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** July Naps Competition Result: 1st Gary66, 2nd BBBC, 3rd kenisbusy, 4th Johnrobertson. KO Cup Winner tonythepaint. Most Winners Budgie65: **

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Showing content with the highest reputation on 09/30/2019 in all areas

  1. 16:50 Curragh: Katiba @ 20/1 Bet365
    4 points
  2. Musselburgh 4.20 Corton Lass - 25/1 betvictor e/w thanks Corton Lass - from Keith Dalgleish yard the 4yo must have Keith tearing his hair out trying to get to the bottom of this horses poor runs in 22 runs she's got more duck eggs than place finishes but here this season she found a 2nd place finish over todays 5f only beaten 0.75 lengths off 45 mark another two runs in class 6 saw poor runs and her last run 10 days ago at Ayr 5f in class 5 saw her run off 51 but finished last of 17 runners , The handicapper got her back down to 45 mark with a new jockey Callum Rodriguez in saddle for first time ,
    4 points
  3. I'm sure I will get some late goals go against me at some point during the rest of the season, but let's hope I haven't used up all my luck for the campaign in the past week. To have Horsham do what they did after what happened with the main bets on Saturday was staggering really, but it helped make it a very profitable few days. I have four single bets on Saturday, 3 in the league and 1 in the FA Cup as well as an FA Cup acca. Dover v Notts County I'm sure Dover will get that home win soon, but they looked very open against Halifax last weekend and it was easy to see why away teams have had so much success against them. I'm happy to continue to oppose them with a Notts County who have only lost twice in their last 10 games. Those losses were against Yeovil and Bromley as well so nothing wrong with that. I still don't think they are the finished product just yet, but they have found a way of picking up points and they shouldn't really be over 2/1 to take the 3 points here, especially given Dover's home form. Hartlepool v Yeovil I put this up on Monday as I didn't think the price would last on the away side and I was right as they are a fair bit shorter now. Pointless doing a long preview now really so I will be brief. Yeovil continued their superb run of victories on Saturday being the first team to beat Bromley and whilst they had a bit of fortune with Bromley having to have a defender in goal for over 80 minutes it was still a top effort. Hartlepool have been a bit frustrating really as I thought they looked good against Woking on the TV last month, but they have injuries and suspensions at the moment and they could find it tough to see off a flying Yeovil. Merthyr Town v Wimborne Town The away side have been in cracking form since their caretaker manager took over and they are unbeaten in 4 now, winning 3 of them. They beat a good Weston side last weekend and prior to that had got a point against Truro who are doing well this season as well. They have scored 12 goals in those 4 games as well so it is surprising they are so big to win at a Merthyr side who have only won 3 of their nine league games and have lost 3 on the bounce. 13/5 with Betfair looks more than acceptable. Brackley v Warrington The price of Warrington obviously tells you that this is a risky bet, but they just seem over priced to me so it is worth a shot. Brackley hammered Bradford Park Avenue 8-0 last week, but I suspect Warrington are a better side than BPA. Brackley have only lost once in their last 9 games as well so it will be tough for Warrington for sure, but I just can't make them 8/1 shots. Warrington are one of the best sides in the BetVictor Northern Premier and they have only lost once in their last 8 games. They have a good team and have had some good FA Cup runs in recent years and I would make them at least half the price they currently are. FA Cup acca Missed by one in the last round so hopefully these 7 can all beat much lower opposition. They are Wealdstone, York, Havant & Waterlooville, Gateshead, Maidstone, Boston and Welling. It pays 4.7/1 with BetVictor. Notts County 1pt @ 56/25 with Marathon Wimborne 1pt @ 13/5 with Betfair Warrington 1pt @ 8/1 with BetVictor FA Cup acca 1pt @ 4.7/1 with BetVictor Already advised Yeovil 3pts @ 19/10 with marathon (against Hartlepool)
    3 points
  4. Wolverhampton 18:50 Viola Park 20/1 EW Bet365 Similar problems to Alex Bird. And on a day when I have not found much at all from the 4 racecards in play (3 in UK; 1 in RoI). Anyway. Good pounting all. Obviously, those that are "tops" deserve the spoils.
