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  1. A small loss on Tuesday night which would have seen a decent profit if Braintree had held on to their 2-1 lead against 10 men. The FA Cup means we only have the 3 National League's to focus on this weekend and I have 4 bets. Aldershot v Barrow This match nearly didn't make the cut, but in the end I do think Aldershot are worthy of a bet on Saturday. They haven't won at home yet, but only just lost to Fylde and Bromley and then have picked up points against Halifax and Sutton. Given the way Halifax are playing that was an especially good point. This looks a reasonable opportunity to pick up 3 points at home for the first time this season as Barrow are struggling this term especially on the road where they have only picked up a point. To be fair they have had some tough away games having gone to Wrexham, Stockport and Woking and they have only lost by 1 goal on each occasion. That nearly put me off Aldershot, but I don't think there is a great deal between these two sides and Aldershot had the Tuesday off which will have helped as well. I would have them around 11/8 so the fact they have drifted to 179/100 with Marathon makes them a bet for me. Boreham Wood v Dover I am really keen on Dover here and they look the best bet of the weekend for me. I mentioned on Bank Holiday Monday that Boreham Wood haven't won at home since January and they duly lost to Ebbsfleet albeit they did have 10 men for most of the game. They then went to Chorley and won 3-1 in the live game, but Chorley pretty much gifted them the game so I don't think it said much about them and they then went and lost at Eastleigh on Tuesday night. Dover are having a good season and they have won all 4 away games so far. They drew at home to Ebbsfleet on Tuesday but they should have won and they look potential play-off contenders this season. To me this game has been priced up if the teams are of similar ability, but I would make Dover clear favourites for this and the 17/10 with Bet365 is well worth taking in my view. Chorley v Stockport As I mentioned above and on Tuesday night, Chorley look a long way short of this level at the moment and it is hard to see them getting anything out of this game. These two sides battled it out for the National League North title last year and Chorley did beat Stockport late on although they did lose the title to them in the end. This season though the two teams look miles apart. Stockport weren't great in their opening day defeat to Maidenhead, but they have done nothing but improve since and have lost just once since. They have had two good wins against Wrexham and AFC Fylde in their last two matches and they really should be beating Chorley on everything both teams have done this season. Stockport have scored in every game bar the Maidenhead one and given how leaky Chorley's defence is they should surely by adding to their goal tally here. I would make them odds on so the 6/5 with William Hill and Betway is well worth taking. Gloucester City v Darlington I have written on here this season about my own teams superb away from in recent seasons especially under their current manager although since they beat Kidderminster they have lost their next 3 away games. I do think they are extenuating circumstances though as all those have been on a Tuesday or Bank Holiday Monday when the players have come on the back of a tough home game. Blowing a 2 goal lead at AFC Telford wasn't great on Tuesday night, but there is cause for thinking they are a big price on Saturday. Firstly their home performances have been strong this season despite the fact they have only won one. They played well with 10 and then 9 men against Hereford, drew with Altrincham, beat Boston 3-0 and then pushed York close last week when leading 2-1 at one stage. On paper this is their easiest game so far at home and Darlington come to Evesham struggling for fit and available players. They have only managed to pick up 1 point away from home so far this season and beating bottom of the table Blyth 2-1 on Wednesday night didn't say a lot. I would make Gloucester favourites for this and I really can't understand why they have drifted out to 2/1 with Bet365. Alderhshot 1pt @ 179/100 with Marathon Dover 3pts @ 17/10 with Bet365 Stockport 2.5pts @ 6/5 with William Hill and Betway Gloucester City 2pts @ 2/1 with Bet365
    4 points
  2. CzechPunter

    US Open 2019

    Elina Svitolina (+1.5 sets) to beat Serena Williams at 1.93 with Pinnacle This should finally give Williams some problems after she had none in her previous match and it's also the only bet that I like for today. Svitolina has been surprisingly solid so far, none of her usual tantrum sets have appeared, and she's had zero issues dealing with the power of Keys and Venus. It's not going to be easy with all the pressure, but Serena isn't particularly threatening at the moment on pure tennis quality and has had the much easier draw of the two so far.
    3 points
  3. ProfessorMJ

