a draw. Draw @ 3.60 with Betfred BTTS @ 1.65 with SportNation
  3. 2 points
    Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds The early kick-off in the Championship on Saturday is a 12:30pm BST start at Hillsborough between two automatic promotion contenders and local rivals Sheffield Wednesday and Leeds in a Yorkshire Derby. The winners of this game have the opportunity to move to the top of the table so there is more at stake than usual in what is certain to be a highly-charged atmosphere. Sheffield Wednesday are performing well under new manager Garry Monk. The Owls sit in 3rd and are just 3 points off the summit in the division. Monk has only experienced one defeat in the league since he took over back on 6th September. His side have also won 2 and drawn 1 of their 3 home league matches during his reign so far. The matches might not currently be setting the world on fire but they're effective. Just 1 loss in their last 7 league games makes Wednesday a dangerous side to play right now and just 1 goal conceded in their last 3 league games shows their defence is tight. Leeds were the pre-season favourites to win the league title with the bookies and Marcelo Bielsa's men are showing exactly why they were backed so heavily. The Whites are 2nd in the league table on 24 points and just 2 points behind league leaders West Brom. Results haven't been going great for United recently with just 2 wins from their last 6 league matches. Three away league games on the trot without a win also doesn't bode well for this encounter. Derby matches are always tricky to call. Wednesday have only lost 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two but it was Leeds who won the last match. The form book slightly favours the home team and Leeds are experiencing their troubles on the road right now. I was thinking about backing the home win but I just feel Leeds have enough about them to take a point. Draw @ 3.50 with BetVictor Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.87 with Sportingbet @waynecoyne, @sajtion, @arvee, @canaries91, @Mindfulness, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @CloughandTaylor, @Tiffy, @Gidds, @chris50, @PokerWolf1, @teddybear3011, @skyblues88, @allyhibs, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @willie82, @Neubs, @Papa Lazarou, @kulikTS, @Valkovets, @Pipoca, @padman, @Marek76, @silver fox, @neilovan, @HastGill1, @jazzman02, @andypaps28, @Kenton Schweppes, @rangers234, @newjack, @Kane91, @yossa6133, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Xcout, @branskie, @Wanderer89, @Hitch, @four-leaf, @trevor8, @OppoArchitizerLady, @Power90, @THEODORE-007, @KeyserSoze1, @Ulrik, @Rey86, @freddie01, and @the bastardian.
  4. 1 point
    EviL ZippY

    All Weather Only

    does seem overpriced he does. good spot do think if Wiley Post takes to the aw he’s gonna be a major player in that one too
  5. 1 point
    Sir Puntalot

    All Weather Only

    to Punters Lounge @MR ALL WEATHER
  6. 1 point

    All Weather Only

    4-25 Kempton on Monday MERCENARY ROSE around 12/1 D Egan gets the ride again after going very close at Goodwood in a better grade race than this in August. Was impeded at Ascot last time. Drop in grade and a good price Has won at Lingfield and a fine 2nd at Newcastle. I would advise a medium Each Way stake. Low stake 2pts medium stake 5pts high stake 10pts
  7. 1 point
    Well, almost-the-last week is here. There are still the ATP Finals, of course, and the Davis Cup, but I'm not sure how popular the latter is going to be with the new format and the former have just a couple of matches per day, so yeah, this is where things almost come to an end this season. Enjoy and good luck! Marin Cilic to beat Hubert Hurkacz at 1.71 with Pinnacle Neither guy is in a particularly good form, but Cilic seems to be playing somewhat better nonetheless and he has a very sweet record against the (still) youngster, so I'm going with him for my first pick of the week. Moreover, the Paris conditions are quite specific and Hurkacz hasn't played in them before, so that's yet another thing speaking for the experienced Croat here.
  8. 1 point
    1st post updated with November/December odds.
  9. 1 point
    Agreed with your selection Stevie! I am also tempted to play on Gençlerbirliği. By The couple of weeks Gençlerbirliği team improved. Denizlispor started The season with a spectacular win against Galatasaray. But, by then they keep decreasing their form.
  10. 1 point
    Alex Bird