    3 points
  5. Musselburgh 15:45 Afandem 11/2 Win BetVictor
    3 points
  6. Week 8 *Every week i deal with over 130 bets made by the players of this competition, manually settled and entered onto a spreadsheet. Each week is copy and paste the odds and produce league tables, mostly accurate?. Oh and dont forget the £2000 per year prize money we give away. In return all we ask is for the members to choose some teams, quote the odds and add their stake, its not asking too much is it?? Players have 5 days to perform this act, not 5 minutes on a Saturday. On a brighter note, well done to Runadrum who landed a monster 40/1+ draw treble this week * A lot of Monday bets still to sort out. Overall Table
    2 points
  7. For this past few day from friday i founded 7 BIG favorit on odd low then 1.3 where ELO tell us that is sure HOME win. It is on home side: Palmeiras 1.16, Slavia Prague 1.22, Olympiacos 1.16, Juventus 1.28 ( 1.18 befor start), Ajax 1.12, Santos 1.33 ( 1.18 before start) and LA Galaxy 1.23 ( 1.20 on start). First odds are from friday befor anyone start. So i am monitoring on them befor start and anyone been low then 1.3 on start of the game ( Santos drop to 1.18). And last one LA is lose last night with odd on Vancouver on odd 12. So only chance to be in profit one extra favorit on long rune is to bet against them every time. If you go against them all it will be 1/7 with profit +5 pt. On all season you will se that will be hard to find only few week where all of this logical favorit on small odds low then 1.3 with extra ELO rating will win. Not sure about bet against them on long run to what numers will be, but for sure bettar then go on them to win. And ofc week befor this one you have PSG and Napoli with this criteria who lose on bet against them on 10 and 15 before their match. So $$$ wil be made beting against 99% of ppl for sure on long rune. End when i talk about extra ELO rating to find this logical 100% sure pick that will never come all is 4/2 - 20/20 + ELO rating. For AWAY ELO sure 100% logic win we get only two Byern M on 1.18 and Malmo on 1.22 and both come this time. But few week ago you alredy have on Dortmund ( 1.3) away lose from Union Berlin on odds 8.00. WIll do detail statistic for all this year to next summer so we will see what we can get form this. I will just for statistic go with X, Win both Half on outsider ( odds are min 40+) and Winner ( Win with 0). Just for fun to see can some game can give us profit on long run. Last week PSG lose from toal outsider 0:2 and this is Win with 0 So it is realy big odd. We will see. And still going with best ELO tips in range 1.5-2 odds and count for this season on HOME win. For now result is good. ( dont playing 2+ od in this statistic, becous it is another one strategy when i am going for HOME win on 2+ odds only with ELO rating selection). Good luck and will share some interesting sum ( cant post everyday becou i am atm fallow statistic for over 20 strategy and picks from ELO rating and some other method). But when some prove that is total clear winning maschine i will share. For Septembar i get best result on GOOD 2 selection ( AWEY win but not 20/20+ team ( on them profit is good too 11.05 pt) with pick team on ELO 4 last ( can be 1+ in AWAY) and 2 last ( must be 10+). Odd must be always 3+ nothing lest then 3. Result is 22.15 pt in profit. I will continu from october to writhing for every ligue statistic too on every strategy i fallow so in future we will see what ligue will cut ass profit and next year we can leave it out from it. Like i said i am doing over 20 strategy over ELO rating and odd selection so it is too much jobe eery day so immposible to psot eeything but in future will start somthing that will give us $$$ for sure. Expect me for next season 2020/2021 to go strong on strateyg that prove itself on this all season. Latter. * and somthing very interesting that i start to do in last 10 days is some bets on STRONG X ELO rating selection ( must be home/away or away/home in 4/2 diff and both side cant be abow 5/5). Bets that i am monitoring is HT/FT ( X-X, 1-X, 2-X) and Correct Scorre ( 0:0,1:1,2:2). And i will post you result from tabel what i am get. Very impresiv but it is still not much game only 23 game but still i hope that some of this bets will contiu to rise profit on long run. W/A is winn bets/ all played bets and P/L is profit/lose. I am using some Numbers program on mac for tabel so it is not in excel. And you can see that result on 1-X, 2-X, 1:1 and 2:2 is realy good. on 1-X we have 55.50 pt in profit. So we need to lose 55 time to erase out profit. In 55 game X on this ELO pick critetium it is immposible. But we will see everything with monitoring all season. And for ood i am from Serbia and i use odds from our bookmakers ( we have over 15 bookes heare) so always night before i sorting for tomorrow i using best odd i can find in my country. Not sure, but if do this wiht all world bookmakers probably result will be same or maybe a bettar becous always you can find bettar odd on all bookes but not want to go in that details.