    NFL 2019/20

    WEEK #1 Written Wednesday September 4th, 2019 at 2 PM Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed) PICK: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 vs Kansas City Chiefs (rated 3 stars) Lots of people are in the Chiefs bandwagon. If you look at their roster, they are indeed very good. Patrick Mahomes is super exciting to watch. And so are their speedy receivers, namely Tyreek Hill. I’m also looking forward to seeing their new toy, rookie Mecole Hardman. I’ve heard good reports from camp about him. Nobody is underestimating Kansas City. Everybody expects them to be great. But I believe many people are underestimating Jacksonville. The general public remembers their dreadful 2018 season where they finished 5-11. But don’t forget they went 10-6 the year before, thanks to a suffocating defense. They still have many players from that edition in their roster. The QB situation has obviously improved with the arrival of Nick Foles, a very smart guy. Running back Leonard Fournette is also back after missing half the season, and battling through injuries when he was on the field. He says he is “100 percent better.” Jacksonville will also be looking to avenge a 30-14 loss in Kansas City last season. I subscribed to the weekly newsletter sent by the Sports Interaction sportsbook. In this week’s letter that I just received, they mention getting 90% of the action on the Chiefs versus just 10% on the Jags. As a contrarian, I love it! LEAN: Detroit Lions -2.5 at Arizona Cardinals The Kyler Murray era is about to begin in Arizona! The fans should be excited, but there might be some growing pains, especially early in the season. Give him some time to adjust to the NFL speed. On the other side, you’ve got an experience signal caller with Matthew Stafford, who is entering his 11th season in the league. The betting public tends to focus too much on each team’s offensive weapons; they don’t take the defense and the offensive line into account enough, in my humble opinion. That being said, footballguys.com is a great website that has a lot of valuable information on the NFL. I trust them a lot, as I have used them many times when doing fantasy football. They are ranking Arizona’s defense 26th in the league, while their offensive line gets the 30th rank. Ouch. Not only do the Cards have a new QB, but they also have a rookie head coach, Kliff Kingsbury. He will also need time to feel more comfortable with his new duties. Finally, based on odds for the number of regular season wins, the Lions are expected to get about 6.5 victories this year compared to 5.0 for the Cards. And that’s despite Detroit playing in a tougher division. Best of luck with your plays, fellows! Professor MJ
    3 points
  4. 445l the groove 10/1 bet365
    2 points
  5. Salisbury: 3.10 Snow Shower please. Thanks.
    2 points
  6. MaliMisko12

    US Open 2019

    Berretini played very well but he have problem with some kind of mental issue or otherwise when he is serving for match he started to have unforced errors,at other hand I think Nadal will have problem with his forehand,we all know Nadal with Djokovic one of the best defense players but if Nadal let Berretini to lead the tempo of the game he will have huge problem,also Berretini likes a lot to slice the ball nearly baseline to break opponent rhythm and when opponent return ball little bit high then tennis net its like to watch Juan Martin Del Potro.Serve is also good trough whole US Open rounds so I dont see why he cant at least take a set from Nadal if they will play against each other
    2 points
  7. ProfessorMJ

