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** July Naps Competition Result: 1st Gary66, 2nd BBBC, 3rd kenisbusy, 4th Johnrobertson. KO Cup Winner tonythepaint. Most Winners Budgie65: **

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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/08/2019 in all areas

  1. I didn't do too badly with picking out games that would be on last week, but sadly Stockport were the only winners although at least they kept losses down given the big price they were. Dorking came good in mid-week which pretty much covered Saturday's losses. No weather issues this weekend so unlike the horse racing everything should be on. Aldershot v Eastleigh Aldershot holding Dagenham to a draw was costly a couple of weeks ago, but I think there is value in opposing them again here. I wrote in that preview that Dagenham should only need 1 goal and it wasn't quite enough in the end, but the fact remains that Aldershot aren't heavy scorers and there is every chance Eastleigh again will only need 1 goal. Eastleigh's away form had been strong and then they only got 1 point in 4 away league games, but they bounced back a couple of weeks ago when winning at Bromley. They are in play-off contention and I'm still not sure that Waddock is going to be able to keep Aldershot up. Chesterfield v Halifax I shouldn't have given up on backing the draw in Chesterfield games as in the league they have drawn 4 of their 7 games since they beat Salford which was the last time I backed the draw in their matches. Those 4 have come in their last 5 and the win was only against Aldershot. They were poor in the FA Trophy last weekend and although it might not have been a priority it was still concerning they lost to Brackley so easily. Halifax have drawn their last 5 games and you can add another two if looking at their last 9 league matches. The stats clearly tell you that the draw is value here and it has to be worth a play. Wrexham v Dagenham & Redbridge God knows what is going on at Wrexham as yet again losing their manager to the Football League looks set to derail their efforts to get into the Football League. Last season they imploded when Keates left and this season things have gone downhill after Sam Ricketts move. To be fair that's not entirely true as they continued in good form to start with, but since the turn of the year they have been desperate losing 4 on the bounce and managing to only beat a Maidenhead side who managed 1 shot the whole game, 1-0. Another managerial change has happened and inexperience Bryan Hughes has come in. Apparently he is looking to improve their attacking which goes without saying given they struggle for goals. All the upheaval can't be good though and Dagenham have the potential to punish them. I really do have a love/hate relationship with Dagenham this season, but 19/5 really is too big a price to not back them here. Nuneaton v Boston (National League North) Pretty safe to say that Nuneaton will be playing Step 3 football next season and despite being taken over things still don't seem great off the pitch. On the pitch they have won just once at home all season and they have picked up just 2 points in their last 8 games. Boston are on the edge of the play-offs and they are pretty solid away from home this season and only lost 1-0 at Spennymoor in their last away game. That is their only defeat in their last 5 matches as well and an odds against quote looks too big for me here. Hyde United v Matlock (Evo-Stik Northern Premier) Not only have Matlock won just 4 games on the road this season they are in poor form overall. They have picked up just two points in their last 6 games and although they are only just behind their hosts in the table they are clearly struggling of late. Hyde have been in good form of late and take out the loss to Bamber Bridge their last 9 league matches have seen good performances even in the other two games they have lost which have come against good sides. They look a bet at 6/5. Spennymoor v Bradford Park Avenue & North Ferriby v Workington The BPA game got called off last week, but they are worth opposing here against a bang in form Spennymoor side who have won their last 4 league matches and have lost just two of their last 10. BPA have only 2 points in their last 6 games and as I pointed out last week they have let players go as it looks like the club don't really want promotion. The home side have gone odds on now, but I think they are worth doubling up with Workington. Now Workington are 1 from bottom and North Ferriby are bottom in the Evo-Stik Northern Premier, but it really should be an away win. North Ferriby have won 2 lost 22 and have a goal difference of -51. Workington are showing signs of possibly being able to stay up and they do have games in hand to help as well. North Ferriby have lost 9 on the bounce and have conceded at least twice in all of them. Workington have won their last 2 and only lost on of their last 4. This is a must win game for them if they are going to stay up whereas North Ferriby know their fate already. The double pays 257/100 with Marathon. Eastleigh 1pt @ 17/10 with Marathon & William Hill Chesterfield v Halifax draw 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365 Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 19/5 with Betfred Boston 2pts @ 53/50 with Marathon Hyde United 2pts @ 6/5 with BetVictor Spennymoor/Workington 1pt double @ 257/100 with Marathon