    2 points
  8. @Rey86 Of course anything can be learned if you have the will and discipline to do it, but sports betting is different. Blackjack Basic Strategy - lots of people think they know this, but you'll be amazed how many get it wrong and you only need to make a handful of wrong decisions to make that low 0.25% house edge roar into a 5% edge. I was sat next to someone in the MGM a couple of years back who said he knew how to play basic strategy, yet refused to surrender or take another card every time when he had 16 against the dealers 10, or JQK Poker - there's a hell of a lot of skill here, but to be honest you're often playing the player not the cards. Sports Betting - oh jeeesus where do I start! One thing you must have is discipline or you're doomed, this means managing your betting bank properly and being patient. The other major thing you must have which can take quite a long time, is the understanding of value, overround and how to compile your own odds, which is often a gut feeling to an extent, but of course based on stats and form. I've often tried to explain in quite simple terms what value is, and I'll repeat it again here. Liverpool are playing Norwich at home and are fully expected to win.... Would you back Liverpool at 1.01? If not, why not. Would you back Liverpool at 1.05? If not, why not. Would you back Liverpool at 1.10? If not, why not. Basically, there is always a point where you will back that team and the odds dictate the bet, not the team. So where's the line? Apply that to each bet and you won't go far wrong.
    2 points
  9. Thanks for the input kedbet! Uchida won very very easily so it was a very weird odds movement after all.
    2 points
  10. Leicester vs Newcastle The solitary Premier League game today is the clash between high-flying Leicester and lowly Newcastle in a 4:30pm BST kick-off at the King Power Stadium. The odds are heavily backing the home side here and it's hard to argue against that. The turmoil continues at the Tyneside club and there are already calls for Steve Bruce to be replaced. Can they pull off a shock win in this game? Leicester were backed by a fair few pundits and punters to be the team most likely to breach the reputed "top six". Brendan Rodgers has come in and done a brilliant job so far turning this side into an attacking team with plenty of threat going forward. The Foxes are currently in 5th place with 11 points from 6 league games. 3 wins in their last 4 games has helped them to this position and the 1-0 defeat away to Manchester United has so far been their only blip. Newcastle's situation isn't surprising many people. It seems to be a constant state now that the club's fans are disillusioned with life under Mike Ashley. Reports have suggested that Peter Kenyon is on the verge of completing a takeover and that would surely jeopardise Bruce's position as manager. Until then, it's business as usual. The Magpies are 19th in the table with just 1 win all season. It's now 3 league games without a win and only a win today will take them out of the bottom three. Interestingly, Newcastle fans might have reason to be optimistic today. The club have won on their last two visits to the King Power Stadium but both of those were under the experienced stewardship of Rafa Benitez. The last four meetings between these two sides have also been won by the away side. Unfortunately, I don't see anything suggesting Newcastle will win this. The strikers can't hit a barn door, the defence looks unstructured, and there is such a lack of creativity in midfield. Compare it to the slick unit that is Leicester and it's a no brainer. Leicester -1 @ 2.75 with SpreadEx Leicester HT/FT @ 2.50 with BetVictor
    2 points