    NFL 2019/20

    Who will win the NFC East division during the 2019 NFL regular season? This sports betting article explores whether you should bet the Eagles, the Cowboys, the Redskins or the Giants to win their division this year. Which team has odds to win the division that offers value to savvy sports investors like you? Below are the best odds on each team among Pinnacle, Sports Interaction, Bookmaker, BetOnline, Bet365 and William Hill (as of August 26th, 2019): EAGLES +100 (Sports Interaction and Bet365) COWBOYS +210 (BetOnline) REDSKINS +1830 (Bookmaker) GIANTS +1850 (Bookmaker) First of all, let me point out an interesting fact: If you bet the best possible odds for each of the four teams, you can make a guaranteed profit here! This is what’s called “Arbitrage Betting” (I wrote a full article about this topic – click here for details). Here is how you might want to structure your bets in order to net a surefire profit: Best odds Risking Potential return EAGLES +100 $1,000.00 $2,000 COWBOYS +210 $645.16 $2,000 REDSKINS +1830 $103.63 $2,000 GIANTS +1850 $102.56 $2,000 One of those teams is going to win the AFC East, right? That means you are guaranteed to cash one of those four $2,000 tickets. How much did you risk overall? The answer: $1,000.00 + $645.16 + $103.63 + $102.56 = $1,851.35. Conclusion: your 100% guaranteed profit reaches $2,000 - $1,851.35 = $148.65 !!! This also means at least one of those teams represents a good bet. Which one(s)? Let me answer this vital question. a) New York Giants outlook I believe the Giants are as likely to win the division as I am to win the lottery. And I don’t buy lottery tickets. Ever. This is basically a one-player show with Saquon Barkley. He is awesome and very exciting to watch! However, Eli Manning is getting old and he looked like he couldn’t throw more than 10 yards down the field last season. He kept dumping short passes, which made the job easier for opposing defensive coordinators. Add the fact that Odell Beckham was traded and Golden Tate is suspended for the first four games, and you can smell trouble in the Big Apple. Their defense, which ranked 24th in total yards allowed last season, will field many new starters, which might take time to jell. Overall, there is not much hope to win the division and I would certainly stay away from the Giants. b) Washington Redskins outlook WOW, did you see the difference between Bookmaker’s odds and the other sportsbooks? You can bet Washington to win the division at +1830 with Bookmaker, while the next-best odds are +900. In other words, that’s as if Bookmaker claims the Skins have one chance out of 19 to win the NFC East, while the others believe it’s more like one chance out of 10. That’s a huge difference. While I don’t necessarily believe the Redskins will win this division, I believe it could be a smart move to drop a bit of money on them at odds +1830 or higher. To me, there is no reason to have the Giants and Redskins on the same level. Washington has a much better defense. The quarterback battle involves three guys: Case Keenum, rookie Dwayne Haskins and Colt McCoy. The latter is hurt for a few weeks, and he just plain sucks. Keenum is more conservative and has more experience. He should be the week 1 starter. He did pretty well with the Vikings a couple of years ago, but he was mediocre in his other seasons, including last year in Denver where he threw 18 TDs versus 15 interceptions. Haskins will probably get the nod at some point in the season. One more potential problem: left tackle Trent Williams is still holding out and is telling people he’s prepared to sit out the entire season. c) Dallas Cowboys outlook I’m not completely sold on Dak Prescott, nor Amari Cooper. In my opinion, Cooper overachieved after he joined the Cowboys last year. He was spectacular and I don’t think he will replicate that success in 2019. He also has a mysterious foot injury that might impact his play. And then there’s also the Ezekiel Elliott holdout situation that adds more uncertainty. He wasn’t pleased with some recent comments made by owner Jerry Jones. Even if he signs a deal tomorrow, missing all of training camp and all preseason games isn’t ideal. Timing is important in football and you get that from playing with your teammates. I like the addition of Randall Cobb though (if he can stay healthy!). Dallas’ defense finished 7th in terms of yards allowed last season, and it should be solid again. The Cowboys won 9 games by one possession or less (i.e. 7 points or less). They might not win as many close games this year so I expect a dropoff, especially considering the Elliott issue and Cooper over delivering last year. d) Philadelphia Eagles outlook The Eagles posted a 9-7 record last season, but they finished very strong by winning 5 of their past 6 meetings to sneak into the playoffs as a wildcard team. They even won a playoff game at Chicago before being eliminated in New Orleans after grabbing a 14-0 lead. They were really hard to beat down the wire. Also remember that Philadelphia posted a great 13-3 record the year before. Quarterback Carson Wentz was spectacular that year with a 33 TDs to 7 interceptions ratio. He had a bit of a down year in 2018, but I think there is a non-negligible chance that he goes back to his 2017 form. If he does, watch out! Keep in mind that he was coming back from a reconstructed knee; that probably caused his down year in 2018. If Wentz stays healthy, this is definitely a top-5 unit. They have a lot of firepower. Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz are all back, and the Eagles added wide receiver DeSean Jackson to fill the big-play role and running back Jordan Howard who had three good seasons in Chicago. Jackson is the perfect complement to Jeffery, who is more of an underneath receiver. Don’t sleep on rookie running back Miles Sanders. If you haven’t heard from him yet, you will this season. He has looked great in camp and could even grab the number one role. The defense is very good, too. Fletcher Cox and Malik Jackson are two beasts on the interior of the line. Final Pick – 2019 NFC East champion My favorite play here is Philadelphia at +100 odds (2.0 in decimal format). They have a solid and experienced team all-around. I also like their head coach’s aggressiveness. In today’s NFL, if you don’t take chances, you are doomed. Just stay away from the Giants and the Cowboys. I don’t believe their lines provide any value. However, taking a gamble on the Redskins at +1830 odds or higher could be a smart decision that might pay off big-time. One more interesting aspect of this bet is that it offers you some protection in case Carson Wentz gets injured and the Eagles come crashing down. If the Eagles don’t win this division, I would be thrilled to have taken a gamble on the Redskins at such astronomic odds! Best of luck! Professor MJ
    1 point
  8. It went through my mind but when you can back them at odds against to just win the game then I am happy with that. Wouldn’t put anyone off though if they do want to go for glory.
    1 point
  9. ProfessorMJ

