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Total Posts -
Posts
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Harriet Dart to beat Cristina Busca @ odds 2.75
I was going to post a bet her yesterday, and I was mad that I didn't. My initial top pick was Dart. She already upset Sasnovich in qualies coming from behind , and throttling her 7-1 in the third set tiebreak. I decided it was too risky, and didn't even bet it which was a terrible decision. I went with Medjedovic instead which turned out to be a more sure win, but I didn't care because I wanted the Dart win, and shouldn't talk myself out of it.
Dart was training at Rafa's academy last month, and could be in the best form of her career. She made semi-finals in Romania for the first time just a couple months ago. I have posted here recently going against Busca and that was a bad decision, but I was backing Niemeier. She's a totally unreliable, and non technical player compared to Dart in my opinion. I think a couple matches already in Madrid play in her favor against Busca who has never made it out of the first round here. She did play tight three sets vs Masarova Rd1 last time, but I am throwing that out the window because Masarova is another hot/cold player, and have no idea what happened in that match. It was very windy in Madrid yesterday, and Dart double faulted 4 times in the first set, and only once there on. I find that to be decent enough to rely on. I don't think Busca has a good serve, and Dart could capitalize on it if it's windy again. She also hits the ball pretty hard, and it might be tricky for Busca to hit her normal great shots.
The only caviat I have with this.. For some reason if Vekic beats Siegemund. I might stay away from Dart because I'm on the wrong player.. But if Siegemund wins.. I'm going to risk it. In my opinion Harriet has atleast a 50% chance to win the match. So I haven't placed this yet, but if Laura wins. I'm going to be aggressive. Good luck guys, and I apologize in advance if it loses.. This is my best information. I also think Nakashima beats Bagnis, but the odds are not nearly as good and I don't fully trust that bet.
I know that Dart is trending right now, and has won last two matches at big odds. This would not be a surprise if that continues, and the linesmen are wrong once again.
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As im working ...just having a n early look at the weekend racing .....big race of weekend is bet365 gold cup
Kinindo kwetu. 9.0 16/1
Amirite. 8.9. 10/1
Sam brown 8.4 33/1
Le Milos. 8.3 8/1
Does he know. 8.0 28/1
A very difficult race to rate tbh as a lot of these have only ran on soft since Xmas and now the ground has changed dramatically it's difficult to know where they will be on the tree ........so I've changed tack slightly... with this race .....I've rated as normal .....then historically it's been very difficult for horses over say 11-5 in this race so that cuts out the bottom 3 .....leaving the top 2 again so that's good enough for me .....I'm not saying the others can't win .....in fact I think Sam brown and does he know look overpriced on select form and I could see them placing at big prices but for me I'm looking for value and the top 2 tick the boxes
5pt Ew top 2
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2.35 Ludlow Chris cool 10/1 e/w bet365
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625 taunton atjima 28/1 bet365
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