  11. The Punters Lounge £150 added Poker League continues on this week with our October league. All games are played in the PokerStars Home Games PL Poker Club. This month will again feature a PLO leg in week 3 with the other 3 legs NLHE. > Leg 1 : Wednesday 2nd October at 20.00 GMT in the PL Poker Club Home Game. > Leg 2 : 9th October > Leg 3 : 16th October - PLO Leg > Leg 4 : 23rd October - double entrants in formula * Buy in is $5.50 per leg. To help boost numbers overall and in particular in the final leg we are continuing the system of doubling the number of entries used in the calculation in leg 4 ( * so if 12 entries the formula will use 24 entrants). This will increase the number of points available in the final leg to make it more competitive. Your top 3 scores of the 4 legs will count towards your league total. We will be using the usual PL league format, which will be updated in this thread. (The PokerStars own league scores will not be used.) Formula is -Log(position/Entrants)x100 All members are welcome, however you must post in this thread if asked to let us know your forum username, otherwise your placings and scores cannot be included in the league. Please spread the word and invite your friends so we can get the weekly numbers to keep this league viable. New players always welcome to join in. To join the PokerStars PL Home Games Club: club id = 744199 password = PLPokerClub We also have a PL Poker Club Facebook group where regular reminders are also posted. Please request to join. https://www.facebook.com/groups/524375907722928/ £150 Added Value The £150 added will be split between the top 3 players of the league end, with £75 to the league champion, £45 to 2nd and £30 to 3rd. This will be payable via PayPal at the end of the league. Big thank you to SirPuntalot and Punters Lounge for the added funds. Winners will also get Punters Lounge merchandise. See below. Punters Lounge Merchandise You can now win unlimited Punters Lounge merchandise, even if you have won them before. It consists of the mug with a wraparound logo, updated to our new 3D logo recently. You'll also win a pack of 10 pens, which have also been upgraded to a much better quality. Good luck! League Table
    1 point
  12. New month, nearer to the jump season proper. Nap: 810 K: Croeso Cymraeg 3/1 bet365 EW: 420 A: Redarna 5/1 bet365
    1 point
  13. nottingham21

    NFL 2019/20

    3-2 on the week with a nice 7/4 ML hit on the Titans. Was 5-0 straight up, but unfortunately the Pats and Chiefs couldn't cover. I like the Bengals tonight at the odds but holding off on betting it. ?
    1 point
  14. Nantwich Town v Matlock Town Nantwich won scrappy game as Lancaster was forced two substitutions through injury Matlock town beat 2nd place Whitby Town 3-0 and only lost 2-1 to leaders South Shields so at 9/5 fancy away team to win
    1 point
  15. Pablo Andujar - Gilles Simon || Over 21.5 @ 1.78 with OLYBET! Two very equal players, maybe Andujar has a little bit edge, Simon is not the same that he was several years ago! Pablo beat last 2 times pretty easily, but i am just think that,Simon could play well when no one is expected! Over can come also in just two sets! GL!
    1 point
  16. Diego Schwartzman (-2.5) to beat Fernando Verdasco 1.78 @ OLYBET! The argentinian is a clear fav here, Verdasco never was a great hard surface player, and considering fact that Diego is in shape and had good US open tourney, he is on a dareto do smth! H2H 3-0 to Diego! All fact speaking itself, and there should be no problem against bad hard player! GL!
    1 point
  17. Newton Abbot OFF, leaves 4 meetings Nap: 430 H: Autumn Flight 11/8 bet365 Nb: 620 W: Brad The Brief 6/4 bet365 Others 200 B: Sky Vega 4/1 bet365 440 B: Celtic Classic 9/4 bet365
    1 point
  18. to Punters Lounge @cking77 I'm totally against matched betting, it's a cancer of the industry and will never be supported on Punters Lounge. We're all about helping punters to become shrewd punters that can take the bookies to the cleaners over a period of time, but matched betting is a real big problem and I hate it with a passion. As for your system/strategy - it's dangerous at best. It seems like you don't have bankroll management skills, but of course you've told us you're very new so that would be a given. My advice is to paper trade anything you are doing and spend some time going through the mountain of system threads on here, where you will learn a lot. Please do not raise your stakes. I realise the temptation but you'd need at least 2000 bets to realistically know where you stand and how viable the system is. There's a ton of very experienced punters here who no doubt will be more than happy to guide you as I've tried to do above.