    4 points
  2. Is this the weekend where we finally avoid the sword of Daggercles, Dagenhamcles, Dag-cles...
    4 points
  3. hi @StevieDay1983 watched with a mate who supports the wrong team conversation went something like: what do you think of wilder? can't stand him what do you think of billy sharp? hate him but his mrs has big tits I've heard did 3-2 either way so was happy with 2 mins to go but didn't work out
    2 points
  4. Confirmed that Zaha will be available for West Ham game. James Tomkins will be absent and his centre-back partnership with Mamadou Sakho is key for Palace so I like BTTS & Over 2.5 even more now and I think the prices may have gotten bigger in a couple of places since my original post.
    2 points
  5. Sad to hear that actor Albert Finney has died. Apart from being a fine actor he was a big racing man who used to have horses in training with John Sutcliffe. He was also one of the relatively few people who probably made good money from his interest because at the end of the racing career of American Triple Crown winner Seattle Slew he bought in to the breeding syndicate and was well rewarded by the rise in bloodstock prices in the late 70s and early 80s and Slew's success as a stallion
    2 points
  6. Marton Fucsovics advance to the SF with a walkover.
    2 points
  7. 630 dund The game of life 277 Aussie valentine 276 These 2 are quite a bit clear of next horse so I'll try wins and forecast The game of life 10pts win 2.7 betfair Aussie valentine 2pts win 14.0 betfair 1 pt rev forecast
    2 points
  8. Good luck all Looks a good line up this month
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  9. I expect both Arsenal and Manchester United winning their matches. I've been always a bit doubtful about "old fashion" coaches and even though he made some big things in EPL, or maybe even the biggest, I think that he won't save Fulham. Well, actually I think that he was a pretty wrong choice for Fulham, but well... Is anyone here close to Fulham? How are training sessions etc.? Because I think they have a pretty decent squad...
    1 point
  10. And please, I don't want to hear about Inter Milan being the coupon killers, I put them in just for the sick thrill of it all.
    1 point
  11. Can't really argue with your Milan selections this week @StevieDay1983, I think they can start to make progress with the signings of Paqueta and Piatek. Cagliari are poor on the road. I've actually got Milan in a Lehmanesque 'too big to fail' acca this week: Roma, Manchester Utd, Liverpool, Inter Milan, Juventus & AC Milan @ 11.84 Marathonbet
    1 point
  12. @ElPrincipito007 I like Belgium, in 888 is still paid at 1.80 (i should not take this if goes under 1.80). Mertens and Van Uytvanck will be the players to play the single matches, for sure. About France Garcia will play for sure and I think that Mladenovic will be the other one (her win-loss record in the Fed Cup is 20-9 with a 9-7 in singles). I think Belgium can win this without going to the doubles match. Garcia is in a bad shape and Mladenovic is still worse. Garcia is still dangerous but I think that Mertens and Van Uytvanck will win the other French player and I hardly can see Garcia winning her two matches (considering her last matches she can lose any of her 2 matches, especially against Mertens of course). I don’t know if I am overrating Van Uytvanck but I like her, I think that she is very good (she’s not getting good results but in this surface she’s dangerous). I also like USA to win over Australia but the odds now are a little bit low Bautista walkover has killed me..
    1 point
  13. Pablo Cuevas to beat (-1.5 sets) Aljaz Bedene at 2.75 with Unibet Pablo is his usual self this week. Aljaz hasn't been impressive to start this season and he lost 3-0 in Roland Garros to Pablo last season and Pablo wasn't even good last season so that result is very worrying for Aljaz. Pablo has been steamrolling in first two matches. Sure he had some difficulties to find a way to break Malek Jaziris serve in first set but he routinely turned the tie-break around and needed only one setpoint to win first set and after that it was all Pablo who cruised to a straight sets win. When he beat Facundo Bagnis he didn't face any breakpoints at all but he was broken at 5-1 last match but broke serve straight after to win the match and it's excusable to get broken when you're 5-1 up and serving for the match especially when you break serve straight after. Anyways Pablo is just too solid on the South American golden swing to even lose a set to an out of form Aljaz when he's in this kind of form. Just because Aljaz beat Fabio Fog it doesn't make him an in-form player to me and even if he had decent form he could lose this in straight sets because Pablo is just too solid and whatever he does when he's serving it works for him.