    Naps - Sunday 27th Oct

    12.40--Imperial Alcazar--9/4 @ Unibet Is Unibet accepted--does not seem to up-date as other bookies do----most others are 2/1 ? Billy--remembered to enter name of horse !! Good luck all Cheers Roy
  11. 1 point
    Well Done BH bad luck CS333
  12. 1 point
    Great points by @shrewd., I saw the midweek match where ManU played against Partizan away and it looked like a good preparation for the match against Norwich. Partizan tried their best to attack but United basically took the pace out of the game. I think ManU will try to do the same today and then probably score one or two. This could turn out to be another low scoring away match for ManU. ManU to win @ 1.97 with Pinnacle Under 2,5 goals @ 2.03 with Pinnale
  13. 1 point
    Olympiakos vs AEK Athens The Greek Super League throws up a huge game this weekend when two of the top four sides go head-to-head in a 5:30pm GMT kick-off on Sunday afternoon. It's league leaders Olympiakos versus their close positional rivals AEK Athens at the Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. Just 5 points separate these two sides so the outcome of this game could have a massive impact on their respective seasons. Olympiakos are top of the league with 19 points from their 7 league games. It's an impressive unbeaten start to the league campaign and even though they are bottom of Group B in the Champions League their performances in that competition have been far from disappointing. The stand-out result being holding last season's finalists Tottenham to a 2-2 draw at home. Home form in the league has been decent too with 3 of their 4 wins on home soil ending in a clean sheet. AEK Athens sit in 4th place with 4 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss from their league so far. It's been an undefeated run since their opening game loss to Xanthi. It's also worth noting that this team relish playing on the road remaining unbeaten away in the league. That is form that transcended into their failed Europa League campaign too. So make no mistake about it, they'll be tough opposition here. Both of these sides are very evenly matched. Olympiakos are undoubtedly favourites to win but AEK Athens are going to make them earn every single bit of possession. I think backing Olympiakos to earn a narrow win is the best shout. The odds aren't great on simply backing that so I'd even say wagering on a win to nil given their defensive record at home is worth it. Olympiakos to Win to Nil @ 2.43 with 888Sport Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.88 with Marathonbet @betcatalog, @THEODORE-007, @Magic0024, and @Icongene.
  14. 1 point
    Placed small bets on Famalicão and Guimarães to win. I don't think Porto is playing that well, they will play at home giving them a huge advantage, but the sensation of portuguese league is playing great football and could get a surprise resul. Sporting, in my opinion, is even worst. They beat Rosenborg with lucky goal, played awful, fans want the president to resign, the team is under a lot of pressure. Guimarães almost surprised Arsenal last Thursday and will play for the 3 points today. Famalicão to win @ 11/1 Bet365 Guimarães to win @ 3/1 Bet365
  15. 1 point