    1 point
  19. Had a look back over previous months and numbers in the PLO leg have always held up well, so I think we'll run with this at least until the end of the year and make sure it continues to get support. Maybe we could then try sticking a different variant in alternate months
    1 point
  20. One more for me tomorrow. Diego Schwartzman (-2.5) to beat Fernando Verdasco at 1.80 with Bet365 Diego hasn't played since the US Open and that is of some concern, but Verdasco didn't look all that great last week and he has a terrible record against the Argentinian, who's better than ever now in many respects.
    1 point
  21. Valiant Thor

    NFL 2019/20

    Average week this week, no more than a coin flip on overall selections so far 7/14 need the Steelers to win tonight for 8/15 The selected bets didn't fair much better either won the game but missed the spread by 2 The less said the better The hawks covered the spread quite easily The Rams ended up getting severely rammed My Nap came good again (at least thats a good sign) Just my next best bet to come GO STEELERS
    1 point
  22. 6.20 Brad The Brief--6/4 @ Bet365 on -0.04 loss need this to win, to got on the positive side for September--last chance saloon !! Good luck all on final day of the month Cheers Roy
    1 point
  23. Brilliant from Murphy to win the tournament. What a final that was. Williams went from 9-5 to 9-9 and had me worried but Murphy got that all important 19th frame to get the 18/1 shot. I took Murphy in the worlds at 33s before this.
    1 point
  24. 3.10 Roscommon AA BEE SEE 1pt win 14/1 Bet365 BOG
    1 point
  25. Parma vs Torino: Draw Parma had 5 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses at home last season, but didn't manage to beat one of the top 10 sides at home - losing 6 games and 4 matches ended level. Parma lost all 4 matches at home vs top 4 teams(Juve, Napoli, Inter, Atalanta), so Gialloblu had 4 draws out of 6 games at home vs top half teams outside of top 4 like Torino. Meanwhile, Torino drew 13, won 4 and lost just 2 away games last season. That record will most probably not be repeated as Torino had its first away loss last season in mid January and the team already lost away vs Sampdoria 1:0. Anyway, it is worth noting that il Toro drew all 7 away games last season vs teams from 10th to 16th place, including a goalless tie vs Parma. Both Parma and Torino are coming off narrow home wins in last round and both teams are yet to have a single draw after 5 games. Expected goals data shows that Torino should have been second from bottom, but that just points out how difficult it is to score past Sirigu and how clinical il Toro are at the front. Torino lost their last 2 games vs not so open teams from bottom half of the table and I suspect they will be happy with a point from the visit to Parma.
    1 point
  26. Last Chance Saloon: Alqaab 6.50 Wolverhampton 20/1 PaddyPower Graham, thank you for all your hard work during the month, much appreciated.? Nice write ups Bluemal and Bathtime for Rupert, keep it up ? Good luck all.?
    1 point
  27. 2.26 Perry Barr - 1pt win Blue Act (T3) Has been a magnet for trouble recently but has a better make up today with slow-risers on either side and could hit the bend handy today. If doing so, should have the all-round pace to see these off. 2.44 Perry Barr - 2pts win Hello There (T5) Form in August would be sufficient to win this in higher grades before getting battered from pillar to post on his return last time out. The 6 dog will be out of his way early given that one's early pace but with a clear out wide, can pick that one up and the remainder later in the piece. 3.04 Perry Barr - 1pt win Stoneparkwarrior (T1) This represents a drop in grade today having been running in OR with credit despite finding pockets of trouble. Fairly unexposed around here and can follow the 2 round with that one setting it up nicely for the selection given its likely early supremacy. 4.58 Perry Barr - 2pts win Barnfield Bolt (T1) Best form in the field and simply ought to win this with a bit of luck. Tempered the stake down on this one as not guaranteed he'll get a nice run into the opening corner, but if close enough, should be capable of taking this.