    1 point
  14. I remember watching villa v leeds and villa went 2 up before losing 3-2. They seemed a bit flaky and i will try a bit of a random bet: villa leading at ht, sheff utd leading at ft 30/1 188bet
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  15. Cheers, I was just about to post that! A truly bizarre twist !
    1 point
  16. Dundalk still goes ahead up to now. We have Naas on Saturday and Punchestown on Sunday so hopefully they will give us something to look at. Dundalk 800 Sleepy Head 3/1 bet365 Finished second 3 times in the last 5 starts and been placed in five from seven since July so has a very consistent profile. His record here at Dundalk is only 2 from 12 but he is in very good form at the minute. He last won off 63 so is 4lbs below that and he reverts to 12f tonight after finishing well over a shorter trip a couple of weeks ago.
    1 point
  17. Yeah, now that the body in the plane has been confirmed as Sala I think things will get done accordingly. I'm led to believe Cardiff were reluctant to pay the first instalment on the fee until an investigation as to why he had not taken the club up on their offer of a chartered flight was carried out. I get the impression Nantes are in deep financial trouble but the timing is still appalling. They pushed for the move to happen when Sala was initially reluctant to leave but also accepted a cut price when the initial fee being touted was in excess of £20 million. Basically, if the club paid Nantes the first instalment then they wouldn't be able to claim that back if a party was responsible for organising the ill-fated flight. Now, Cardiff aren't saying Nantes were to blame or anyone in particular. They simply know the flight was taken without their knowledge. It's a messy and deeply unpleasant situation. I'm sure that the insurance will cover it but with such a large sum of money the insurance company is obviously going to go through this with a fine tooth comb and try to find any shred of evidence that someone else was to blame. In amongst it all, it's an unbelievably tragic story. It's touched me more than I thought it would. I've never met the guy. I've seen him play the odd game for Nantes, read up a lot on him, but he wasn't family or a friend. Yet the whole situation has just been really emotional and I don't know why. Maybe the family going through it all under the glare of the media spotlight has brought it all closer to us than it should have. Football stirs emotions like that though I guess. It can't be explained.
    1 point
  18. I think Berrettini has a chance of upsetting Verdasco today.Despite the AO hangover syndrome where the favourites are getting whacked this week:Fognini yesterday, Pouille Basilashvili maybe? Beating Khachanov especially on what could be considered to be his favorite surface(Indoor hard) is no small feat..I'll wait to watch the odds but a clean sweep -1.5 sets is possible.
    1 point
  19. A long period of crisis passes through the Roma and today has the chance to make a fresh start, as victories can bring peace again. Behind her is the chaotic Chievo, which is difficult to escape, being last and with a difference in the score of Campionato. "Gialloroshi" have the Champions League next Tuesday with Porto, but equally important are the championship matches if they want to play for the best time at the top inter-league event. The difference in quality with Chievo is for granted AC CHIEVO VERONA vs AS ROMA @@ AS ROMA, odds 1.60
    1 point
  20. Maybe Leverkusen is not going on in the cup as he suffered a surprise from Hainedheim, but the championship is coming from two consecutive wins, most recently with Bayern 3-1. The change in technical leadership seems to have helped in the current phase of the championship and is attempting to overtake the first four of the Bundesliga. She is currently being tested at Mainz's headquarters and if she reveals her aggressive virtues she has every chance she hopes to reach FSV MAINZ 05 vs BAYER 04 LEVERKUSEN @@ BAYER 04 LEVERKUSEN, odds 1.90
    1 point
  21. Last year's victory for Marseille last Tuesday, winning Bordeaux with 1-0. One of the toughest season of the last years is the team of Rudi Garcia, who will look for a second three-pointer on the Dijon court today. Ranking nothing has not yet been missed, as long as it is enough to respond with a good positive result from now on. Given the quality of the midfielder and may even marginally overcome the obstacle of the current opponent DIJON FCO vs OLYMPIQUE MARSEILLE @@ OLYMPIQUE MARSEILLE, odds 2.00
    1 point
  22. Roberto Bautista Agut to beat (-1.5 sets) Marton Fucsovics at 1.92 with Unibet I'll go hide away somewhere and not come back until next week if RBA doesn't win this in straight sets. Marton was a complete disaster yesterday. He may have beaten Yannick Maden but it was ugly, so ugly that I can't imagine him winning a set with that performance if he meets a player like RBA. It's goodnight Marton most likely. He's just way too erratic compared to RBA. It's like comparing the Moon with Jupiter in size, that's how I look at this matchup right now.