    Champions League 2019

    Well done Fader on group 4 winner
  16. 1 point
    Braga vs Santa Clara The Portuguese Primeira Liga extends into Monday night this week when mid-table sides Braga and Santa Clare clash in an 8:15pm GMT kick-off at the Estadio Municipal de Braga. The home side haven't hit the heights they've wanted so far this season but a victory here could take them just outside the European qualification spots. Can the visiting side stop that? Braga are one of the reputed big boys in Portuguese football but Ricardo Sa Pinto's side are down in 12th place and only 3 points above the relegation zone. Their home form has been just as inconsistent as their away form. Despite the slow start, it's now four wins in a row in all competitions for the team. Two league wins have been added to by a 3-1 win in the Taca de Portugal against Leca and an impressive 2-1 win away to Besiktas in the Europa League in midweek. Have they turned a corner? Santa Clara might not be one of the big names in Portuguese football but they are currently showing themselves to be a solid team in 9th place with 11 points from their 7 league games. The form of Joao Henriques's side has been inconsistent but 2 of their 3 defeats over their past 6 matches have been to Porto. Their 3-0 win away to AD Oliveirense in the Taca de Portugal in their last game put an end to a four game streak without a loss on the road but how much can we decipher from that? I'm fully expecting a resurgent Braga to take all 3 points here and do it in a convincing manner. Sa Pinto has received his fair share criticism this season but their recent results are picking up. They face a Santa Clare side that are inconsistent at best but have struggled on their travels. Only 1 goal scored in away league matches so far shows how impotent they are up top and that'll be their downfall here. Braga to Win to Nil @ 2.55 with Unibet Braga HT/FT @ 2.30 with Coral @betcatalog, @allthethings, @AHbettingPT, @Magic0024, @Odyssey, @Xcout, @GreatCaco, and @VYA, what bets are you all placing this weekend?
  17. 1 point
    I think Tottenham are capable of not losing easily and with a goal difference, which means they will not lose by more than one goal at Anfield. Liverpool is not immune. Tottenham were great on Tuesday and the confidence of the key players is higher as Sean and Kane score and get extra psychology. Chances indicate her victory? Liverpool, however, undervalued Tottenham remain rich in quality and remain capable of doing damage, even losing with little difference LIVERPOOL FC vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR @@ +1.50 Ah TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR, odds 1.90
  18. 1 point
    An important showdown for the two clubs will show a percentage they can reach. I expect to be judged on the details and the goal. Panathinaikos scores with difficulty, while defensively improved. AEL will not take any risk and will try to close the premises and strike back. I think we will have a few goals in the game PANATHINAIKOS vs AE LARISSA FC @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.55
  19. 1 point
    Just some quick thoughts here. Since United beat Chelsea in week 1 on August 18th, they have failed to score more than a single goal in a match since that time. And save Arsenal & Liverpool, they have played absolute garbage. I'm talking League 1 Rochdale, Partizan, Alkmaar, Newcastle, Palace, Astana, I'm talking competition they should have smashed and at least been able to score multiple goals against. Anyone backing them this week is crazy, imho. United can counter for sure. The likes of James, Martial, Rashford, AWB, they have speed to burn. But, any manager worth their salt understands this and will sit back, and watch United flounder. They cannot create. They are infuriating to support as a fan, and alas this is going to be just another lost season. I'd take a punt on the under here. u2.5 evs seems okay, I prefer u3 at about -160 or so I like Arsenal at home here and will lay the -1 at -120 or so. Arsenal always play more attacking at home and I just think they have too much fire power for Palace to handle. Palace away is always a good fade too (except when they go to Old Trafford, obvisously) and tend to leak goals. I think this is a comfortable home win, 2-0, 3-1 something like that. Liverpool/Spurs game is a game to watch, not to get involved in. Pool are way too heavily favored and ordinarily I'd back Spurs DNB or take a handicap, but Spurs is a team in flux here. I don't know wtf is going on behind the scenes, but this is not the same team as the past two years. Pool has a comfortable lead in the table, and is 4-0 at home this year, averaging 3 gpg which is formidable for sure, but Spurs has the talent to hang around. Either way, I'll watch, but if Liverpool wins 2-1, I'm not going to lay -190 or -200 on them so good for them In the early game, I am most certainly going to be a Wolves fan. Wolves are just a better team, imho. I can get +160 for an away win and -120 for a DNB, sign me up for both here. Newcastle have managed 5 goals TOTAL in their first 9 games. And in the games I've seen them play, they manage very very few chances at all, so that's not deceiving. I can't back a team that can't score. Wolves, Arsenal (-1) and take a punt on Norwich/United u.2.75 g'luck
  20. 1 point
    Well done BIllyhills
  21. 1 point
    Chelmsford: 8.00 Wemyss Point please. Thanks.
  22. 1 point