    1 point
  28. Agreed ! Hugely helped by an added time goal at one game and a disqualified one at another. Small margins.
    1 point
  29. Manchester United vs Arsenal Arsenal +0 @ 2.16 with Pinnacle looks tasty to me. Like said before, I don't feel like Pogba wants to be in ManU anymore and that's a big drawback for them. Also ManU has already dropped plenty of points to weaker sides like Palace, West Ham and Southampton. Arsenal has only lost once and that was against Liverpool so I don't consider that a huge blow for them. Arsenal has had some problems at the back but to me ManU just doesn't feel like the team which could comfortably win matches against the bigger teams in PL. My gut says OGS just isn't the right kind of a manager for the team.
    1 point
  30. kroni

    Naps - Sunday Sept 29th

    230 Epsom - Grand Rock @ 2/1 Bet365
    1 point
  31. giraldi

    Soccerbase stats

    I hope we all agree that the value can be found in very small odds but, as in real life, to study the small things you need fine tools and a lot of patience, otherwise you destroy them. It is best to avoid small odds, in my opinion. Is best to avoid very "crowded places" as well. No value where are too many players. My first impression, as did my colleagues above, was that such a strategy simply applied cannot be mathematically winning. I checked all the matches in September considering the difference at least 10 places for the league positions, see picture no.1. 157 out of 1635 met the condition and, as expected the results would have been not extraordinary as you can see in picture no.2 Now, lets-s see what if will consider the places in the home table for home teams and in the away table for the away teams. We have some improvements already. Almost 7% profit for home win. It makes sense because we filtered teams with a good play at home vs teams with a bad play away (and too many players consider only overall teams performance) See pictures no.3 and no.4 Now, let-s go a little bit further and check for home teams placed between 1-5, so they are very strong at home, and the odds over 2.00 (the potential has not been seen yet by the majority of the payers). See pictures no.5 and no.6 The results are much better. See picture no 7. Of course, the results are based on aveage odds but I am sure you got the idea. Don-t play what another 99% play becasue it-s not possible to have 99% of players winners on long term. Finally, of course, I will not be a hypocrite and to say that I did not want to show off the possibilities of my program.
    1 point
  32. Tuesday night summed up the last 2/3 weeks really as things didn't quite go our way. Barnet had a stinker and Halifax should have won only to lose to a late goal in the end. Hopefully I can end the month on a high though as I have 7 bets including some strong selections among them. Previews to follow Barrow v Maidenhead I know Maidenhead have one of the best away records in the league, but I think they have been flattered by their good start and they are beginning to find their natural place in the table. Their last 2 away games have seen a draw at Wrexham and a loss at Barnet and that trend is also in their overall form. They have now not won in 5 games and go to a side in Barrow who are flying at the moment. After beating Yeovil in a live game last month they then failed to win in their next 4 games picking up just a point, but they were playing well and only losing games by the odd goal. They have now won their last 4 and they have scored 3 goals in each of their last 3 games. With Maidenhead only keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 9 games then Barrow will surely be adding to their goals total here. They look a big price at 6/4 to win this. Dover v Halifax As mentioned above Halifax should have won on Tuesday night, but in the end a late Harrogate goal meant they didn't even end up with a point. They look a big price though to beat a Dover side who have only managed to pick up 5 points from their 6 home games so far this season. That includes draws against struggling Ebbsfleet and Chorley so Halifax should pose a much stiffer test. It is annoying that the only time I have tipped Dover away from home this season was the one time they haven't won on their travels this season, but it is clear that Dover at home and Dover away from home are two very different sides. Halfiax have looked strong away from home and I just can't see how they can be nearly 3/1 to win this as I would have them around the 7/4 mark myself. This game is the live BT Sport one on Saturday teatime. Billericay v Dorking Granted it was very poor from Dorking to lose to a side two leagues below them in the FA Cup