    1 point
  23. Portsmouth crucial absenties destroyed the stability of the team. This time Portsmouth`s lines is cut off in my opinion. Pompeys has big problem right now at the defence blocking sector. One draw and three defeats the results and Portsmouth fall in play-off positions of the table. Now coming the hungry Plymouth with four wins and one lost game and three wins in the row at home to need points for escape from the relegation zone. Smell a draw here from a long way.
    1 point
  24. Just to complicate matters further: https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11706/11630767/wilfried-zaha-handed-one-match-ban-and-fine-for-improper-conduct-at-southampton
    1 point
  25. SOFIA ATP R16 Struff vs Tsitsipas Bet on Tsitsipas -2.5 @ 1.90 The uprising 20-year-old has a H2H of 1-0 and is fast improving. He should win this match-up.
    1 point
  26. Charlton vs Southend League One offers up what appears to be a very reasonably priced home win when play-off chasing Charlton host mid-table Southend in this 3pm kick-off at The Valley this coming Saturday. Is there something I'm missing because the spread of price across the bookies is roughly 0.20 when it would seem the home win looks the best bet. Charlton are enjoying a decent season under Lee Bowyer. The Addicks are 5th place in the league and comfortably inside the play-off positions. It would take a huge drop in form to see them tail off and miss out on the top six so they can afford to look a little higher at the automatic promotion spots that are only 5 points away. Southend are all about consolidation this season. Last season's 13th place finish is being repeated with the Shrimpers in 12th place right now. Chris Powell has got a solid team together down at Roots Hall but they have become the epitome of inconsistency having lost their last two league matches but before that having lost one and won one for the previous 11 league games. It is the south east London club that dominate the head-to-head having won 8, drawn 2, and lost 1 of the last 11 meetings between these two clubs. The last time Southend took a victory away from The Valley was way back on 5th March, 1996. A lot has changed since then. The Shrimpers are an all or nothing team on the road. It's 6 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses for Powell's side in away league matches. That won't be good news for them compared to Charlton's decent home record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats at The Valley this season in the league. This game has got a home win written all over it. Charlton have their concerns having failed to win their last two league games without scoring a goal. However, Bowyer's side have lost just 1 of their last 6 league games. They're an incredibly tough side to beat at home so I fully expect them to take the three points here. Charlton to Win @ 1.97 with Marathonbet Charlton HT/FT @ 3.25 with Ladbrokes @Papa Lazarou, @freestylerx, @allyhibs, @iBetting, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @kulikTS, @golakeh1, @Unnamed, @willie82, @dogmeister, @TheEdge, @JJG, @allthethings, @Mindfulness, @the bastardian, @teddybear3011, @Marek76, @salmonman, @Unnamed, @mij0sim, @jazzman02, @Bobby Vegas, @Teodore, @Tiffy, @nenri981, @MangoTheThird, @Johnmccain, @Papa Lazarou, @VYA, @THEODORE-007, and @sajtion, hit us with those tips for the weekend then guys!
    1 point
  27. Would agree that Windies would be the value but would expect England to win the 3rd. I would have said that before the 2nd though to be fair. The couple of bets I would look at are "Roach top WI bowler" and "WI to get the highest opening partnership". Roach has been WI top bowler majority of innings with 4 wickets, 4 wickets and 5 wickets and you would expect him to be the main danger again on Saturday. Somewhat of a trend is England losing an early wicket. Looking at "Highest opening" though, I would want atleast evens so I'll stick to just the one. 2pts Roach top Windies bowler 5/2 skybet
    1 point
  28. Great game. Heads up could have gone either way, and I had to river a 3 outer to win!
    1 point
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