    Division 6 - Week 2 Selections

    Nottm Forest game postponed, if I'm allowed to change, please can I have the following: Birmingham win - 1.95 Ipswich win - 1.65 Salford win - 2.37 £17.04 treble If not I'm happy to have the double from my original post
  23. 1 point
    13:55 Leopardstown, San Pedro, 11/4 Betvictor.
  24. 1 point
    I like the odds for overs in gaziantep alanya match, two offensive minded teams. konyaspor is a tough nut to crack, team can defense very well, but The goalkeeper made a silly mistake last weekend and cannot play against Fenerbahçe (red card). Kruse is injured and missing. Anyways, I like to play for Fenerbahçe winning in front of their fans.
  25. 1 point
    Elf De Re 1.15 Kelso 20/1 Bet365 - EW
  26. 1 point
    4.55 Cheltenham-Slate House Each Way @ 7-1 Bet 365 BOG
  27. 1 point
    Leopardstown 1505 Psychedelic funk 9 betvictor
  28. 1 point
    PAOK's victory has fallen to a very low level, with no value at all. The difference between the two is great and they have opposite forms. I expect easy PAOK dominance with many goals VOLOS NPS vs PAOK THESSALONIKI @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.60 I have no confidence in Xanthi, it may be high in the rating, but it's lucky. OFI is impressive, playing good football, with a lot of aggression, making many final goal attempts. I'll go with the momentum of OFI and the seat OFI KRETA vs AO XANTHI FC @@ OFI KRETA, odds 1.85
  29. 1 point
    Southampton vs Leicester Friday night football is back for the Premier League with Southampton playing Leicester in this 8pm BST kick-off at St Mary's Stadium. These two sides have had contrasting starts to their league campaigns with the home side toiling at the wrong end of the table and the visitors are flying high up the top end of the division. Will the result favour the form book or will we see a surprise? Southampton narrowly avoided relegation last season but with the appointment of Ralph Hasenhuttl it was hoped that the Saints could push on up the table this season. Unfortunately, the club is currently sitting in 17th place and only outside the relegation zone on goal difference. Four league games without a win has left the fans becoming concerned but the 1-1 draw versus Wolves in their last match gave hope that they might have turned a corner. What is more worrying is the fact that this poor form has continued from last season with the club only managing 2 of their last 14 league games with the worst home record in the division this season having failed to keep a clean sheet at home. However, this is a Southampton side that have scored in a club record 18 consecutive home games. Leicester are a completely opposing tale. Brendan Rodgers has transformed this Foxes team into a free-flowing attacking side that are making a serious push for a top four finish this season. 5 wins from their last 7 league games has pushed the team up to 3rd in the table. If Leicester win here then it'll be the first time since 1930 that they'd have won 6 of their first 10 matches in the top flight. Disconcertingly, the club hasn't kept a clean sheet in their last 12 away league games. It could also be worth backing Jamie Vardy to score any time because he's bagged 15 goals since Rodgers took over in March. These two sides played each other three times last season with the away side winning both league games with Leicester winning the EFL Cup clash on penalties. St Mary's Stadium is a place Leicester love scoring goals having hit six here in their last two visits. I can see goals being scored again in this game. I'd have to back Leicester to sneak a 2-1 win if I was pushed on a correct score. Leicester to Win @ 2.35 with SportNation Anytime Scorer: Jamie Vardy @ 2.25 with Betfred @Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Teodore, @kilkenny1, @newjack, @PokerWolf1, @Dave1X2, @real55555, @jazzman02, @Ameer13, @Gedkip, @mcsilks, @MangoTheThird, @Roy The Boy, @DonPaulo, @Duckets, @yossa6133, @sjuesju, @dylanphan, @thfc, @Dboston, @Dr. Florida192, @money44, @1moregoal, @ggm31v, @EuroDream, @ndanmak, @cummins91, @vicsuna, @abigail, @Carovie, @thfc, @Hitch, @Ameer, @LimMouse, @freddie01, @Ulrik, @i1_principe, @BobEire, @doverwhite, @jimbo584, @Kingdom for, and @AndreBR.
  30. 1 point
    15pts/Sabalenka to win WTA Zhuhai @ 6.50 Paddy Power
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