last Saturday especially given Tooting ended up with 10 men, but this game looks a decent chance to bounce straight back. They have won their last 3 league games and a 3-1 win over Maidstone was a top effort. I suspect everyone reading this knows what has happened at Billericay so I won't go back over it, but they could only manage 5 subs (allowed 7) in their FA Cup game and they only scraped a 1-0 win. One of those subs was new manager Jamie O'Hara who was meant to have retired. More players have left the club this week and although as I type the likes of Jake Robinson are still there, they have been weakened. Dorking are above Billericay in the table as well and we are dealing with a different Billericay from the side who had won 4 of their 5 home league games so far. At over 3/1 the away side seem a sporting play in the circumstances. Eastbourne v Chelmsford Two sides who are under performing so far this season especially the away team whose fans aren't happy with the way things have gone. Their away form has been especially bad as they have only picked up 1 point so far in 5 away games The also lost at Corinthian-Casuals in the FA Cup last weekend and they haven't even managed to win a game in the league below. Including that FA Cup game they have conceded twice 3 times and let in 4 twice. Given all that I just can't understand how bookies can make Chelmsford favs to win this. I accept Eastbourne aren't doing great themselves, but they have only lost one of their last 5 league matches and beat Tonbridge in the FA Cup last weekend. They should be favs to win this so 15/8 is well worth taking. Gloucester City v Guiseley I am backing my own team again here as I just don't see how they can be 5/2 to win this. Having seen them in the flesh against Kings Lynn two weeks ago I was impressed with what I saw and they were within seconds of being the first team to win at Kings Lynn for a long time. Granted Kings Lynn deserved the point, but Gloucester held their own against a team who have started the season very strongly and look at this stage to be certain to finish in the play-offs. Beating Guiseley won't be easy as they have done well themselves this season, but their only away wins so far have come against two of the worst sides in the league Bradford Park Avenue and Blyth. That points to Gloucester having a decent chance and I would make them a point shorter to win. Spennymoor v Kidderminster My strongest bet of the season so far. I know Kiddie have only lost once away this season in the league, but they have had a very kind fixture list so far. They have beaten Bradford, Curzon and Kettering and drew to Blyth. They are currently the bottom 4 clubs in the division. Now Spennymoor are 5th from bottom, but they have clearly been suffering from a play-off final defeat hangover (like Fylde in the league above) and they are much better than a bottom 5 side for me. They have only lost one of their last 6 league games so the signs are there that they will be rising up the table. Kidderminster look a long way from being a side capable of mounting a play-off challenge this season and I would put a lot of money on Spennymoor finishing above them come the end of April. Losing 3-0 at Stafford in the FA Cup replay on Tuesday was another shocker and of course they have had to play an extra game compared to the home side. I am really strong on the home side here and they should be odds on shots in my view. Buxton v South Shields I was very surprised to see South Shields at odds against to win this. The title favourites have only lost won game this season and have won all bar one of the others. Compare this to Buxton who have yet to win and have picked up just 3 points in their first 8 games. Odds against looks a steal to be honest and it will be a surprise if this isn't an away win. Barrow 2pts @ 6/4 with BetVictor Halifax 1pt @149/50 with Marathon Dorking 1pt @ 16/5 with BetVictor Eastbourne 1pt @ 15/8 with Marathon Gloucester 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365 Spennymoor 4pts @ 61/50 with Marathon South Shields 3pts @ 59/50 with Marathon
    1 point
  33. 4.00 Curragh--Innisfree 4/5 @Bet365
    1 point
  34. Matteo Berrettini (-2.5) to beat Andy Murray at 2.00 with Pinnacle Going against Murray once again. Granted, Berrettini shouldn't pose him the same fitness issues as De Minaur, but he's a better player overall and he's been crunching it for a while now. Motivation shouldn't be an issue at all and he shouldn't have too many nerves after facing both Monfils and Nadal with reasonable success in the US Open, so I think Murray is going to suffer another defeat here. He just doesn't seem to be in a competitive shape at the moment.