    NFL 2019/20

    Interesting. The odds are indeed a bit high. Thanks for pointing that out!
    1 point
  10. Sir Puntalot

    NFL 2019/20

    Thanks for opening the thread @harry_rag and I've merged @ProfessorMJ posts into this main thread. Looking to get an in house contributor for NFL very shortly.
    1 point
  11. harry_rag

    NFL 2019/20

    My opening salvo was to stick the tenner allowed on Hill's 4/1 for a 65+ yard field goal to be made this season. Would be a new record but seems a big enough price to me for a season long interest. Will have a look at a few other season long bets and post if any seem worthwhile. Beyond that, I'm more likely to have the occasional punt on TD scorers than anything else. Any more for any more? Good luck with your bets.
    1 point
  12. harry_rag

    NFL 2019/20

    A thread for any bets on this season. @ProfessorMJ has already posted his thoughts in a few threads, but it might better if we gather in a single thread, based on the sporadic nature of last season's posts. I'll have the occasional bet but am unlikely to post week in, week out.
    1 point
  13. Capecross

    Standard Times

    sorry, new to this, it won't happen again
    1 point
  14. Snert

    Naps - Thursday Sept 5th

    Salisbury 4.10 Goodnight Girl e/w 12/1 betvictor
    1 point
  15. Its £60.34 Bagzi, its not difficult
    1 point
  16. The defeat of Greece in a 3-2 home defeat to Armenia led to the team's technical leadership, with Anastasiadis leaving and Dutch van Spiech succeeding him. The latter appeared optimistic about today's match in Finland, but also about the continuation of the tournament, trying to boost the morale of his players. For their part, the Finnish hosts are nine points ahead of our four and the important thing for Greece is to stand upright today. FINLAND vs GREECE @@ +0.50 Asian handicap GREECE, odds 1.70
    1 point
  17. We have not been playing well @StevieDay1983 and Bullen appears to have run out of ideas like he did last time he was caretaker manager. I'm quite excited by this and hope Chansiri doesn't mess it up.
    1 point
  18. About Glory 4.00 Bath - 9/2 Bet365
    1 point
  19. 19:15 Chelmsford City: Desert Fire @ 11/2 Bet365
    1 point
  20. Bath 4.00 About Glory EW 22-1. paddy power
    1 point
  21. 1600 Bath About Glory ew 25/1 @ bet365 Furthest traveller at Bath, dropping down handicap and decent jockey booked
    1 point
  22. 1600 Bath About Glory 25/1 Bet365
    1 point
  23. BillyHills

    Naps : Tues Sept 3rd

    4:25 Goodwood Themaxwecan 11/8 bet365
    1 point
  24. Howlongisafoot 1.50 Uttoxeter (E.Way 33/1 Bet365) Once an expensive inmate of Champion trainer Paul Nicholls, Howlongisafoot ran in chases off a rating 141 (November 2015). Those days are now well behind him. He now runs in a hurdle race off just 77. Regularly pulled up recently, you will have to go back to September 2018 to see his last placed effort and his last win was July 2018. If he wanted to win this race he could.
    1 point
  25. BillyHills

    Naps - Monday Sep 2nd

    5:05 Brighton Wiley Post 15/8 bet365
    1 point
  26. 8.15 Kempton - El Misk (7/4 Bet365)
    1 point
  27. Procalc

    Naps - Monday Sep 2nd

    BUG BOY (4.45 Chepstow)
    1 point
  28. bosou

    Naps - Monday Sep 2nd

    6.50 Roscommon Winiata 9/2 sky
    1 point
  29. Xtc12

    Naps - Monday Sep 2nd

    18.00 Windsor - Harry Hurricane - 1 pt win @ 4/1 (bog)
    1 point
  30. UBET10

    Naps - Monday Sep 2nd

    BLUE VENTURE----1.45---CHEPSTOW 10/1---SKYBET---EACH WAY
    1 point
  31. LEE-GRAYS

    Naps - Monday Sep 2nd

    chepstow 3.45 bungee jump 6/1 bet365 e/w
    1 point
  32. Windsor Monday 16:55 Were Reunited 8/1 EW Bet Victor
    1 point
  33. Rainbow