    1 point
  35. Football... don't you bloody love it?!
    1 point
  36. Levante vs Osasuna OK, so I'm starting to feel guilty now that punters are coming here to find our previews on the likes of Barcelona and Real Madrid in La Liga but every week we're choosing matches with the lower-placed teams. Unfortunately, this week is another case of that as we preview Levante versus Osasuna in this 5:30pm BST kick-off at the Estadi Ciutat de Valencia. Apologies but that's where the value is guys! Levante have had a satisfactory start to the season with Paco Lopez's side sat in 12th with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses from their 6 league games so far. The Frogs are going through a rough spell at the moment with no win in their last three league games. However, the two games they have lost during that run have both been away to Real Madrid and Real Betis. Neither performance was overly disappointing so they'll be hoping they can galvanise and bounce back to winning ways here. Osasuna are adjusting to life in Spain's top flight after winning the Seguna Division last season. Los Rojillos are one place behind Levante in 13th place with 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 defeat from their 6 league games up until now. It shows a resilient side that aren't familiar with the losing habit. Head coach Jagoba Arrasate saw his team lose 2-0 to Real Madrid in midweek to inflict a first defeat on the La Liga new boys. It'll be interesting to see how they approach this game knowing they now haven't won in 5 league matches. On paper, this game is actually a very close one to call. Hardly anything separates these teams in the league table but with the ELO ratings favouring a home win I also feel the wise bet is backing the hosts. Osasuna have proven hard to beat but how much will the loss in their last game affect their confidence? Levante are a team that are very tough at home so I think I'll just favour an outright home win over a draw no bet wager. Levante to Win @ 2.22 with Marathonbet Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.94 with Unibet
    1 point
  37. Nimes vs St Etienne Ligue 1 continues to thrill and excite this season with the table still very tightly congested after 7 league games. Our preview this week takes in the clash between Nimes and St Etienne at the Stade des Costieres for a 4pm BST kick-off this Sunday afternoon. Can the home team build on their solid start to the season or will the visiting team manage to start turning their poor start around? Nimes had a positive finish last season to end up 9th in Ligue 1 last season. Head coach Bernard Blaquart will want to see his team bounce back after the midweek loss away to Montpellier. It was a disappointment after the Crocodiles delivered a successful tip for us last weekend in their 1-0 win at home against Toulouse when we backed them to seal victory. Hopefully, they'll do the same again here. Back-to-back wins with two consecutive clean sheets at home is encouraging reading. St Etienne are in complete disarray. The club is clearly suffering from the dreaded Europa League hangover after finishing 4th in Ligue 1 last season and being involved in the Europa League group stage this year. An opening round 3-2 loss away to Belgian side KAA Gent won't have helped their disheartened spirits at all. No win in the last 6 league games for Ghislain Printant's side is also worrying. Oh, how the fans would long to have Jean-Louis Gasset back out of retirement. I simply don't back St Etienne to win a game at the moment. The transition period that inevitably had to happen after Gasset's retirement isn't going smoothly. The Europa League distraction won't have helped and against this Nimes side that look defensively sound at home I think they'll struggle to take anything from this game. I'm going to have to back a home win. Nimes to Win @ 2.37 with Bet365 Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.96 with Marathonbet @Pep004, @sodabrab, @giraldi, @Magic0024, @allthethings, @DrO, @malabgd, @Xcout, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @FCNA, @silver fox, @thinkpink63, @TOTTI3, @Warbirds, and @canaries91, are you guys betting on the Ligue 1 action this weekend?
    1 point
  38. Leyton Orient v Port Vale (X) 3.50 Macclesfield v Colchester (X) 3.50 Morecambe v Northampton (X) 3.50 10 points treble please. Cheers.
    1 point
  39. Ok, I’ll have a bash. The answers are “no” and “no, it doesn’t”. What in that garbled nonsense of a post suggests the seeds of a promising strategy? Might as well say do 30 lines on the lottery every week. Best guess is it’s suggesting have 30 goes at calling btts for all 10 EPL games, unless it’s suggesting perms of some sort. As the OP hasn’t posted anything beyond those words of wisdom I’d treat the concept with a large pinch of salt and an enormous barge pole.
    1 point
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