    Naps - Sunday Sept 1st

    3.00 Brighton RED ALERT 1pt win 8/1 Bet365 BOG
    1 point
  34. ProfessorMJ

    NFL 2019/20

    Which team is going to be crowned NFC North champions in 2019? Should you bet the Bears, the Vikings, the Packers or the Lions to win their division this year? Below are the best odds on each team among Pinnacle, Sports Interaction, Bookmaker, BetOnline, Bet365 and William Hill (as of August 26th, 2019): Bears +200 (BetOnline) Vikings +225 (William Hill) Packers +240 (Bookmaker) Lions +1556 (Bookmaker) a) Chicago Bears outlook Based on the linesmakers, the Bears are favored to repeat as NFC North champions for the second year in a row. I am not drinking the Chicago Kool-aid. I see some similarities between the 2017 Jacksonville Jaguars and the 2018 Chicago Bears. Both had stout defenses that really dominated their opponents. The 2017 Jags allowed just 16.8 points per game, while the 2018 Bears gave up an average of 17.7 points/game. Also, both teams had an “okay” quarterback. Bortles had a 21-to-13 TD-to-INT ratio in 2017 compared to 24-to-12 for Trubisky last year. So what happened to Jacksonville following that superb and surprising 2017 season? They finished with a 5-11 record. Don’t get me wrong; I’m not saying the Bears will end 2019 with the same disappointing record. However, I do expect them to regress quite a bit. Their defense played awesome last season; I just don’t see how they can be as good this year. They may not perform the same, or they could suffer injuries. Also, former defensive coordinator Vic Fangio left for Denver; the transition to a new coordinator may not be smooth. In other words, it’s much more likely they will regress than get even better. As for Mitch Trubisky, he has not convinced me yet that he is a good quarterback. And their offense lost running back Jordan Howard who rushed for more than 900 yards in each of the past three seasons with the Bears. Tarik Cohen is a great change-of-pace runner, but I don’t believe he can play full-time, especially with his small frame. They will need either Mike Davis or rookie David Montgomery to step up. The Bears also have issues at the kicker position. Eddy Pineiro is the lone kicker left, but he hasn’t locked the job yet. Therefore, overall I feel like the Bears are being overrated by the betting public, and I would stay away from them as favorites to win the NFC North in 2019. b) Minnesota Vikings outlook Prior to the 2018 season, many experts picked them to go to the Super Bowl. Their defense was expected to dominate and the arrival of quarterback Kirk Cousins was good news. Their defense did fairly well by finishing 9th in terms of points allowed and 4th in yards allowed. But to be honest, more was expected from them. They under delivered and, unlike the Bears defense, I believe there is room for improved play. I also like their very balanced attack. Despite criticism, QB Kirk Cousins still finished 2018 with 30 touchdown passes versus 10 interceptions. He has possibly the best WR duo in the league with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Tight end Kyle Rudolph is also back; he has been a steady guy by catching at least 49 passes in each of his past four seasons, while not missing a single game during that 4-year period! They have also added rookie TE Irv Smith out of Alabama as their second-round pick in the draft. The guy that most people are overlooking is running back Dalvin Cook. I believe this will be his breakout season. He has shown great flashes in his first two seasons, but injuries have plagued him. He has carried the ball just two times in the first three preseason games. One of these two rushes ended up as an 85-yard touchdown run. He is explosive and can also catch the ball well out of the backfield. I also like how Minnesota solidified its offensive line by drafting Garrett Bradbury in the first round. Still, the OL play is one of the few question marks regarding this team. Overall, I do like their chances of winning this division. c) Green Bay Packers outlook The relationship between Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy was not good at all. I read reports about how they basically never spoke to each other. Rodgers will probably be very motivated to show McCarthy was responsible for the disappointing 6-9-1 record last season. However, I’m a bit wary of teams working with new coaches, new schemes, new game plans. Continuity is an important key to success in the NFL. Matt LaFleur may or may not turn out to be a good head coach, but it takes time to adapt to changes. Also, Rodgers is not surrounded by as much talent as he used to be. Randall Cobb is gone, so Green Bay will need Valdes-Scantling to step up his game as the number two guy behind Davante Adams. Tight end Jimmy Graham was a big disappointment last year with just two TD receptions. Now at age 32, can he really step up his game? At least they have some continuity on the offensive line, with four returning starters. That’s good news for Aaron Rodgers. I also like what I saw from running back Aaron Jones. He is a good back, but has missed time in each of his first two seasons in the NFL. He must stay healthy because the Packers are far from being loaded at this position… The defense was average at best in 2018. They need to rush the passer more efficiently. They lost Clay Matthews, whose play was declining anyway, but signed linebackers Preston Smith from Washington and Za’Darius Smith from Baltimore. I like the signing of safety Adrian Amos, who has been a consistent contributor with the Bears. Also remember that the Packers released Mike Daniels, who was a solid defensive lineman. I did not like the Packers’ two first round selections, Rashan Gary and Darnell Savage, as I thought there were better alternatives available. Time will tell whether the Packers made good picks or not. Overall, the talent level around Aaron Rodgers is below average, and there are question marks surrounding Green Bay’s defense. I would have considered betting them to win the division if their odds had been higher, but since they are close to Chicago’s and Minnesota’s, I am staying away from them. d) Detroit Lions outlook Matthew Stafford is entering his 11th season with the Lions. He consistently gets decent stats, but he is not a game-changer and is not viewed as a winner. The talent around him is okay, albeit not great. It will be interesting to see how stud rookie TE T.J. Hockenson does in his first season in the NFL; he has looked great in camp thus far. He and Jesse James should be a solid tight end duo. The Lions signed defensive linemen Mike Daniels from Green Bay and Trey Flowers from New England. Detroit did a good job against the run last year, and it should continue to be the case in 2019. However, the pass defense is likely to be a liability. In today’s NFL where passing gets more importance, it will end up costing Detroit many wins. In conclusion, the Lions don’t stand much of a chance to win this very tough division, where the other three teams are playoff contenders. Final pick – 2019 NFC North champion I am writing off the Lions right off the bat. They are an average team with not that much potential upside. Matthew Stafford won’t suddenly transform himself into Tom Brady. We know what to expect from him, which is decent but not spectacular play. The remaining three teams have odds that are fairly similar, so it goes down to determining which team is the best in the group. My pick goes to the Vikings at +225 odds (i.e. 3.25 in decimal format). They have a well-balanced attack and a defense that finished in the top 10 in terms of points allowed in each of the past four years. Meanwhile, I expect the Bears to come back to reality and the Packers to go through some bumps after hiring a new coach and fielding a team with average talent on both sides of the ball. Enjoy the season and good luck with your plays! Professor MJ
    1 point
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